Oud-Heverlee Leuven vs Saint-Gilloise – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:0
24/01/2026 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Jupiler Pro League - Round 22
  • Referee: Allaerts M. (Bel)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
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boliviaBoliviaDAZN
brazilBrazilDAZN Brasil
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ecuadorEcuadorDAZN
franceFranceDAZN France
germanyGermanyDAZN Deutsch
italyItalyDAZN Italia
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new-zealandNew-zealandDAZN New Zealand
norwayNorwayDAZN
paraguayParaguayDAZN
portugalPortugalDAZN / App
spainSpainDAZN Espana
switzerlandSwitzerlandDAZN Switzerland
taiwanTaiwanDAZN
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomDAZN
uruguayUruguayDAZN
usaUsaDAZN USA
venezuelaVenezuelaDAZN

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
1.241.38
Ball possession
44%56%
Total shots
1713
Shots on target
52
Big chances
32
Corner kicks
49
Passes
76% (252/332)80% (341/428)
Yellow cards
32
Expected goals (xG)
1.241.38
xG on target (xGOT)
0.570.27
Total shots
1713
Shots on target
52
Shots off target
66
Blocked shots
65
Shots inside the box
119
Shots outside the box
64
Hit the woodwork
10
Big chances
32
Corner kicks
49
Touches in opposition box
2233
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
43
Free kicks
1516
Passes
76% (252/332)80% (341/428)
Long passes
44% (22/50)50% (34/68)
Passes in final third
66% (69/104)65% (79/121)
Crosses
16% (3/19)38% (8/21)
Expected assists (xA)
0.591.39
Throw ins
2411
Fouls
1615
Tackles
56% (10/18)50% (10/20)
Duels won
5162
Clearances
3535
Interceptions
48
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
25
xGOT faced
0.270.57
Goals prevented
0.270.57

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 7', Gil O. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Dussenne N. 🟨,
  • 69', Van De Perre K. 🟨,
  • 71', Florucz R. , Fuseini M. ,
  • 72', Ait El Hadj A. , Zeneli B. ,
  • 72', Teklab H. , Traore A. K. ,
  • 72', Schrijvers S. , George W. ,
  • 78', Ikwuemesi C. , Kaba S. ,
  • 78', Verlinden T. , Opoku D. ,
  • 80', Guilherme Smith , Niang O. ,
  • 85', Burgess C. 🟨,
  • 89', Maziz Y. , Maertens M. ,
  • 90+5', Kaba S. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Oud-Heverlee Leuven
24.7%
Draw
27.9%
Saint-Gilloise
47.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
20.2% 25.7% 54.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.8% 25.1% 55.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Oud-Heverlee Leuven has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)
  • Saint-Gilloise has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Saint-Gilloise might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Oud-Heverlee Leuven than the current prediction. (-4.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Saint-Gilloise than the current prediction. (+7.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Saint-Gilloise could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Oud-Heverlee Leuven - Saint-Gilloise Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.85
    (4.63)
    3.4
    (3.64)
    2.01
    (1.73)
    5.1%
    (6.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Oud-Heverlee Leuven - Saint-Gilloise?
  • Users Predictions: 26 users predict this event. Leuven will win (votes: 6 - 23.1%). Union SG will win (votes: 20 - 76.9%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Union SG: 60.7%93.1%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 9 high ROI users predict this event. Leuven (votes: 3 - 33.3%). Union SG (votes: 6 - 66.7%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 2 - 66.7%) .
    • DNB - Union SG (1.35) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • AH -0.5 - Leuven (4.04) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • AH +0.25 - Leuven (1.98) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 14 high ROI users predict this event. Leuven (votes: 6 - 42.9%). Union SG (votes: 8 - 57.1%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 14 in the zone Jupiler Pro League (Relegation Group: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Championship Group: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Leuven won 0.
    • Leuven has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Union SG is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Leuven may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Leuven has had a series of away games.
    • In this match, Union SG is a strong favorite.
    • There will not play in Leuven: Verstraete B. (Yellow Cards)
    • There will not play in Union SG: Khalaili A. (Yellow Cards) Mac Allister K. (Yellow Cards) Niang O. (Inactive) Rodriguez K. (Injury) Sykes R. (Yellow Cards)
    • There are questionable in Leuven: Kayo B. (Knock)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Leuven won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 23:42. (average 1.2:2.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Leuven won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 12:23. (average 1.2:2.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Oud-Heverlee Leuven - Saint-Gilloise were as follows:
    03.08.2025 Saint-Gilloise - Oud-Heverlee Leuven 5:0
    19.01.2025 Saint-Gilloise - Oud-Heverlee Leuven 1:0
    24.11.2024 Oud-Heverlee Leuven - Saint-Gilloise 1:1
    02.03.2024 Oud-Heverlee Leuven - Saint-Gilloise 0:2
    12.08.2023 Saint-Gilloise - Oud-Heverlee Leuven 5:1
    Latest results of Saint-Gilloise
    Belgian Jupiler Pro League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Royale Union SG ✔ 26168243:152856
    2St. Truiden ✔ 26173644:291554
    3Club Brugge KV ✔ 26172749:311853
    4Anderlecht26117834:32240
    5KV Mechelen26109734:29539
    6Gent261061041:38336
    7Genk2698936:40-435
    8St. Liege261041224:33-934
    9Westerlo26971034:38-434
    10Charleroi26961135:35033
    11Antwerp26861229:30-130
    12Waregem26781136:42-629
    13Leuven26771228:37-928
    14Cercle Brugge KSV26691134:40-627
    15RAAL La Louviere265101121:30-925
    16Dender26381521:44-2317

          Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Championship Group: )
          Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Conference League Group: )
          Jupiler Pro League (Relegation Group: )

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Royale Union SG is Qualified for Jupiler Pro League (Championship Group )
    St. Truiden is Qualified for Jupiler Pro League (Championship Group )
    Club Brugge KV is Qualified for Jupiler Pro League (Championship Group )