Esgueira vs Ovarense – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Basketball Portuguese LPB Esgueira - Ovarense
Result
84:85
26/04/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • LPB - Round 22

Match Stats

Field Goals Attempted
6561
Field Goals Made
2932
Field Goals %
44.6%52.5%
2-Point Field G. Attempted
3436
2-Point Field Goals Made
1922
2-Point Field Goals %
55.9%61.1%
3-Point Field G. Attempted
3125
3-Point Field Goals Made
1010
3-Point Field Goals %
32.3%40%
Free Throws Attempted
2518
Free Throws Made
1611
Free Throws %
64%61.1%
Offensive Rebounds
713
Defensive Rebounds
2038
Total Rebounds
2751
Assists
1818
Blocks
23
Turnovers
617
Steals
95
Personal Fouls
1817

Chances of winning


Esgueira
29.3%
Ovarense
70.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
35.7% 64.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.9% 65.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Esgueira has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Esgueira's form might have worsened.
  • Ovarense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Ovarense's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Esgueira than the current prediction. (+5.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Esgueira, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ovarense than the current prediction. (-5.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Ovarense, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Esgueira - Ovarense Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.16
    (2.54)

    1.31
    (1.41)
    7.9%
    (10.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 162.00
  • The most likely Handicap: 2 (-5)
  • What is the prediction for Esgueira - Ovarense?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Esgueira (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • Users Predictions: Esgueira will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 100%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 79:84.
  • Preview Facts
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Esgueira won 1.
    • Esgueira is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Recent matches Ovarense is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Ovarense could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • Ovarense will have a mini benefit in this match.
    • Last 20 head-to-head matches Esgueira won 5 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 15 matches and goals 1545:1658 (average 77.3:82.9).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Esgueira won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 9 matches and goals 868:948 (average 78.9:86.2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Esgueira - Ovarense were as follows:
    01.03.2025 Ovarense - Esgueira 94:68
    19.01.2025 Esgueira - Ovarense 81:92
    04.01.2025 Ovarense - Esgueira 81:89
    20.09.2024 Esgueira - Ovarense 80:87
    13.09.2024 Ovarense - Esgueira 79:61
    Latest results of Esgueira
    19.04.2025 CAQ Queluz - Esgueira 86:73
    13.04.2025 Esgueira - Galomar 67:114
    12.04.2025 Esgueira - Galomar 85:82
    05.04.2025 Esgueira - Porto 81:96
    29.03.2025 Imortal - Esgueira 90:87
    Latest results of Ovarense
    19.04.2025 Ovarense - Porto 66:94
    13.04.2025 Imortal - Ovarense 71:88
    08.04.2025 Oliveirense - Ovarense 71:82
    05.04.2025 Ovarense - Oliveirense 87:92
    29.03.2025 Benfica - Ovarense 93:59
    Draw
    Play Offs

    Quarter-finals
    1BenficaVitoria2 : 0
    2OliveirenseOvarense1 : 2
    3FC PortoImortal2 : 0
    4Sporting CPGalitos Barreiro2 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1BenficaOvarense3 : 0
    2FC PortoSporting CP3 : 0

    Final
    1BenficaFC Porto3 : 1