Chorley vs Oxford City – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football English National League North Chorley - Oxford City
Result
3:3
11/10/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • National League North - Round 11

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 2)
  • 16', 0 - 1, Scott T. ,
  • 42', 0 - 2, Johnson D. ,
  • 2nd Half (3 - 1)
  • 57', 1 - 2, Ibbitson H. ,
  • 62', 1 - 3, Scott T. ,
  • 67', 2 - 3, Hewitt C. ,
  • 90', 3 - 3, Henley A. ,

Chances of winning


Chorley
57.8%
Draw
23.4%
Oxford City
18.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
62.2% 21.5% 16.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.3% 20.8% 15.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Chorley has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)
  • Oxford City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chorley than the current prediction. (+6.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Chorley, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Oxford City than the current prediction. (-2.9%)
  • Chorley - Oxford City Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.79
    (1.45)
    4.22
    (4.2)
    5.34
    (5.5)
    -1.6%
    (11%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
    What is the prediction for Chorley - Oxford City?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Chorley (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ National League North (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 22 in the zone Relegation).
    • Chorley has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Oxford City is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Chorley may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Chorley is the undeniable favorite.
    • In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Chorley won 0 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:3. (average 0.8:0.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Chorley won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1. (average 0.5:0.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Chorley - Oxford City were as follows:
    21.01.2025 Chorley - Oxford City 0:0
    31.08.2024 Oxford City - Chorley 2:2
    Latest results of Chorley
    04.10.2025 South Shields - Chorley 2:0
    27.09.2025 South Shields - Chorley 4:1
    13.09.2025 Congleton Town - Chorley 0:1
    Latest results of Oxford City
    English National League North Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1South Shields12102026:52132
    2AFC Fylde1392233:161729
    3Scarborough1382322:18426
    4Radcliffe1381430:151525
    5Spennymoor1272322:21123
    6Chorley1363428:20821
    7Buxton1262420:18220
    8Kidderminster1355316:17-120
    9Macclesfield1253417:16118
    10Curzon Ashton1244419:17216
    11Merthyr Town1251621:25-416
    12Marine1251613:21-816
    13Worksop1343618:22-415
    14Chester1236316:20-415
    15Hereford1243514:18-415
    16Kingu2019s Lynn1235420:16414
    17Darlington1234518:18013
    18AFC Telford1234518:19-113
    19Bedford1234515:18-313
    20Leamington1333710:17-712
    21Alfreton122469:22-1310
    22Oxford City1322919:25-68
    23Southport1122710:18-88
    24Peterborough Sports1122710:22-128

          Promotion ~ National League
          Promotion ~ National League North (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Promotion ~ National League North (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
          Relegation