Swansea City vs Oxford United – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

03/05/2025 at 07:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Swansea.com Stadium (Swansea).

Championship - Round 46
Referee: Bell J. (Eng)
Where to Watch on TV:


Hungary	Net4+
United-kingdom	Sky Sports+

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.16	1.37
Ball Possession
60%	40%
Total shots
12	9
Shots on target
5	6
Big Chances
2	2
Corner Kicks
5	4
Passes
81% (389/481)	74% (244/328)
Yellow Cards
0	2
Expected Goals (xG)
1.16	1.37
xG on target (xGOT)
2.83	1.91
Total shots
12	9
Shots on target
5	6
Shots off target
5	2
Blocked Shots
2	1
Shots inside the Box
8	7
Shots outside the Box
4	2
Hit the Woodwork
0	1
Headed Goals
1	0
Big Chances
2	2
Corner Kicks
5	4
Touches in opposition box
18	15
Accurate through passes
1	0
Offsides
4	3
Free Kicks
10	8
Passes
81% (389/481)	74% (244/328)
Long passes
26% (12/46)	29% (16/56)
Passes in final third
70% (88/126)	57% (35/61)
Crosses
27% (7/26)	33% (3/9)
Expected assists (xA)
0.75	0.86
Throw-ins
21	19
Fouls
8	10
Tackles
50% (8/16)	73% (11/15)
Duels won
42	40
Clearances
6	30
Interceptions
10	8
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
1	0
Goalkeeper Saves
3	2
xGOT faced
1.91	2.83
Goals prevented
-1.09	-0.17

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 1)
23', 1 - 0, Eom J. ⚽, Tymon J. (A),
40', 1 - 1, Leigh G. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 2)
48', Matos A. 🟨,
57', 2 - 1, Ronald ⚽, Tymon J. (A),
62', 2 - 2, Helik M. ⚽,
66', Mills S. ↓, Placheta P. ↑,
67', Rodrigues R. ↓, Harris M. ↑,
70', Allen J. ↓, Naughton K. ↑,
70', Key J. ↓, Cooper O. ↑,
70', Vipotnik Z. ↓, Cullen L. ↑,
77', ter Haar Romeny O. ↓, Ferdinan M. ↑,
77', Leigh G. ↓, Bennett J. ↑,
81', Ronald ↓, Parker S. ↑,
83', 3 - 2, Cullen L. ⚽, Tymon J. (A),
88', ter Avest H. ↓, Long S. ↑,
88', Eom J. ↓, Lloyd B. ↑,
90+3', 3 - 3, Placheta P. ⚽,
90+5', Brannagan C. 🟨,

Chances of winning

Swansea City
59.4%

Draw
23.1%

Oxford United
17.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.4%

24.9%

20.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.3%

24.5%

20.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Swansea City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)

Oxford United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Swansea City than the current prediction. (-4.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Oxford United than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

Swansea City - Oxford United Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.61 ↓ (1.74)	4.11 ↑ (3.79)	5.48 ↑ (4.56)	4.7% (5.9%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

What is the prediction for Swansea City - Oxford United?

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Swansea will win (votes: 5 - 41.7%). Oxford will win (votes: 2 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 41.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Swansea: 13.8% – 69.6%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Swansea (votes: 1 - 100%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.

Preview Facts

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 11 and 17).
Swansea is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).
In recent matches, Oxford has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
In this match, Swansea is a strong favorite.
There will not play in Swansea: Pedersen K. (Hamstring Injury)
There will not play in Oxford: Brown C. (Injury) Dembele S. (Hamstring Injury) Woltman M. (Leg Injury)
There are questionable in Swansea: Peart-Harris M. (Back Injury)
There are questionable in Oxford: Harris M. (Injury)
We predict that Swansea will win today's game, with odds of 1.67.
In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Swansea won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 6:8. (average 1.5:2).

How many head-to-head matches has Swansea City won against Oxford United?

Swansea City has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Oxford United won against Swansea City?

Oxford United has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Swansea City - Oxford United were as follows:

02.11.2024 Oxford United - Swansea City 1:2

21.07.2023 Oxford United - Swansea City 1:0

Latest results of Swansea City

26.04.2025 Millwall - Swansea City 1:0 ✺

21.04.2025 Queens Park Rangers - Swansea City 1:2 ✺

18.04.2025 Swansea City - Hull City 1:0 ✺

12.04.2025 Sunderland - Swansea City 0:1 ✺

09.04.2025 Swansea City - Plymouth Argyle 3:0 ✺

Latest results of Oxford United

26.04.2025 Oxford United - Sunderland 2:0 ✺

21.04.2025 Cardiff City - Oxford United 1:1 ✺

18.04.2025 Oxford United - Leeds United 0:1 ✺

12.04.2025 Sheffield Wednesday - Oxford United 0:1 ✺

09.04.2025 Oxford United - Queens Park Rangers 1:3 ✺

English League Championship Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Birmingham	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
2	Blackburn	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
3	Derby	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
4	Middlesbrough	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
5	Portsmouth	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
6	Bristol City	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
7	Charlton	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
8	Coventry	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
9	Hull	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
10	Ipswich	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
11	Leicester	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
12	Norwich	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
13	Preston	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
14	QPR	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
15	Sheffield Utd	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
16	Sheffield Wed	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
17	Southampton	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
18	Stoke	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
19	Watford	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
20	West Brom	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
21	Millwall	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
22	Swansea	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
23	Wrexham	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
24	Oxford Utd	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0

      Promotion ~ Premier League
      Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
      Relegation ~ League One