Esgueira vs Ovarense – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
76:79
24/01/2026 at 16:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • LPB - Round 12

Match Stats

Field goals attempts
5559
Field goals made
2230
Field goals %
40%50.85%
2-point field goals attempts
2640
2-point field goals made
1224
2-point field goals %
46.15%60%
3-point field goals attempts
2919
3-point field goals made
106
3-point field goals %
34.48%31.58%
Free throws attempts
3422
Free throws made
2213
Free throws %
64.7%59.1%
Offensive rebounds
910
Defensive rebounds
2432
Total rebounds
3342
Assists
1414
Blocks
21
Turnovers
1519
Steals
96
Personal fouls
2024

Chances of winning


Esgueira
36.3%
Ovarense
63.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
38.6% 61.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.9% 56.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Esgueira has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)
  • Ovarense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Esgueira than the current prediction. (+7.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Esgueira, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ovarense than the current prediction. (-7.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Ovarense, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Esgueira - Ovarense Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.53
    (2.34)

    1.44
    (1.47)
    9%
    (10.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 170.50
    • The most likely Handicap: 2 (-5)
    What is the prediction for Esgueira - Ovarense?
  • Users Predictions: Esgueira will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 59.78%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Esgueira will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 83:88.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Esgueira won 0.
    • Recent form of Esgueira has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Ovarense has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Ovarense is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Esgueira won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 17 matches, and goals 1524:1710. (average 76.2:85.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Esgueira won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 871:990. (average 79.2:90).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Esgueira - Ovarense were as follows:
    25.10.2025 Esgueira - Ovarense 81:102
    04.10.2025 Ovarense - Esgueira 81:75
    26.04.2025 Esgueira - Ovarense 84:85
    01.03.2025 Ovarense - Esgueira 94:68
    19.01.2025 Esgueira - Ovarense 81:92
    Latest results of Esgueira
    18.01.2026 Esgueira - Porto 78:100
    10.01.2026 Esgueira - Porto 76:67
    03.01.2026 Benfica - Esgueira 81:72
    20.12.2025 Imortal - Esgueira 102:84
    Latest results of Ovarense
    17.01.2026 Ovarense - Sporting Lisbon 70:85
    11.01.2026 Braga - Ovarense 74:86
    06.01.2026 Porto - Ovarense 74:62
    03.01.2026 Ovarense - Galitos Barreiro 88:64
    27.12.2025 CAQ Queluz - Ovarense 82:84
    Portuguese LPB Table
    2025/26
    PlWLPts
    1Benfica151411465:114829
    2Sporting CP151231321:115727
    3Ovarense151141239:115726
    4FC Porto151051354:126625
    5Oliveirense15871276:124623
    6Braga15781198:121522
    7Esgueira15691282:134421
    8Imortal155101278:129220
    9Vitoria155101237:135120
    10CA Queluz155101240:129020
    11Galitos Barreiro154111253:142919
    12Vasco Da Gama153121202:145018

          Promotion ~ LPB (Quarter~finals)
          Relegation ~ Proliga