Result
2:1
29/03/2025 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Championship - Round 39
- Referee: Donohue M. (Eng)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
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 Hungary | Net4+ |
 Usa | Paramount+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.35 | 1.45 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 74% | 26% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 24 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (521/609) | 65% (140/215) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.35 | 1.45 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.46 | 1.33 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 24 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 9 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 11 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 7 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 15 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 38 | 14 |
| Through passes |
|---|
| 0% (0/2) | 100% (1/1) |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (521/609) | 65% (140/215) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 24% (8/33) | 27% (13/48) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 80% (200/251) | 47% (27/58) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 12% (3/25) | 33% (4/12) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.37 | 1.08 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 5 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 73% (11/15) | 65% (15/23) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 42 | 46 |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 31 | 47 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 4 | 16 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.33 | 1.46 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.33 | -0.54 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 38', 0 - 1, Helik M. ⚽, Harris M. (A),
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 46', Phillips M. ↓, Kioso P. ↑,
- 48', 1 - 1, Iheanacho K. ⚽, Iling Junior S. (A),
- 58', Harris M. 🟨,
- 65', Placheta P. ↓, Mills S. ↑,
- 65', Harris M. ↓, Bradshaw T. ↑,
- 65', Dembele S. ↓, Goodrham T. ↑,
- 66', Burgzorg D. ↓, Whittaker M. ↑,
- 75', Iheanacho K. ↓, Forss M. ↑,
- 80', 2 - 1, Neto Borges ⚽, Iling Junior S. (A),
- 83', ter Avest H. ↓, ter Haar Romeny O. ↑,
- 85', Conway T. ↓, van den Berg R. ↑,
- 85', Iling Junior S. ↓, Giles R. ↑,
- 87', ter Haar Romeny O. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Middlesbrough
61% | Draw
22.8% | Oxford United
16.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Middlesbrough has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)Oxford United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Middlesbrough than the current prediction. (+0.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Oxford United than the current prediction. (+0.5%)
Middlesbrough - Oxford United Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.57 ↑
(1.56) |
4.19 ↓
(4.19) |
5.77 ↑
(5.55) |
5%
(5.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Middlesbrough - Oxford United?
Users Predictions:
18 users predict this event. Middlesbrough will win (votes: 15 - 83.3%). Oxford will win (votes: 2 - 11.1%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 5.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Middlesbrough: 66.1% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 8 and 18).
- Middlesbrough is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
- Oxford is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- In this match Middlesbrough is a favorite.
- There will not play in Middlesbrough: Ayling L.
(Ankle Injury)
Bangura A.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
Brynn S.
(Muscle Injury)
Dieng S.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
Doak B.
(Thigh Injury)
Edmundson G.
(Ankle Injury)
Lenihan D.
(Ankle Injury)
McGree R.
(Muscle Injury)
van den Berg R.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Oxford: Bennett J.
(Hip Injury)
Bradshaw T.
(Knee Injury)
Leigh G.
(Muscle Injury)
Moore E.
(Hamstring Injury)
- There are questionable in Middlesbrough: Fry D.
(Calf Injury)
- Last 3 head-to-head matches Middlesbrough won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 9:4 (average 3:1.3).
- Including matches at home between the teams Middlesbrough won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3:2 (average 1.5:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Middlesbrough won against Oxford United?
Middlesbrough has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Oxford United won against Middlesbrough?
Oxford United has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Middlesbrough - Oxford United were as follows:
23.11.2024
Oxford United
-
Middlesbrough
2:6
Latest results of Middlesbrough
Latest results of Oxford United
English League Championship Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Coventry | 11 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 31:8 | 23 | 25 |
| 2 | Middlesbrough | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 15:7 | 8 | 24 |
| 3 | Millwall | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 13:13 | 0 | 20 |
| 4 | Bristol City | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 19:11 | 8 | 19 |
| 5 | Charlton | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 13:9 | 4 | 18 |
| 6 | Stoke | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 12:8 | 4 | 18 |
| 7 | Hull | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 19:19 | 0 | 18 |
| 8 | QPR | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 15:16 | -1 | 18 |
| 9 | Leicester | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 15:11 | 4 | 17 |
| 10 | West Brom | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 12:13 | -1 | 17 |
| 11 | Preston | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 12:10 | 2 | 16 |
| 12 | Watford | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 13:13 | 0 | 15 |
| 13 | Birmingham | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 11:14 | -3 | 15 |
| 14 | Ipswich | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 16:13 | 3 | 13 |
| 15 | Wrexham | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 15:16 | -1 | 13 |
| 16 | Swansea | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 10:11 | -1 | 13 |
| 17 | Portsmouth | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 10:12 | -2 | 13 |
| 18 | Southampton | 11 | 2 | 6 | 3 | 12:15 | -3 | 12 |
| 19 | Derby | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 12:16 | -4 | 11 |
| 20 | Oxford Utd | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 11:14 | -3 | 9 |
| 21 | Sheffield Utd | 11 | 3 | 0 | 8 | 7:17 | -10 | 9 |
| 22 | Norwich | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 11:16 | -5 | 8 |
| 23 | Blackburn | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 8:16 | -8 | 7 |
| 24 | Sheffield Wed | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 9:23 | -14 | 6 |
Promotion ~ Premier League
Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ League One
