Result
1:1
22/11/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Championship - Round 16
- Referee: Toner B. (Eng)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.51 | 0.77 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 30% | 70% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 19 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 67% (173/257) | 84% (488/581) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.51 | 0.77 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.46 | 0.83 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 19 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 9 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 11 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 8 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 8 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 14 | 39 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 16 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 67% (173/257) | 84% (488/581) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 29% (18/62) | 46% (25/54) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 49% (45/92) | 69% (137/200) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 25% (2/8) | 16% (5/31) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.46 | 0.89 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 23 | 26 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 16 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 71% (12/17) | 82% (9/11) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 38 | 48 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 34 | 10 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 13 | 14 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.83 | 0.46 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.17 | -0.54 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 15', Harris L. 🟨,
- 28', 1 - 0, Harris L. ⚽, Currie J. (A),
- 34', Browne A. 🟨,
- 40', De Keersmaecker B. 🟨,
- 42', Brannagan C. ↓, Vaulks W. ↑,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Targett M. ↓, Silvera S. ↑,
- 54', 1 - 1, Whittaker M. ⚽, Brittain C. (A),
- 62', Morris A. ↓, McGree R. ↑,
- 62', Burgzorg D. ↓, Sene M. K. ↑,
- 63', Harris L. ↓, Harris M. ↑,
- 63', Goodrham T. ↓, Krastev F. ↑,
- 63', Placheta P. ↓, Mills S. ↑,
- 76', Lankshear W. ↓, ter Haar Romeny O. ↑,
- 83', Harris M. 🟨,
- 87', Sene M. K. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Oxford United
26% | Draw
27.7% | Middlesbrough
46.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Oxford United - Middlesbrough Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.69 ↓
(3.77) |
3.45 ↑
(3.44) |
2.06 ↑
(1.99) |
4.6%
(5.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Oxford United - Middlesbrough?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 1, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Middlesbrough will win
(12 of 15 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.76% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Middlesbrough will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 21 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League).
- Oxford is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Middlesbrough's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Middlesbrough is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Oxford: Currie J.
(Knock)
Phillips M.
(Thigh Injury)
Spencer B.
(Leg Injury)
- There will not play in Middlesbrough: Kante A.
(Groin Injury)
Lenihan D.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
- There are questionable in Middlesbrough: Fry D.
(Injury)
Targett M.
(Hamstring Injury)
- In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Oxford won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 5:11. (average 1.3:2.8).
- Including home match between the teams, Oxford won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:6.
How many head-to-head matches has Oxford United won against Middlesbrough?
Oxford United has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Middlesbrough won against Oxford United?
Middlesbrough has won 2 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Oxford United - Middlesbrough were as follows:
29.03.2025
Middlesbrough
-
Oxford United
2:1
23.11.2024
Oxford United
-
Middlesbrough
2:6
Latest results of Oxford United
Latest results of Middlesbrough
English League Championship Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Middlesbrough | 31 | 18 | 7 | 6 | 49:30 | 19 | 61 |
| 2 | Coventry | 31 | 17 | 8 | 6 | 63:35 | 28 | 59 |
| 3 | Ipswich | 30 | 15 | 9 | 6 | 51:29 | 22 | 54 |
| 4 | Hull | 31 | 16 | 6 | 9 | 50:43 | 7 | 54 |
| 5 | Millwall | 31 | 15 | 8 | 8 | 39:36 | 3 | 53 |
| 6 | Wrexham | 31 | 12 | 11 | 8 | 44:39 | 5 | 47 |
| 7 | Preston | 31 | 12 | 11 | 8 | 38:34 | 4 | 47 |
| 8 | Bristol City | 31 | 13 | 7 | 11 | 43:38 | 5 | 46 |
| 9 | Southampton | 32 | 12 | 10 | 10 | 48:44 | 4 | 46 |
| 10 | Birmingham | 32 | 12 | 10 | 10 | 43:39 | 4 | 46 |
| 11 | Derby | 31 | 12 | 9 | 10 | 45:39 | 6 | 45 |
| 12 | Watford | 31 | 11 | 11 | 9 | 39:36 | 3 | 44 |
| 13 | QPR | 31 | 12 | 8 | 11 | 42:43 | -1 | 44 |
| 14 | Stoke | 32 | 12 | 7 | 13 | 34:29 | 5 | 43 |
| 15 | Swansea | 31 | 12 | 6 | 13 | 38:37 | 1 | 42 |
| 16 | Norwich | 32 | 11 | 6 | 15 | 42:42 | 0 | 39 |
| 17 | Sheffield Utd | 31 | 12 | 3 | 16 | 44:45 | -1 | 39 |
| 18 | Charlton | 31 | 10 | 9 | 12 | 30:38 | -8 | 39 |
| 19 | West Brom | 32 | 9 | 7 | 16 | 32:47 | -15 | 34 |
| 20 | Portsmouth | 29 | 8 | 9 | 12 | 27:38 | -11 | 33 |
| 21 | Leicester | 32 | 10 | 8 | 14 | 44:51 | -7 | 32 |
| 22 | Blackburn | 31 | 8 | 8 | 15 | 27:40 | -13 | 32 |
| 23 | Oxford Utd | 32 | 6 | 10 | 16 | 28:44 | -16 | 28 |
| 24 | Sheffield Wed | 31 | 1 | 8 | 22 | 18:62 | -44 | -7 |
Promotion ~ Premier League
Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ League One
