Result
2:1
21/02/2026 at 12:15 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Jupiler Pro League - Round 26
- Referee: Vergoote J. (Bel)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Belgium | Sporza, Sporza |
 Italy | DAZN Italia |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.70 | 1.53 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 64% | 36% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 22 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 10 | 3 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (462/529) | 75% (227/303) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.70 | 1.53 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.05 | 1.12 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 22 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 10 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 21 | 8 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 47 | 16 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (462/529) | 75% (227/303) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 58% (18/31) | 32% (19/59) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 80% (144/181) | 58% (53/91) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 35% (12/34) | 33% (5/15) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 2.43 | 0.75 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 24 | 17 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 8 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 77% (10/13) | 67% (14/21) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 44 | 41 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 18 | 30 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.12 | 2.05 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.12 | 0.05 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 39', Leko I. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 53', 1 - 0, Meijer B. ⚽, Forbs C. (A),
- 55', 1 - 1, Ikwuemesi C. ⚽, Schrijvers S. (A),
- 56', Lemarechal F. ↓, Stankovic A. ↑,
- 61', 2 - 1, Tresoldi N. ⚽, Stankovic A. (A),
- 63', Maertens M. ↓, Maziz Y. ↑,
- 71', Schrijvers S. (Penalty Awarded),
- 74', Lakomy L. ↓, Verstraete B. ↑,
- 74', Verlinden T. ↓, Balikwisha W. ↑,
- 75', Tresoldi N. ↓, Vermant R. ↑,
- 75', Tzolis C. ↓, Diakhon M. ↑,
- 75', Meijer B. ↓, Seys J. ↑,
- 79', Ikwuemesi C. ↓, Kaba S. ↑,
- 79', Teklab H. ↓, Vaesen K. ↑,
- 86', Siquet H. ↓, Sabbe K. ↑,
- 88', Gil O. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Club Brugge
69.9% | Draw
18.3% | Oud-Heverlee Leuven
11.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Club Brugge has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)Oud-Heverlee Leuven has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Club Brugge than the current prediction. (+3.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Oud-Heverlee Leuven than the current prediction. (-1%)
Club Brugge - Oud-Heverlee Leuven Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.35 ↑
(1.33) |
5.22 ↑
(5.12) |
7.99 ↓
(8.28) |
5.7%
(7.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
What is the prediction for Club Brugge - Oud-Heverlee Leuven?
Users Predictions:
20 users predict this event. Brugge will win (votes: 15 - 75%). Leuven will win (votes: 4 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Brugge: 56% – 94%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Brugge (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Leuven (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH -1.5 - Leuven (1.79) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 1, 2nd Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .
- DC - Brugge (1.10) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 5 high ROI users predict this event. Brugge (votes: 3 - 60%). Leuven (votes: 2 - 40%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Championship Group: ) and 13 in the zone Jupiler Pro League (Relegation Group: )).
- Brugge is Qualified for Jupiler Pro League (Championship Group )
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Brugge won 5.
- Brugge is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Leuven has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Leuven may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Brugge is the undeniable favorite.
- There will not play in Brugge: Audoor L.
(Inactive)
van den Heuvel D.
(Leg Injury)
- There will not play in Leuven: Kayo B.
(Knock)
- There are questionable in Leuven: Dussenne N.
(Injury)
Leysen T.
(Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Brugge won 16 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 42:15. (average 2.1:0.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Brugge won 8 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 22:5. (average 2.2:0.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Club Brugge won against Oud-Heverlee Leuven?
Club Brugge has won 7 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Oud-Heverlee Leuven won against Club Brugge?
Oud-Heverlee Leuven has won 0 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Club Brugge - Oud-Heverlee Leuven were as follows:
03.12.2025
Oud-Heverlee Leuven
-
Club Brugge
1:2
18.10.2025
Oud-Heverlee Leuven
-
Club Brugge
0:1
08.02.2025
Club Brugge
-
Oud-Heverlee Leuven
1:0
07.01.2025
Club Brugge
-
Oud-Heverlee Leuven
3:0
02.11.2024
Oud-Heverlee Leuven
-
Club Brugge
0:1
Latest results of Club Brugge
Latest results of Oud-Heverlee Leuven
Belgian Jupiler Pro League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Royale Union SG ✔ | 29 | 18 | 9 | 2 | 47:16 | 31 | 63 |
| 2 | Club Brugge KV ✔ | 29 | 19 | 3 | 7 | 55:35 | 20 | 60 |
| 3 | St. Truiden ✔ | 29 | 18 | 3 | 8 | 46:32 | 14 | 57 |
| 4 | KV Mechelen ✔ | 29 | 12 | 9 | 8 | 38:33 | 5 | 45 |
| 5 | Anderlecht | 29 | 12 | 8 | 9 | 41:36 | 5 | 44 |
| 6 | Gent | 29 | 12 | 6 | 11 | 46:42 | 4 | 42 |
| 7 | Genk | 29 | 11 | 8 | 10 | 41:42 | -1 | 41 |
| 8 | St. Liege | 29 | 11 | 6 | 12 | 27:35 | -8 | 39 |
| 9 | Westerlo ✔ | 29 | 10 | 8 | 11 | 36:40 | -4 | 38 |
| 10 | Antwerp ✔ | 29 | 9 | 8 | 12 | 31:31 | 0 | 35 |
| 11 | Charleroi ✔ | 29 | 9 | 7 | 13 | 38:41 | -3 | 34 |
| 12 | Leuven | 29 | 8 | 7 | 14 | 31:43 | -12 | 31 |
| 13 | RAAL La Louviere | 29 | 6 | 12 | 11 | 25:32 | -7 | 30 |
| 14 | Waregem | 29 | 7 | 8 | 14 | 37:47 | -10 | 29 |
| 15 | Cercle Brugge KSV ✔ | 29 | 6 | 10 | 13 | 36:45 | -9 | 28 |
| 16 | Dender ✔ | 29 | 3 | 10 | 16 | 23:48 | -25 | 19 |
Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Championship Group: )
Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Conference League Group: )
Jupiler Pro League (Relegation Group: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Royale Union SG is Qualified for Jupiler Pro League (Championship Group )
Club Brugge KV is Qualified for Jupiler Pro League (Championship Group )
St. Truiden is Qualified for Jupiler Pro League (Championship Group )
KV Mechelen is Qualified for Jupiler Pro League (Championship Group )
Westerlo is Qualified for Jupiler Pro League (Conference League Group )
Antwerp is Qualified for Jupiler Pro League (Conference League Group )
Charleroi is Qualified for Jupiler Pro League (Conference League Group )
Cercle Brugge KSV is Jupiler Pro League (Relegation Group )
Dender is Jupiler Pro League (Relegation Group )
