Ourense CF vs Valladolid – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Spanish Copa del Rey Ourense CF - Valladolid
Result
3:2
05/01/2025 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • SPAIN: Copa del Rey - 1/16-finals
  • Referee: Maeso F. (Esp)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDirecTV Sports
brazilBrazilDisney+
chileChileDirecTV Sports
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV
indiaIndiaFanCode, FanCode, Vision+
israelIsraelSport 2
mexicoMexicoSky Sport
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaDirecTV Sports Caribbean, Sky Sports Norte
peruPeruDirecTV Sports
saudi-arabiaSaudi-arabiaShahid VIP
south-americaSouth-americaDGO Latin America
spainSpainM+ LaLiga TV, Movistar Plus+ 1
turkeyTurkeyTivibu Spor 2
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 2
uruguayUruguayDirecTV Sports
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+
venezuelaVenezuelaDirecTV Sports, Inter
worldWorldDirecTV Sports, Disney+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.580.39
Ball Possession
49%51%
Goal Attempts
107
Shots on Goal
43
Shots off Goal
32
Blocked Shots
32
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
32
Shots inside the Box
33
Shots outside the Box
74
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
10
Goalkeeper Saves
11
Free Kicks
198
Offsides
21
Fouls
819
Yellow Cards
14
Throw-ins
2311
Touches in the Opposition Box
1315
Passes
81% (324/398)83% (331/401)
Passes in the final third
66% (67/101)61% (45/74)
Crosses
9% (1/11)21% (3/14)
Tackles
54% (7/13)70% (16/23)
Clearances Total
1313
Interceptions
615

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 2)
  • 13', Ndiaye A. 🟨,
  • 15', 0 - 1, Moro R. , Amallah S. (A),
  • 17', 1 - 1, Noriega J. , Di Renzo G. (A),
  • 24', 1 - 2, Amallah S. , Moro R. (A),
  • 32', 2 - 2, Ramos J. ,
  • 45+1', Hein K. , Ferreira A. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 48', Juric S. , Martin M. ,
  • 53', 3 - 2, Sanchez A. ,
  • 61', Marcos Andre , Latasa J. ,
  • 61', Amallah S. , Sanchez I. ,
  • 61', Perez L. , Anuar ,
  • 65', Anuar 🟨,
  • 65', Fidalgo A. 🟨,
  • 67', Perez K. 🟨,
  • 75', Di Renzo G. , Carbonell J. ,
  • 75', Gil A. ,
  • 81', Sanchez A. , Fullana F. ,
  • 82', Noriega J. , Sanz H. ,
  • 90+4', Martin M. 🟨,
  • 90+5', Prada R. , Carmona F. ,

Chances of winning


Ourense CF
22.8%
Draw
27.6%
Valladolid
49.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
18.9% 26.1% 55%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18.7% 26.4% 55.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Ourense CF has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)
  • Valladolid has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Valladolid might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ourense CF than the current prediction. (-4.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Valladolid than the current prediction. (+6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Valladolid could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Ourense CF - Valladolid Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    4.17
    (5.02)
    3.43
    (3.62)
    1.91
    (1.72)
    5.6%
    (5.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Ourense CF - Valladolid?
  • Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Ourense CF will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Valladolid will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Two teams are playing changeable.
    • Ourense CF could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • In this match Valladolid is a favorite.
    • Recently, the teams did not play each other.
    Latest results of Ourense CF
    15.12.2024 Ourense CF - Sestao 0:0
    07.12.2024 Zamora - Ourense CF 1:1
    30.11.2024 Ourense CF - Ponferradina 2:1
    Latest results of Valladolid
    20.12.2024 Girona - Valladolid 3:0
    13.12.2024 Valladolid - Valencia 1:0
    07.12.2024 Las Palmas - Valladolid 2:1
    03.12.2024 Real Ávila - Valladolid 2:4
    Draw
    2025/26

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