Oxford United vs Swansea City – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

29/12/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

Kassam Stadium (Oxford).

Championship - Round 24
Referee: Herczeg A. (Eng)

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
0.41	0.82
Ball Possession
48%	52%
Total shots
10	10
Shots on target
2	5
Big Chances
0	2
Corner Kicks
1	5
Passes
67% (263/394)	72% (309/431)
Yellow Cards
2	4
Expected Goals (xG)
0.41	0.82
xG on target (xGOT)
0.08	1.18
Total shots
10	10
Shots on target
2	5
Shots off target
3	3
Blocked Shots
5	2
Shots inside the Box
2	9
Shots outside the Box
8	1
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Headed Goals
0	1
Big Chances
0	2
Corner Kicks
1	5
Touches in opposition box
11	25
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
1	2
Free Kicks
11	13
Passes
67% (263/394)	72% (309/431)
Long passes
29% (22/76)	31% (24/77)
Passes in final third
47% (43/91)	49% (60/123)
Crosses
25% (2/8)	31% (5/16)
Expected assists (xA)
0.18	0.89
Throw-ins
31	23
Fouls
13	11
Tackles
63% (10/16)	71% (12/17)
Duels won
56	68
Clearances
23	37
Interceptions
13	17
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
4	2
xGOT faced
1.18	0.08
Goals prevented
0.18	0.08

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 1)
13', Goodrham T. 🟨,
13', 0 - 1, Vipotnik Z. ⚽, Tymon J. (A),
35', Widell M. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
53', Inoussa Z. 🟨,
55', Harris L. ↓, Krastev F. ↑,
61', Inoussa Z. ↓, Ronald ↑,
61', Fulton J. ↓, Franco G. ↑,
66', Placheta P. ↓, Dembele S. ↑,
66', Prelec N. ↓, Lankshear W. ↑,
69', Currie J. 🟨,
73', Stamenic M. 🟨,
75', Eom J. 🟨,
76', Eom J. ↓, Yalcouye M. ↑,
77', Mills S. ↓, ter Haar Romeny O. ↑,
87', Widell M. ↓, Samuels-Smith I. ↑,
87', Galbraith E. ↓, Key J. ↑,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Oxford United
34.9%

Draw
30%

Swansea City
35.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.9%

29.9%

35.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.8%

29.8%

35.3%

Oxford United - Swansea City Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.7 ↑ (2.68)	3.12 (3.12)	2.68 ↑ (2.66)	6.4% (7%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

What is the prediction for Oxford United - Swansea City?

Users Predictions: 22 users predict this event. Oxford will win (votes: 8 - 36.4%). Swansea will win (votes: 2 - 9.1%). It will Tie (votes: 12 - 54.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 33.7% – 75.3%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Oxford (votes: 1 - 25%). Tie (votes: 3 - 75%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 50%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 0.5, 1st Half - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 21 and 20).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Oxford won 2.
Recent form of Oxford has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
In recent matches, Swansea has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
There will not play in Oxford: Brannagan C. (Calf Injury) ter Avest H. (Injury)
There will not play in Swansea: Benson M. (International duty)
There are questionable in Oxford: Phillips M. (Thigh Injury)
In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Oxford won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:11. (average 1.8:1.8).
Including home matches between the teams, Oxford won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 8:6. (average 2:1.5).

How many head-to-head matches has Oxford United won against Swansea City?

Oxford United has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Swansea City won against Oxford United?

Swansea City has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Oxford United - Swansea City were as follows:

06.12.2025 Swansea City - Oxford United 2:0

03.05.2025 Swansea City - Oxford United 3:3

02.11.2024 Oxford United - Swansea City 1:2

21.07.2023 Oxford United - Swansea City 1:0

Latest results of Oxford United

26.12.2025 Oxford United - Southampton 2:1 ✺

20.12.2025 Charlton Athletic - Oxford United 1:0 ✺

13.12.2025 Oxford United - Preston North End 1:2 ✺

09.12.2025 Blackburn Rovers - Oxford United 1:1 ✺

06.12.2025 Swansea City - Oxford United 2:0 ✺

Latest results of Swansea City

26.12.2025 Coventry City - Swansea City 1:0 ✺

19.12.2025 Swansea City - Wrexham 2:1 ✺

13.12.2025 Stoke City - Swansea City 2:1 ✺

09.12.2025 Swansea City - Portsmouth 1:0 ✺

06.12.2025 Swansea City - Oxford United 2:0 ✺

English League Championship Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Coventry	28	17	7	4	61:31	30	58
2	Middlesbrough	28	15	7	6	42:29	13	52
3	Ipswich	27	14	8	5	47:24	23	50
4	Hull	27	14	5	8	45:39	6	47
5	Millwall	28	13	7	8	32:35	-3	46
6	Preston	28	11	10	7	36:29	7	43
7	Watford	27	11	9	7	38:32	6	42
8	Stoke	28	12	5	11	33:25	8	41
9	Wrexham	28	10	11	7	40:35	5	41
10	Derby	28	11	8	9	38:36	2	41
11	Bristol City	28	11	7	10	38:31	7	40
12	QPR	28	11	7	10	38:39	-1	40
13	Birmingham	28	10	8	10	38:37	1	38
14	Leicester	28	10	8	10	39:41	-2	38
15	Southampton	28	9	9	10	40:40	0	36
16	Swansea	28	10	6	12	31:35	-4	36
17	Sheffield Utd	27	10	2	15	36:40	-4	32
18	Charlton	27	8	8	11	27:34	-7	32
19	West Brom	28	9	4	15	31:43	-12	31
20	Norwich	28	8	6	14	35:40	-5	30
21	Portsmouth	26	7	8	11	23:36	-13	29
22	Blackburn	27	7	7	13	25:36	-11	28
23	Oxford Utd	27	5	9	13	25:35	-10	24
24	Sheffield Wed	27	1	8	18	18:54	-36	-7

      Promotion ~ Premier League
      Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
      Relegation ~ League One