Result
3:3
03/05/2025 at 07:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Championship - Round 46
- Referee: Bell J. (Eng)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Hungary | Net4+ |
 United-kingdom | Sky Sports+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.16 | 1.37 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 60% | 40% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (389/481) | 74% (244/328) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.16 | 1.37 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.83 | 1.91 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 7 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 18 | 15 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (389/481) | 74% (244/328) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 26% (12/46) | 29% (16/56) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 70% (88/126) | 57% (35/61) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 27% (7/26) | 33% (3/9) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.75 | 0.86 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 21 | 19 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 8 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 50% (8/16) | 73% (11/15) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 42 | 40 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 6 | 30 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.91 | 2.83 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.09 | -0.17 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 23', 1 - 0, Eom J. ⚽, Tymon J. (A),
- 40', 1 - 1, Leigh G. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (2 - 2)
- 48', Matos A. 🟨,
- 57', 2 - 1, Ronald ⚽, Tymon J. (A),
- 62', 2 - 2, Helik M. ⚽,
- 66', Mills S. ↓, Placheta P. ↑,
- 67', Rodrigues R. ↓, Harris M. ↑,
- 70', Allen J. ↓, Naughton K. ↑,
- 70', Key J. ↓, Cooper O. ↑,
- 70', Vipotnik Z. ↓, Cullen L. ↑,
- 77', ter Haar Romeny O. ↓, Ferdinan M. ↑,
- 77', Leigh G. ↓, Bennett J. ↑,
- 81', Ronald ↓, Parker S. ↑,
- 83', 3 - 2, Cullen L. ⚽, Tymon J. (A),
- 88', ter Avest H. ↓, Long S. ↑,
- 88', Eom J. ↓, Lloyd B. ↑,
- 90+3', 3 - 3, Placheta P. ⚽,
- 90+5', Brannagan C. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Swansea City
59.4% | Draw
23.1% | Oxford United
17.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Swansea City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)Oxford United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Swansea City than the current prediction. (-4.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Oxford United than the current prediction. (+2.9%)
Swansea City - Oxford United Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.61 ↓
(1.74) |
4.11 ↑
(3.79) |
5.48 ↑
(4.56) |
4.7%
(5.9%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Swansea City - Oxford United?
Users Predictions:
12 users predict this event. Swansea will win (votes: 5 - 41.7%). Oxford will win (votes: 2 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 41.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Swansea: 13.8% – 69.6%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Swansea (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 11 and 17).
- Swansea is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- In recent matches, Oxford has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- In this match, Swansea is a strong favorite.
- There will not play in Swansea: Pedersen K.
(Hamstring Injury)
- There will not play in Oxford: Brown C.
(Injury)
Dembele S.
(Hamstring Injury)
Woltman M.
(Leg Injury)
- There are questionable in Swansea: Peart-Harris M.
(Back Injury)
- There are questionable in Oxford: Harris M.
(Injury)
- We predict that Swansea will win today's game, with odds of 1.67.
- In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Swansea won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 6:8. (average 1.5:2).
How many head-to-head matches has Swansea City won against Oxford United?
Swansea City has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Oxford United won against Swansea City?
Oxford United has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Swansea City - Oxford United were as follows:
02.11.2024
Oxford United
-
Swansea City
1:2
21.07.2023
Oxford United
-
Swansea City
1:0
Latest results of Swansea City
Latest results of Oxford United
English League Championship Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Middlesbrough | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 12:5 | 7 | 18 |
| 2 | Coventry | 8 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 22:7 | 15 | 16 |
| 3 | Stoke | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 10:5 | 5 | 14 |
| 4 | West Brom | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 9:7 | 2 | 14 |
| 5 | Bristol City | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 14:8 | 6 | 13 |
| 6 | Leicester | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 10:7 | 3 | 13 |
| 7 | Preston | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 9:7 | 2 | 13 |
| 8 | Swansea | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 9:7 | 2 | 12 |
| 9 | Charlton | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 8:6 | 2 | 12 |
| 10 | QPR | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 11:13 | -2 | 12 |
| 11 | Birmingham | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 7:10 | -3 | 11 |
| 12 | Millwall | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 6:12 | -6 | 11 |
| 13 | Ipswich | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 12:7 | 5 | 10 |
| 14 | Southampton | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 10:11 | -1 | 10 |
| 15 | Wrexham | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 13:14 | -1 | 9 |
| 16 | Watford | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 9:10 | -1 | 9 |
| 17 | Portsmouth | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 7:9 | -2 | 9 |
| 18 | Hull | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 13:16 | -3 | 9 |
| 19 | Norwich | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 10:11 | -1 | 8 |
| 20 | Derby | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 10:14 | -4 | 7 |
| 21 | Oxford Utd | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 9:11 | -2 | 6 |
| 22 | Blackburn | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 6:10 | -4 | 6 |
| 23 | Sheffield Wed | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 8:15 | -7 | 6 |
| 24 | Sheffield Utd | 8 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 3:15 | -12 | 3 |
Promotion ~ Premier League
Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ League One
