Result
2:0
05/10/2025 at 13:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Jupiler Pro League - Round 10
- Referee: D'hondt L. (Bel)
- Where to Watch on TV:
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 Belgium | Play Sports 1, Sporza, Sporza |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.53 | 0.85 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 52% | 48% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (291/351) | 77% (251/325) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.53 | 0.85 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.76 | 0.84 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 13 | 5 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 30 | 23 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 27 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (291/351) | 77% (251/325) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 51% (20/39) | 50% (27/54) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 77% (107/139) | 58% (56/97) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 14% (3/21) | 21% (4/19) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.12 | 0.67 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 20 | 18 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 27 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 48% (11/23) | 81% (13/16) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 89 | 42 |
| Clearances |
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| 57 | 20 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.84 | 2.76 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.84 | 0.76 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 19', 1 - 0, Nacho ⚽,
- 26', Dussenne N. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Terho C. ↓, Maziz Y. ↑,
- 62', Ominami T. ↓, Teklab H. ↑,
- 62', Ikwuemesi C. ↓, Verlinden T. ↑,
- 68', Alcocer J. 🟨,
- 71', Alcocer J. ↓, Mebude A. ↑,
- 77', 2 - 0, Mebude A. ⚽, Reynolds B. (A),
- 80', Lakomy L. ↓, Maertens M. ↑,
- 81', Dussenne N. ↓, Nyakossi R. ↑,
- 82', Sakamoto I. ↓, Van den Keybus T. ↑,
- 82', Nacho ↓, Vaesen K. ↑,
- 90', Piedfort A. ↓, Smekens R. ↑,
- 90', Sayyadmanesh A. ↓, Cordero A. ↑,
- 90+6', Vaesen K. 🟨,
- 90+6', Akimoto T. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Westerlo
44.1% | Draw
26.2% | Oud-Heverlee Leuven
29.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Westerlo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.5%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Westerlo's form might have worsened.Oud-Heverlee Leuven has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Oud-Heverlee Leuven's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Westerlo than the current prediction. (+10%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Westerlo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Oud-Heverlee Leuven than the current prediction. (-6%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Oud-Heverlee Leuven, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Westerlo - Oud-Heverlee Leuven Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.15 ↑
(1.77) |
3.67 ↓
(4.22) |
3.27 ↓
(3.96) |
4.4%
(5.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Westerlo - Oud-Heverlee Leuven?
Users Predictions:
16 users predict this event. Westerlo will win (votes: 12 - 75%). Leuven will win (votes: 2 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Westerlo: 53.8% – 96.2%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 66.7%) .
- AH -0.5 - Westerlo (1.94) (votes: 1 - 50%) .
- O/U 4.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- 1X2, 1st Half - Westerlo (2.62) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -1.5 - Westerlo (3.57) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- EH -1 - Westerlo (3.80) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- BTTS, 2nd Half - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 1.5, 2nd Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 3.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 3 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -1 - Westerlo (2.95) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Westerlo will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 10 high ROI users predict this event. Westerlo (votes: 8 - 80%). Leuven (votes: 2 - 20%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 13 in the zone Jupiler Pro League (Relegation Group: ) and 15 in the zone Jupiler Pro League (Relegation Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Westerlo won 2.
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- Leuven may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Westerlo might have a minor edge in this game.
- There will not play in Westerlo: Goure F.
(Knee Injury)
Haidara B.
(Injury)
- There will not play in Leuven: Kayo B.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Leuven: Verlinden T.
(Ankle Injury)
Vlietinck T.
(Knock)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Westerlo won 7 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 23:25. (average 1.2:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Westerlo won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 9:15. (average 0.9:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Westerlo won against Oud-Heverlee Leuven?
Westerlo has won 3 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Oud-Heverlee Leuven won against Westerlo?
Oud-Heverlee Leuven has won 2 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Westerlo - Oud-Heverlee Leuven were as follows:
16.05.2025
Oud-Heverlee Leuven
-
Westerlo
0:2
05.04.2025
Westerlo
-
Oud-Heverlee Leuven
2:2
02.03.2025
Oud-Heverlee Leuven
-
Westerlo
0:0
24.08.2024
Westerlo
-
Oud-Heverlee Leuven
1:1
25.05.2024
Oud-Heverlee Leuven
-
Westerlo
1:2
Latest results of Westerlo
Latest results of Oud-Heverlee Leuven
Belgian Jupiler Pro League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Royale Union SG ✔ | 26 | 16 | 8 | 2 | 43:15 | 28 | 56 |
| 2 | St. Truiden ✔ | 26 | 17 | 3 | 6 | 44:29 | 15 | 54 |
| 3 | Club Brugge KV ✔ | 26 | 17 | 2 | 7 | 49:31 | 18 | 53 |
| 4 | Anderlecht | 26 | 11 | 7 | 8 | 34:32 | 2 | 40 |
| 5 | KV Mechelen | 26 | 10 | 9 | 7 | 34:29 | 5 | 39 |
| 6 | Gent | 26 | 10 | 6 | 10 | 41:38 | 3 | 36 |
| 7 | Genk | 26 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 36:40 | -4 | 35 |
| 8 | St. Liege | 26 | 10 | 4 | 12 | 24:33 | -9 | 34 |
| 9 | Westerlo | 26 | 9 | 7 | 10 | 34:38 | -4 | 34 |
| 10 | Charleroi | 26 | 9 | 6 | 11 | 35:35 | 0 | 33 |
| 11 | Antwerp | 26 | 8 | 6 | 12 | 29:30 | -1 | 30 |
| 12 | Waregem | 26 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 36:42 | -6 | 29 |
| 13 | Leuven | 26 | 7 | 7 | 12 | 28:37 | -9 | 28 |
| 14 | Cercle Brugge KSV | 26 | 6 | 9 | 11 | 34:40 | -6 | 27 |
| 15 | RAAL La Louviere | 26 | 5 | 10 | 11 | 21:30 | -9 | 25 |
| 16 | Dender | 26 | 3 | 8 | 15 | 21:44 | -23 | 17 |
Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Championship Group: )
Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Conference League Group: )
Jupiler Pro League (Relegation Group: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Royale Union SG is Qualified for Jupiler Pro League (Championship Group )
St. Truiden is Qualified for Jupiler Pro League (Championship Group )
Club Brugge KV is Qualified for Jupiler Pro League (Championship Group )
