Result
0:1
07/03/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Jupiler Pro League - Round 28
- Referee: Verboomen N. (Bel)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Belgium | DAZN Pro League 1, Sporza, Sporza |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.53 | 0.56 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 61% | 39% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 21 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 74% (264/356) | 64% (158/247) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.53 | 0.56 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.15 | 0.07 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 21 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 13 | 4 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 19 | 7 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 7 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 45 | 14 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 9 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 74% (264/356) | 64% (158/247) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 53% (33/62) | 39% (22/57) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 59% (67/113) | 55% (34/62) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 33% (14/43) | 55% (6/11) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.94 | 0.48 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 22 | 19 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 15 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 74% (14/19) | 64% (7/11) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 62 | 55 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 12 | 30 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 12 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.93 | 1.15 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.93 | 1.15 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 4', 0 - 1, Ikwuemesi C. (Own goal),
- 40', Jungdal A. 🟨,
- 45', Verstraete B. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 52', Sayyadmanesh A. ↓, Saito S. ↑,
- 62', Vaesen K. ↓, Kaba S. ↑,
- 62', Teklab H. ↓, Verlinden T. ↑,
- 66', Piedfort A. 🟨,
- 67', Goure F. ↓, Patrao A. ↑,
- 76', Schrijvers S. 🟨,
- 79', Ikwuemesi C. ↓, Traore A. K. ↑,
- 79', Schrijvers S. ↓, Balikwisha W. ↑,
- 86', Sakamoto I. ↓, Van den Keybus T. ↑,
- 86', Piedfort A. ↓, Sydorchuk S. ↑,
- 87', Verstraete B. ↓, Maertens M. ↑,
- 90+1', Saito S. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Oud-Heverlee Leuven
38.6% | Draw
27.3% | Westerlo
34.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Oud-Heverlee Leuven has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)Westerlo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Oud-Heverlee Leuven than the current prediction. (+5.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Oud-Heverlee Leuven, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Westerlo than the current prediction. (-3.8%)
Oud-Heverlee Leuven - Westerlo Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.45 ↑
(2.22) |
3.47 ↓
(3.66) |
2.78 ↓
(3.1) |
5.6%
(4.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Oud-Heverlee Leuven - Westerlo?
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Leuven will win (votes: 3 - 60%). Westerlo will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH 0 - Westerlo (2.14) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- DNB - Westerlo (2.08) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.75 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Westerlo (votes: 2 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 13 in the zone Jupiler Pro League (Relegation Group: ) and 9 in the zone Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Conference League Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Leuven won 0.
- In recent matches, Leuven has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Westerlo is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- There will not play in Leuven: Dussenne N.
(Yellow Cards)
Kayo B.
(Knock)
Leysen T.
(Eye injury)
- There will not play in Westerlo: Bujupi E.
(Knee Injury)
Destan E.
(Knee Injury)
Laalaoui R.
(Muscle Injury)
Mbamba-Muanda L.
(Back Injury)
Nacho
(Yellow Cards)
Nsiala C.
(Red Card)
- There are questionable in Leuven: Gil O.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Westerlo: Kimura S.
(Groin Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Leuven won 8 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 25:24. (average 1.3:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Leuven won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 10:13. (average 1.1:1.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Oud-Heverlee Leuven won against Westerlo?
Oud-Heverlee Leuven has won 2 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Westerlo won against Oud-Heverlee Leuven?
Westerlo has won 4 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Oud-Heverlee Leuven - Westerlo were as follows:
05.10.2025
Westerlo
-
Oud-Heverlee Leuven
2:0
16.05.2025
Oud-Heverlee Leuven
-
Westerlo
0:2
05.04.2025
Westerlo
-
Oud-Heverlee Leuven
2:2
02.03.2025
Oud-Heverlee Leuven
-
Westerlo
0:0
24.08.2024
Westerlo
-
Oud-Heverlee Leuven
1:1
Latest results of Oud-Heverlee Leuven
Latest results of Westerlo
Belgian Jupiler Pro League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Royale Union SG ✔ | 29 | 18 | 9 | 2 | 47:16 | 31 | 63 |
| 2 | Club Brugge KV ✔ | 29 | 19 | 3 | 7 | 55:35 | 20 | 60 |
| 3 | St. Truiden ✔ | 29 | 18 | 3 | 8 | 46:32 | 14 | 57 |
| 4 | KV Mechelen ✔ | 29 | 12 | 9 | 8 | 38:33 | 5 | 45 |
| 5 | Anderlecht | 29 | 12 | 8 | 9 | 41:36 | 5 | 44 |
| 6 | Gent | 29 | 12 | 6 | 11 | 46:42 | 4 | 42 |
| 7 | Genk | 29 | 11 | 8 | 10 | 41:42 | -1 | 41 |
| 8 | St. Liege | 29 | 11 | 6 | 12 | 27:35 | -8 | 39 |
| 9 | Westerlo ✔ | 29 | 10 | 8 | 11 | 36:40 | -4 | 38 |
| 10 | Antwerp ✔ | 29 | 9 | 8 | 12 | 31:31 | 0 | 35 |
| 11 | Charleroi ✔ | 29 | 9 | 7 | 13 | 38:41 | -3 | 34 |
| 12 | Leuven | 29 | 8 | 7 | 14 | 31:43 | -12 | 31 |
| 13 | RAAL La Louviere | 29 | 6 | 12 | 11 | 25:32 | -7 | 30 |
| 14 | Waregem | 29 | 7 | 8 | 14 | 37:47 | -10 | 29 |
| 15 | Cercle Brugge KSV ✔ | 29 | 6 | 10 | 13 | 36:45 | -9 | 28 |
| 16 | Dender ✔ | 29 | 3 | 10 | 16 | 23:48 | -25 | 19 |
Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Championship Group: )
Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Conference League Group: )
Jupiler Pro League (Relegation Group: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Royale Union SG is Qualified for Jupiler Pro League (Championship Group )
Club Brugge KV is Qualified for Jupiler Pro League (Championship Group )
St. Truiden is Qualified for Jupiler Pro League (Championship Group )
KV Mechelen is Qualified for Jupiler Pro League (Championship Group )
Westerlo is Qualified for Jupiler Pro League (Conference League Group )
Antwerp is Qualified for Jupiler Pro League (Conference League Group )
Charleroi is Qualified for Jupiler Pro League (Conference League Group )
Cercle Brugge KSV is Jupiler Pro League (Relegation Group )
Dender is Jupiler Pro League (Relegation Group )
