Result
1:2
20/09/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Jupiler Pro League - Round 8
- Referee: De Cremer W. (Bel)
- Where to Watch on TV:
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 Belgium | DAZN Pro League 1, Play Sports 1, Sporza, Sporza |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.36 | 1.27 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 67% | 33% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (375/474) | 64% (152/236) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.36 | 1.27 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.94 | 1.52 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 15 | 8 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 16 | 22 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (375/474) | 64% (152/236) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 55% (45/82) | 30% (21/69) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 47% (47/101) | 41% (30/74) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 24% (4/17) | 10% (1/10) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.44 | 0.60 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 27 | 20 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 22 | 16 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 60% (9/15) | 80% (8/10) |
| Duels won |
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| 62 | 49 |
| Clearances |
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| 10 | 29 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.52 | 0.94 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.48 | -0.06 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 2)
- 8', 1 - 0, Kaba S. ⚽, Lakomy L. (A),
- 16', 1 - 1, Afriyie J. ⚽, Lahssaini S. (A),
- 27', 1 - 2, Afriyie J. ⚽, Ito J. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 47', Gil O. 🟨,
- 62', Verstraete B. ↓, Maziz Y. ↑,
- 62', Gil O. ↓, Terho C. ↑,
- 65', Dussenne N. 🟨,
- 71', Mendy O. ↓, Fall P. M. ↑,
- 75', Mijatovic J. ↓, Maertens M. ↑,
- 78', Liongola J. 🟨,
- 85', Maes O. ↓, Gueulette S. ↑,
- 88', Afriyie J. 🟨,
- 90', Schrijvers S. ↓, Ikwuemesi C. ↑,
- 90+3', Afriyie J. ↓, Maisonneuve M. ↑,
- 90+4', Maertens M. 🟨,
- 90+6', Maisonneuve M. 🟨,
- 90+6', Terho C. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Oud-Heverlee Leuven
45.9% | Draw
29.2% | RAAL La Louvière
24.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Oud-Heverlee Leuven has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Oud-Heverlee Leuven's form might have worsened.RAAL La Louvière has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Oud-Heverlee Leuven than the current prediction. (+4.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for RAAL La Louvière than the current prediction. (-1.5%)
Oud-Heverlee Leuven - RAAL La Louvière Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.08 ↑
(1.85) |
3.25 ↓
(3.75) |
3.81 ↓
(4.18) |
5.1%
(4.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Oud-Heverlee Leuven - RAAL La Louvière?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Leuven (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).
Users Predictions:
Oud-Heverlee Leuven will win
(8 of 10 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 55.21% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 15 in the zone Jupiler Pro League (Relegation Group: ) and 14 in the zone Jupiler Pro League (Relegation Group: )).
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- Leuven will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- There are questionable in La Louvière: Mendy O.
(Injury)
- Recently, there has been no match between the teams.
How many head-to-head matches has Oud-Heverlee Leuven won against RAAL La Louvière?
Oud-Heverlee Leuven has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has RAAL La Louvière won against Oud-Heverlee Leuven?
RAAL La Louvière has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Oud-Heverlee Leuven - RAAL La Louvière were as follows:
Latest results of Oud-Heverlee Leuven
Latest results of RAAL La Louvière
Belgian Jupiler Pro League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Royale Union SG | 11 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 22:6 | 16 | 26 |
| 2 | Club Brugge KV | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 18:11 | 7 | 23 |
| 3 | Anderlecht | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 15:9 | 6 | 18 |
| 4 | Gent | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 17:13 | 4 | 17 |
| 5 | St. Truiden | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 15:12 | 3 | 17 |
| 6 | KV Mechelen | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 13:11 | 2 | 16 |
| 7 | Genk | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 14:14 | 0 | 14 |
| 8 | Waregem | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 13:13 | 0 | 14 |
| 9 | Westerlo | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 18:20 | -2 | 14 |
| 10 | RAAL La Louviere | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 7:9 | -2 | 13 |
| 11 | Charleroi | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 14:17 | -3 | 12 |
| 12 | St. Liege | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 9:13 | -4 | 11 |
| 13 | Antwerp | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 10:12 | -2 | 11 |
| 14 | Cercle Brugge KSV | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 13:14 | -1 | 10 |
| 15 | Leuven | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 8:20 | -12 | 8 |
| 16 | Dender | 10 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 3:15 | -12 | 3 |
Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Championship Group: )
Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Conference League Group: )
Jupiler Pro League (Relegation Group: )
