Middlesbrough vs Oxford United – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football English League Championship Middlesbrough - Oxford United
Result
2:1
29/03/2025 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Championship - Round 39
  • Referee: Donohue M. (Eng)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
hungaryHungaryNet4+
usaUsaParamount+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.351.45
Ball Possession
74%26%
Total shots
249
Shots on target
43
Big Chances
32
Corner Kicks
115
Passes
86% (521/609)65% (140/215)
Yellow Cards
02
Expected Goals (xG)
2.351.45
xG on target (xGOT)
1.461.33
Total shots
249
Shots on target
43
Shots off target
95
Blocked Shots
111
Shots inside the Box
97
Shots outside the Box
152
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
32
Corner Kicks
115
Touches in opposition box
3814
Through passes
0% (0/2)100% (1/1)
Offsides
21
Free Kicks
115
Passes
86% (521/609)65% (140/215)
Long passes
24% (8/33)27% (13/48)
Passes in final third
80% (200/251)47% (27/58)
Crosses
12% (3/25)33% (4/12)
Expected assists (xA)
1.371.08
Fouls
511
Tackles
73% (11/15)65% (15/23)
Duels won
4246
Clearances Total
3147
Interceptions
416
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
22
xGOT faced
1.331.46
Goals prevented
0.33-0.54

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 38', 0 - 1, Helik M. , Harris M. (A),
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 46', Phillips M. , Kioso P. ,
  • 48', 1 - 1, Iheanacho K. , Iling Junior S. (A),
  • 58', Harris M. 🟨,
  • 65', Placheta P. , Mills S. ,
  • 65', Harris M. , Bradshaw T. ,
  • 65', Dembele S. , Goodrham T. ,
  • 66', Burgzorg D. , Whittaker M. ,
  • 75', Iheanacho K. , Forss M. ,
  • 80', 2 - 1, Neto Borges , Iling Junior S. (A),
  • 83', ter Avest H. , ter Haar Romeny O. ,
  • 85', Conway T. , van den Berg R. ,
  • 85', Iling Junior S. , Giles R. ,
  • 87', ter Haar Romeny O. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Middlesbrough
61%
Draw
22.8%
Oxford United
16.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
60.4% 22.5% 17%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.6% 22.1% 16.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Middlesbrough has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)
  • Oxford United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Middlesbrough than the current prediction. (+0.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Oxford United than the current prediction. (+0.5%)
  • Middlesbrough - Oxford United Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.57
    (1.56)
    4.19
    (4.19)
    5.77
    (5.55)
    5%
    (5.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Middlesbrough - Oxford United?
  • Users Predictions: 18 users predict this event. Middlesbrough will win (votes: 15 - 83.3%). Oxford will win (votes: 2 - 11.1%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 5.6%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Middlesbrough: 66.1%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 8 and 18).
    • Middlesbrough is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Oxford is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • In this match Middlesbrough is a favorite.
    • There will not play in Middlesbrough: Ayling L. (Ankle Injury) Bangura A. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Brynn S. (Muscle Injury) Dieng S. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Doak B. (Thigh Injury) Edmundson G. (Ankle Injury) Lenihan D. (Ankle Injury) McGree R. (Muscle Injury) van den Berg R. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Oxford: Bennett J. (Hip Injury) Bradshaw T. (Knee Injury) Leigh G. (Muscle Injury) Moore E. (Hamstring Injury)
    • There are questionable in Middlesbrough: Fry D. (Calf Injury)
    • Last 3 head-to-head matches Middlesbrough won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 9:4 (average 3:1.3).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Middlesbrough won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3:2 (average 1.5:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Middlesbrough - Oxford United were as follows:
    23.11.2024 Oxford United - Middlesbrough 2:6
    Latest results of Middlesbrough
    Latest results of Oxford United
    English League Championship Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Middlesbrough853012:5718
    2Coventry844022:71516
    3Stoke842210:5514
    4West Brom84229:7214
    5Bristol City834114:8613
    6Leicester834110:7313
    7Preston83419:7213
    8Swansea83329:7212
    9Charlton83328:6212
    10QPR833211:13-212
    11Birmingham83237:10-311
    12Millwall83236:12-611
    13Ipswich724112:7510
    14Southampton824210:11-110
    15Wrexham823313:14-19
    16Watford82339:10-19
    17Portsmouth82337:9-29
    18Hull823313:16-39
    19Norwich822410:11-18
    20Derby814310:14-47
    21Oxford Utd81349:11-26
    22Blackburn72056:10-46
    23Sheffield Wed81348:15-76
    24Sheffield Utd81073:15-123

          Promotion ~ Premier League
          Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ League One