Result
0:0
21/02/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Championship - Round 33
- Referee: Langford O. (Eng)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Denmark | Viaplay |
 Iceland | Viaplay |
 Netherlands | Viaplay |
 Norway | TV2 Play, Viaplay |
 Sweden | Viaplay |
 Usa | Paramount+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.16 | 0.82 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 74% | 26% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 25 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 90% (614/684) | 68% (155/228) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.16 | 0.82 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.67 | 0.06 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 25 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 11 | 7 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 14 | 5 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 11 | 8 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 56 | 14 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 90% (614/684) | 68% (155/228) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 56% (20/36) | 45% (29/64) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 87% (299/344) | 56% (40/71) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 29% (7/24) | 33% (5/15) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 3.01 | 0.48 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 15 | 14 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 69% (9/13) | 60% (9/15) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 40 | 46 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 25 | 41 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.06 | 1.67 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.06 | 1.67 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 39', Morris A. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 57', Peart-Harris M. ↓, Donley J. ↑,
- 57', Mills S. ↓, ter Haar Romeny O. ↑,
- 57', Jeon Jin-Woo ↓, Emakhu A. ↑,
- 57', McDonnell J. ↓, Vaulks W. ↑,
- 60', Sarmiento J. ↓, McGree R. ↑,
- 62', Brannagan C. 🟨,
- 75', Targett M. 🟨,
- 75', Strelec D. ↓, Sene M. K. ↑,
- 75', Morris A. ↓, Gilbert A. ↑,
- 84', Whittaker M. ↓, Browne A. ↑,
- 86', Gilbert A. 🟨,
- 86', Lankshear W. ↓, Helik M. ↑,
Chances of winning
Middlesbrough
68.4% | Draw
20.1% | Oxford United
11.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Middlesbrough has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)Oxford United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Middlesbrough than the current prediction. (-0.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Oxford United than the current prediction. (+2.3%)
Middlesbrough - Oxford United Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.39 ↓
(1.46) |
4.73 ↑
(4.51) |
8.25 ↑
(6.55) |
5.3%
(5.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Middlesbrough - Oxford United?
Users Predictions:
21 users predict this event. Middlesbrough will win (votes: 16 - 76.2%). Oxford will win (votes: 4 - 19%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 4.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Middlesbrough: 58% – 94.4%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Middlesbrough will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League and 23 in the zone Relegation ~ League One).
- Middlesbrough is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Oxford is on a losing streak (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Middlesbrough may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Middlesbrough is the undisputed favorite.
- There will not play in Middlesbrough: Bangura A.
(Injury)
Edmundson G.
(Injury)
Jones A.
(Injury)
Lenihan D.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
- There will not play in Oxford: De Keersmaecker B.
(Inactive)
Goodrham T.
(Injury)
Leigh G.
(Inactive)
Prelec N.
(Groin Injury)
ter Avest H.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Middlesbrough: Castledine L.
(Inactive)
- We predict that Middlesbrough will win today's game, with odds of 1.4.
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Middlesbrough won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 12:6. (average 2.4:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Middlesbrough won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:3. (average 1.7:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Middlesbrough won against Oxford United?
Middlesbrough has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Oxford United won against Middlesbrough?
Oxford United has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Middlesbrough - Oxford United were as follows:
22.11.2025
Oxford United
-
Middlesbrough
1:1
29.03.2025
Middlesbrough
-
Oxford United
2:1
23.11.2024
Oxford United
-
Middlesbrough
2:6
Latest results of Middlesbrough
Latest results of Oxford United
English League Championship Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Coventry | 35 | 21 | 8 | 6 | 72:38 | 34 | 71 |
| 2 | Middlesbrough | 35 | 19 | 9 | 7 | 54:35 | 19 | 66 |
| 3 | Ipswich | 34 | 18 | 9 | 7 | 60:34 | 26 | 63 |
| 4 | Millwall | 35 | 18 | 8 | 9 | 47:40 | 7 | 62 |
| 5 | Hull | 35 | 18 | 6 | 11 | 56:49 | 7 | 60 |
| 6 | Wrexham | 35 | 15 | 12 | 8 | 54:45 | 9 | 57 |
| 7 | Southampton | 35 | 14 | 11 | 10 | 57:46 | 11 | 53 |
| 8 | Derby | 35 | 14 | 9 | 12 | 52:46 | 6 | 51 |
| 9 | Watford | 35 | 13 | 12 | 10 | 45:41 | 4 | 51 |
| 10 | Bristol City | 35 | 14 | 8 | 13 | 48:44 | 4 | 50 |
| 11 | Preston | 35 | 12 | 13 | 10 | 41:40 | 1 | 49 |
| 12 | Birmingham | 35 | 13 | 10 | 12 | 46:46 | 0 | 49 |
| 13 | Sheffield Utd | 35 | 15 | 3 | 17 | 50:48 | 2 | 48 |
| 14 | Stoke | 35 | 13 | 8 | 14 | 39:34 | 5 | 47 |
| 15 | QPR | 35 | 13 | 8 | 14 | 46:54 | -8 | 47 |
| 16 | Swansea | 35 | 13 | 7 | 15 | 40:43 | -3 | 46 |
| 17 | Norwich | 35 | 13 | 6 | 16 | 47:44 | 3 | 45 |
| 18 | Charlton | 35 | 10 | 11 | 14 | 33:44 | -11 | 41 |
| 19 | Portsmouth | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 34:44 | -10 | 39 |
| 20 | Blackburn | 35 | 10 | 8 | 17 | 33:46 | -13 | 38 |
| 21 | West Brom | 35 | 9 | 8 | 18 | 34:52 | -18 | 35 |
| 22 | Leicester | 35 | 10 | 10 | 15 | 47:56 | -9 | 34 |
| 23 | Oxford Utd | 35 | 7 | 11 | 17 | 31:47 | -16 | 32 |
| 24 | Sheffield Wed ✔ | 35 | 1 | 8 | 26 | 21:71 | -50 | -7 |
Promotion ~ Premier League
Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ League One
Clinched Spots for Teams
Sheffield Wed is Relegated to League One
