Result
2:1
30/11/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Jupiler Pro League - Round 16
- Referee: De Cremer W. (Bel)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Belgium | Play Sports 1, Sporza, Sporza |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.23 | 0.99 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 66% | 34% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 23 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 88% (476/540) | 76% (206/270) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.23 | 0.99 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.76 | 0.99 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 23 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 11 | 2 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 13 | 5 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 6 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 32 | 16 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 16 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 88% (476/540) | 76% (206/270) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 54% (25/46) | 47% (23/49) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 79% (147/187) | 58% (39/67) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 25% (6/24) | 24% (4/17) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.89 | 0.92 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 8 | 18 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 16 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 57% (8/14) | 53% (8/15) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 55 | 47 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 38 | 25 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.99 | 2.76 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.01 | 0.76 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 14', Teklab H. 🟨,
- 38', Dussenne N. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 46', Teklab H. ↓, Gil O. ↑,
- 50', 1 - 0, Sadick M. ⚽, Karetsas K. (A),
- 67', Verlinden T. ↓, Kaba S. ↑,
- 67', Lakomy L. ↓, Maziz Y. ↑,
- 68', Verstraete B. 🟨,
- 75', Erabi J. ↓, Oh Hyeon-Gyu ↑,
- 75', Hrosovsky P. ↓, Sattlberger N. ↑,
- 78', 1 - 1, Kaba S. ⚽, Opoku D. (A),
- 79', Opoku D. ↓, Terho C. ↑,
- 81', 2 - 1, Heymans D. ⚽, Karetsas K. (A),
- 84', Karetsas K. ↓, Steuckers J. ↑,
- 85', Adedeji-Sternberg N. ↓, Sor Y. ↑,
- 87', Dussenne N. ↓, Traore A. K. ↑,
- 90+1', Medina Y. ↓, Palacios A. ↑,
Chances of winning
Genk
60% | Draw
23.4% | Oud-Heverlee Leuven
16.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Genk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)Oud-Heverlee Leuven has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Genk than the current prediction. (+1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Oud-Heverlee Leuven than the current prediction. (+0.7%)
Genk - Oud-Heverlee Leuven Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.58 ↑
(1.56) |
4.08 ↑
(4) |
5.69 ↑
(5.2) |
5.6%
(8.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Genk - Oud-Heverlee Leuven?
Users Predictions:
12 users predict this event. Genk will win (votes: 8 - 66.7%). Leuven will win (votes: 3 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 8.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Genk: 40% – 93.4%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Genk (votes: 1 - 50%). Leuven (votes: 1 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 9 in the zone Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Conference League Group: ) and 13 in the zone Jupiler Pro League (Relegation Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Genk won 3.
- Right now, both teams are showing solid form.
- Leuven may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Genk is a strong favorite.
- There will not play in Genk: Ito J.
(Knock)
Kayembe J.
(Inactive)
Nkuba K.
(Heel Injury)
- There will not play in Leuven: Maziz Y.
(Injury)
Vlietinck T.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Leuven: Schrijvers S.
(Ankle Injury)
- In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Genk won 12 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 35:17. (average 1.9:0.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Genk won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 19:5. (average 2.1:0.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Genk won against Oud-Heverlee Leuven?
Genk has won 5 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Oud-Heverlee Leuven won against Genk?
Oud-Heverlee Leuven has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Genk - Oud-Heverlee Leuven were as follows:
15.08.2025
Oud-Heverlee Leuven
-
Genk
1:2
11.01.2025
Genk
-
Oud-Heverlee Leuven
2:0
03.08.2024
Oud-Heverlee Leuven
-
Genk
3:1
31.01.2024
Oud-Heverlee Leuven
-
Genk
2:1
12.11.2023
Genk
-
Oud-Heverlee Leuven
3:1
Latest results of Oud-Heverlee Leuven
Belgian Jupiler Pro League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Royale Union SG ✔ | 26 | 16 | 8 | 2 | 43:15 | 28 | 56 |
| 2 | St. Truiden ✔ | 26 | 17 | 3 | 6 | 44:29 | 15 | 54 |
| 3 | Club Brugge KV ✔ | 26 | 17 | 2 | 7 | 49:31 | 18 | 53 |
| 4 | Anderlecht | 26 | 11 | 7 | 8 | 34:32 | 2 | 40 |
| 5 | KV Mechelen | 26 | 10 | 9 | 7 | 34:29 | 5 | 39 |
| 6 | Gent | 26 | 10 | 6 | 10 | 41:38 | 3 | 36 |
| 7 | Genk | 26 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 36:40 | -4 | 35 |
| 8 | St. Liege | 26 | 10 | 4 | 12 | 24:33 | -9 | 34 |
| 9 | Westerlo | 26 | 9 | 7 | 10 | 34:38 | -4 | 34 |
| 10 | Charleroi | 26 | 9 | 6 | 11 | 35:35 | 0 | 33 |
| 11 | Antwerp | 26 | 8 | 6 | 12 | 29:30 | -1 | 30 |
| 12 | Waregem | 26 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 36:42 | -6 | 29 |
| 13 | Leuven | 26 | 7 | 7 | 12 | 28:37 | -9 | 28 |
| 14 | Cercle Brugge KSV | 26 | 6 | 9 | 11 | 34:40 | -6 | 27 |
| 15 | RAAL La Louviere | 26 | 5 | 10 | 11 | 21:30 | -9 | 25 |
| 16 | Dender | 26 | 3 | 8 | 15 | 21:44 | -23 | 17 |
Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Championship Group: )
Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Conference League Group: )
Jupiler Pro League (Relegation Group: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Royale Union SG is Qualified for Jupiler Pro League (Championship Group )
St. Truiden is Qualified for Jupiler Pro League (Championship Group )
Club Brugge KV is Qualified for Jupiler Pro League (Championship Group )
