Result
76:79
24/01/2026 at 16:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Field goals attempts |
|---|
| 55 | 59 |
| Field goals made |
|---|
| 22 | 30 |
| Field goals % |
|---|
| 40% | 50.85% |
| 2-point field goals attempts |
|---|
| 26 | 40 |
| 2-point field goals made |
|---|
| 12 | 24 |
| 2-point field goals % |
|---|
| 46.15% | 60% |
| 3-point field goals attempts |
|---|
| 29 | 19 |
| 3-point field goals made |
|---|
| 10 | 6 |
| 3-point field goals % |
|---|
| 34.48% | 31.58% |
| Free throws attempts |
|---|
| 34 | 22 |
| Free throws made |
|---|
| 22 | 13 |
| Free throws % |
|---|
| 64.7% | 59.1% |
| Offensive rebounds |
|---|
| 9 | 10 |
| Defensive rebounds |
|---|
| 24 | 32 |
| Total rebounds |
|---|
| 33 | 42 |
| Assists |
|---|
| 14 | 14 |
| Blocks |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Turnovers |
|---|
| 15 | 19 |
| Steals |
|---|
| 9 | 6 |
| Personal fouls |
|---|
| 20 | 24 |
Chances of winning
Esgueira 36.3% | Ovarense 63.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Esgueira has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)Ovarense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Esgueira than the current prediction. (+7.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Esgueira, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ovarense than the current prediction. (-7.6%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Ovarense, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Esgueira - Ovarense Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.53 ↑ (2.34) |
|
1.44 ↓ (1.47) |
9% (10.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 170.50
- The most likely Handicap: 2 (-5)
What is the prediction for Esgueira - Ovarense?
Users Predictions:
Esgueira will win
(6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Esgueira will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 83:88.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Esgueira won 0.
- Recent form of Esgueira has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Ovarense has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Ovarense is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Esgueira won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 17 matches, and goals 1524:1710. (average 76.2:85.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Esgueira won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 871:990. (average 79.2:90).
How many head-to-head matches has Esgueira won against Ovarense?
Esgueira has won 2 of their last 15 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Ovarense won against Esgueira?
Ovarense has won 13 of their last 15 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Esgueira - Ovarense were as follows:
25.10.2025
Esgueira
-
Ovarense
81:102
04.10.2025
Ovarense
-
Esgueira
81:75
26.04.2025
Esgueira
-
Ovarense
84:85
01.03.2025
Ovarense
-
Esgueira
94:68
19.01.2025
Esgueira
-
Ovarense
81:92
Latest results of Esgueira
Latest results of Ovarense
Portuguese LPB Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Benfica | 15 | 14 | 1 | 1465:1148 | 29 |
| 2 | Sporting CP | 15 | 12 | 3 | 1321:1157 | 27 |
| 3 | Ovarense | 15 | 11 | 4 | 1239:1157 | 26 |
| 4 | FC Porto | 15 | 10 | 5 | 1354:1266 | 25 |
| 5 | Oliveirense | 15 | 8 | 7 | 1276:1246 | 23 |
| 6 | Braga | 15 | 7 | 8 | 1198:1215 | 22 |
| 7 | Esgueira | 15 | 6 | 9 | 1282:1344 | 21 |
| 8 | Imortal | 15 | 5 | 10 | 1278:1292 | 20 |
| 9 | Vitoria | 15 | 5 | 10 | 1237:1351 | 20 |
| 10 | CA Queluz | 15 | 5 | 10 | 1240:1290 | 20 |
| 11 | Galitos Barreiro | 15 | 4 | 11 | 1253:1429 | 19 |
| 12 | Vasco Da Gama | 15 | 3 | 12 | 1202:1450 | 18 |
Promotion ~ LPB (Quarter~finals)
Relegation ~ Proliga