Oxford United vs Swansea City – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

29/12/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

Kassam Stadium (Oxford).

Championship - Round 24
Referee: Herczeg A. (Eng)

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
0.41	0.82
Ball Possession
48%	52%
Total shots
10	10
Shots on target
2	5
Big Chances
0	2
Corner Kicks
1	5
Passes
67% (263/394)	72% (309/431)
Yellow Cards
2	4
Expected Goals (xG)
0.41	0.82
xG on target (xGOT)
0.08	1.18
Total shots
10	10
Shots on target
2	5
Shots off target
3	3
Blocked Shots
5	2
Shots inside the Box
2	9
Shots outside the Box
8	1
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Headed Goals
0	1
Big Chances
0	2
Corner Kicks
1	5
Touches in opposition box
11	25
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
1	2
Free Kicks
11	13
Passes
67% (263/394)	72% (309/431)
Long passes
29% (22/76)	31% (24/77)
Passes in final third
47% (43/91)	49% (60/123)
Crosses
25% (2/8)	31% (5/16)
Expected assists (xA)
0.18	0.89
Throw-ins
31	23
Fouls
13	11
Tackles
63% (10/16)	71% (12/17)
Duels won
56	68
Clearances
23	37
Interceptions
13	17
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
4	2
xGOT faced
1.18	0.08
Goals prevented
0.18	0.08

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 1)
13', Goodrham T. 🟨,
13', 0 - 1, Vipotnik Z. ⚽, Tymon J. (A),
35', Widell M. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
53', Inoussa Z. 🟨,
55', Harris L. ↓, Krastev F. ↑,
61', Inoussa Z. ↓, Ronald ↑,
61', Fulton J. ↓, Franco G. ↑,
66', Placheta P. ↓, Dembele S. ↑,
66', Prelec N. ↓, Lankshear W. ↑,
69', Currie J. 🟨,
73', Stamenic M. 🟨,
75', Eom J. 🟨,
76', Eom J. ↓, Yalcouye M. ↑,
77', Mills S. ↓, ter Haar Romeny O. ↑,
87', Widell M. ↓, Samuels-Smith I. ↑,
87', Galbraith E. ↓, Key J. ↑,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Oxford United
34.9%

Draw
30%

Swansea City
35.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.9%

29.9%

35.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.8%

29.8%

35.3%

Oxford United - Swansea City Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.7 ↑ (2.68)	3.12 (3.12)	2.68 ↑ (2.66)	6.4% (7%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

What is the prediction for Oxford United - Swansea City?

Users Predictions: 22 users predict this event. Oxford will win (votes: 8 - 36.4%). Swansea will win (votes: 2 - 9.1%). It will Tie (votes: 12 - 54.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 33.7% – 75.3%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 8 high ROI users predict this event. Oxford (votes: 2 - 25%). Tie (votes: 6 - 75%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 50%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 0.5, 1st Half - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 21 and 20).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Oxford won 2.
Recent form of Oxford has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
In recent matches, Swansea has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
There will not play in Oxford: Brannagan C. (Calf Injury) ter Avest H. (Injury)
There will not play in Swansea: Benson M. (International duty)
There are questionable in Oxford: Phillips M. (Thigh Injury)
In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Oxford won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:11. (average 1.8:1.8).
Including home matches between the teams, Oxford won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 8:6. (average 2:1.5).

How many head-to-head matches has Oxford United won against Swansea City?

Oxford United has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Swansea City won against Oxford United?

Swansea City has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Oxford United - Swansea City were as follows:

06.12.2025 Swansea City - Oxford United 2:0

03.05.2025 Swansea City - Oxford United 3:3

02.11.2024 Oxford United - Swansea City 1:2

21.07.2023 Oxford United - Swansea City 1:0

Latest results of Oxford United

26.12.2025 Oxford United - Southampton 2:1 ✺

20.12.2025 Charlton Athletic - Oxford United 1:0 ✺

13.12.2025 Oxford United - Preston North End 1:2 ✺

09.12.2025 Blackburn Rovers - Oxford United 1:1 ✺

06.12.2025 Swansea City - Oxford United 2:0 ✺

Latest results of Swansea City

26.12.2025 Coventry City - Swansea City 1:0 ✺

19.12.2025 Swansea City - Wrexham 2:1 ✺

13.12.2025 Stoke City - Swansea City 2:1 ✺

09.12.2025 Swansea City - Portsmouth 1:0 ✺

06.12.2025 Swansea City - Oxford United 2:0 ✺

English League Championship Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Middlesbrough	31	18	7	6	49:30	19	61
2	Coventry	31	17	8	6	63:35	28	59
3	Ipswich	30	15	9	6	51:29	22	54
4	Hull	31	16	6	9	50:43	7	54
5	Millwall	31	15	8	8	39:36	3	53
6	Wrexham	31	12	11	8	44:39	5	47
7	Preston	31	12	11	8	38:34	4	47
8	Bristol City	31	13	7	11	43:38	5	46
9	Southampton	32	12	10	10	48:44	4	46
10	Birmingham	32	12	10	10	43:39	4	46
11	Derby	31	12	9	10	45:39	6	45
12	Watford	31	11	11	9	39:36	3	44
13	QPR	31	12	8	11	42:43	-1	44
14	Stoke	31	12	7	12	34:28	6	43
15	Swansea	31	12	6	13	38:37	1	42
16	Norwich	32	11	6	15	42:42	0	39
17	Sheffield Utd	31	12	3	16	44:45	-1	39
18	Charlton	30	9	9	12	29:38	-9	36
19	West Brom	32	9	7	16	32:47	-15	34
20	Portsmouth	29	8	9	12	27:38	-11	33
21	Leicester	32	10	8	14	44:51	-7	32
22	Blackburn	31	8	8	15	27:40	-13	32
23	Oxford Utd	32	6	10	16	28:44	-16	28
24	Sheffield Wed	31	1	8	22	18:62	-44	-7

      Promotion ~ Premier League
      Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
      Relegation ~ League One