Oxford United vs Middlesbrough – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:1
22/11/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Championship - Round 16
  • Referee: Toner B. (Eng)

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.510.77
Ball Possession
30%70%
Total shots
919
Shots on target
23
Big Chances
00
Corner Kicks
18
Passes
67% (173/257)84% (488/581)
Yellow Cards
32
Expected Goals (xG)
0.510.77
xG on target (xGOT)
0.460.83
Total shots
919
Shots on target
23
Shots off target
47
Blocked Shots
39
Shots inside the Box
411
Shots outside the Box
58
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
00
Corner Kicks
18
Touches in opposition box
1439
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
22
Free Kicks
1216
Passes
67% (173/257)84% (488/581)
Long passes
29% (18/62)46% (25/54)
Passes in final third
49% (45/92)69% (137/200)
Crosses
25% (2/8)16% (5/31)
Expected assists (xA)
0.460.89
Throw-ins
2326
Fouls
1612
Tackles
71% (12/17)82% (9/11)
Duels won
3848
Clearances
3410
Interceptions
1314
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
21
xGOT faced
0.830.46
Goals prevented
-0.17-0.54

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 15', Harris L. 🟨,
  • 28', 1 - 0, Harris L. , Currie J. (A),
  • 34', Browne A. 🟨,
  • 40', De Keersmaecker B. 🟨,
  • 42', Brannagan C. , Vaulks W. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Targett M. , Silvera S. ,
  • 54', 1 - 1, Whittaker M. , Brittain C. (A),
  • 62', Morris A. , McGree R. ,
  • 62', Burgzorg D. , Sene M. K. ,
  • 63', Harris L. , Harris M. ,
  • 63', Goodrham T. , Krastev F. ,
  • 63', Placheta P. , Mills S. ,
  • 76', Lankshear W. , ter Haar Romeny O. ,
  • 83', Harris M. 🟨,
  • 87', Sene M. K. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Oxford United
26%
Draw
27.7%
Middlesbrough
46.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
25.1% 27.4% 47.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.9% 27.2% 47.8%

Oxford United - Middlesbrough Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
3.69
(3.77)
3.45
(3.44)
2.06
(1.99)
4.6%
(5.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Oxford United - Middlesbrough?
  • Users Predictions: Middlesbrough will win (12 of 15 users predict this - 80%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 59.76%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 21 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League).
    • Oxford is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Middlesbrough's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Middlesbrough is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Oxford: Currie J. (Knock) Phillips M. (Thigh Injury) Spencer B. (Leg Injury)
    • There will not play in Middlesbrough: Kante A. (Groin Injury) Lenihan D. (Achilles Tendon Injury)
    • There are questionable in Middlesbrough: Fry D. (Injury) Targett M. (Hamstring Injury)
    • In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Oxford won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 5:11. (average 1.3:2.8).
    • Including home match between the teams, Oxford won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:6.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Oxford United - Middlesbrough were as follows:
    29.03.2025 Middlesbrough - Oxford United 2:1
    23.11.2024 Oxford United - Middlesbrough 2:6
    Latest results of Oxford United
    Latest results of Middlesbrough
    English League Championship Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Coventry19134250:212943
    2Middlesbrough19106328:20836
    3Millwall19104523:25-234
    4Ipswich1987433:191431
    5Preston1987426:20631
    6Stoke1993726:18830
    7Bristol City1985626:21529
    8Birmingham1984728:23528
    9Hull1984731:34-328
    10QPR1984725:29-428
    11Southampton1976631:26527
    12Wrexham1969424:21327
    13Watford1976627:25227
    14Leicester1976625:24127
    15Derby1975726:28-226
    16West Brom1974821:25-425
    17Charlton1865718:23-523
    18Sheffield Utd19711124:28-422
    19Blackburn1863918:23-521
    20Swansea1955920:27-720
    21Oxford Utd1946920:27-718
    22Portsmouth1845915:25-1017
    23Norwich19341221:32-1113
    24Sheffield Wed18151214:36-22-10

          Promotion ~ Premier League
          Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ League One