Result
0:1
18/10/2025 at 12:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Jupiler Pro League - Round 11
- Referee: Verbeke B. (Bel)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
---|
Argentina | DAZN |
Austria | DAZN |
Belgium | DAZN Pro League 2, Play Sports 1, Sporza, Sporza |
Bolivia | DAZN |
Brazil | DAZN Brasil |
Canada | Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada |
Ecuador | DAZN |
France | DAZN France |
Germany | Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Deutsch |
Italy | DAZN Italia |
Japan | DAZN Japan |
New-zealand | DAZN New Zealand |
Paraguay | DAZN |
Portugal | DAZN / App |
Spain | DAZN Espana |
Switzerland | DAZN Switzerland |
Taiwan | DAZN |
United-kingdom | DAZN, DAZN UK |
Uruguay | DAZN |
Usa | DAZN USA |
Venezuela | DAZN |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.59 | 0.95 |
Ball Possession |
---|
34% | 66% |
Total shots |
---|
17 | 11 |
Shots on target |
---|
5 | 4 |
Big Chances |
---|
0 | 0 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
4 | 11 |
Passes |
---|
79% (230/291) | 89% (514/578) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
2 | 1 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.59 | 0.95 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
0.32 | 0.45 |
Total shots |
---|
17 | 11 |
Shots on target |
---|
5 | 4 |
Shots off target |
---|
6 | 6 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
6 | 1 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
11 | 6 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
6 | 5 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
0 | 0 |
Big Chances |
---|
0 | 0 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
4 | 11 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
24 | 23 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
1 | 0 |
Offsides |
---|
1 | 1 |
Free Kicks |
---|
12 | 16 |
Passes |
---|
79% (230/291) | 89% (514/578) |
Long passes |
---|
55% (27/49) | 57% (27/47) |
Passes in final third |
---|
69% (68/99) | 78% (126/162) |
Crosses |
---|
29% (6/21) | 15% (3/20) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
0.79 | 0.93 |
Throw-ins |
---|
13 | 19 |
Fouls |
---|
16 | 12 |
Tackles |
---|
71% (10/14) | 78% (7/9) |
Duels won |
---|
48 | 43 |
Clearances |
---|
24 | 26 |
Interceptions |
---|
4 | 4 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
1 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
3 | 5 |
xGOT faced |
---|
0.45 | 0.32 |
Goals prevented |
---|
-0.55 | 0.32 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 18', Schrijvers S. ↓, George W. ↑,
- 36', Meijer B. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Seys J. ↓, Sabbe K. ↑,
- 54', Ominami T. 🟨,
- 55', Maziz Y. ↓, Mijatovic J. ↑,
- 56', Gil O. 🟨,
- 57', Sandra C. ↓, Audoor L. ↑,
- 67', Spileers J. ↓, Ordonez J. ↑,
- 67', Forbs C. ↓, Diakhon M. ↑,
- 74', Maertens M. ↓, Traore A. K. ↑,
- 74', Ikwuemesi C. ↓, Kaba S. ↑,
- 77', 0 - 1, Tzolis C. ⚽, Diakhon M. (A),
- 88', Tresoldi N. ↓, Vermant R. ↑,
Chances of winning
Oud-Heverlee Leuven 21.2% | Draw 25.4% | Club Brugge 53.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Oud-Heverlee Leuven has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Oud-Heverlee Leuven's performance.Club Brugge has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.2%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Club Brugge might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Oud-Heverlee Leuven than the current prediction. (-5.5%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Oud-Heverlee Leuven that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Club Brugge than the current prediction. (+10.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Club Brugge could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Oud-Heverlee Leuven - Club Brugge Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
4.62 ↓ (5.82) |
3.79 ↓ (4.39) |
1.84 ↑ (1.5) |
2.5% (6.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Oud-Heverlee Leuven - Club Brugge?
Users Predictions:
19 users predict this event. Leuven will win (votes: 3 - 15.8%). Brugge will win (votes: 15 - 78.9%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 5.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Brugge: 60.6% – 97.2%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Brugge (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
Preview Facts
- Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 15 in the zone Jupiler Pro League (Relegation Group: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Championship Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Leuven won 0.
- Leuven is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Brugge is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- In this match, Brugge is the team to beat.
- There will not play in Leuven: Kayo B.
(Knock)
- There will not play in Brugge: Mignolet S.
(Groin Injury)
Onyedika R.
(Muscle Injury)
- There are questionable in Leuven: Vlietinck T.
(Knock)
- There are questionable in Brugge: Reis L.
(Injury)
- In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Leuven won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 14 matches, and goals 14:39. (average 0.8:2.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Leuven won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 9:17. (average 1.1:2.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Oud-Heverlee Leuven won against Club Brugge?
Oud-Heverlee Leuven has won 0 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Club Brugge won against Oud-Heverlee Leuven?
Club Brugge has won 5 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Oud-Heverlee Leuven - Club Brugge were as follows:
08.02.2025
Club Brugge
-
Oud-Heverlee Leuven
1:0
07.01.2025
Club Brugge
-
Oud-Heverlee Leuven
3:0
02.11.2024
Oud-Heverlee Leuven
-
Club Brugge
0:1
10.03.2024
Club Brugge
-
Oud-Heverlee Leuven
3:1
26.11.2023
Oud-Heverlee Leuven
-
Club Brugge
0:1
Latest results of Oud-Heverlee Leuven
Latest results of Club Brugge
Belgian Jupiler Pro League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Royale Union SG | 11 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 22:6 | 16 | 26 |
2 | Club Brugge KV | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 18:11 | 7 | 23 |
3 | Anderlecht | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 17:11 | 6 | 19 |
4 | KV Mechelen | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 16:12 | 4 | 19 |
5 | St. Truiden | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 17:14 | 3 | 18 |
6 | Waregem | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 17:14 | 3 | 17 |
7 | Gent | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 18:17 | 1 | 17 |
8 | Genk | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 16:16 | 0 | 15 |
9 | Westerlo | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 18:20 | -2 | 14 |
10 | RAAL La Louviere | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 7:9 | -2 | 13 |
11 | Charleroi | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 14:17 | -3 | 12 |
12 | St. Liege | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 9:13 | -4 | 11 |
13 | Cercle Brugge KSV | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 15:16 | -1 | 11 |
14 | Antwerp | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 10:12 | -2 | 11 |
15 | Leuven | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 8:20 | -12 | 8 |
16 | Dender | 11 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 4:18 | -14 | 3 |
Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Championship Group: )
Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Conference League Group: )
Jupiler Pro League (Relegation Group: )