Pablo Carreno-Busta vs Aleksandar Vukic – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis ATP Winston-Salem Pablo Carreno-Busta - Aleksandar Vukic
Result
2:1
21/08/2024 at 21:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ATP - SINGLES: Winston-Salem (USA), hard - 1/8-finals
  • Referee: Lichtenstein R. (Fra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
australiaAustraliabeIN Sports 1
bulgariaBulgariaMax Sport 1
germanyGermanySky Sport Tennis, Sky Sport Top event
netherlandsNetherlandsZiggo Sport 4
portugalPortugalSport TV7
romaniaRomaniaDigi Sport 4
sloveniaSloveniaSportKlub 1, SportKlub 2, SportKlub 5
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomSky Sports Tennis

Match Stats

Aces
310
Double Faults
36
1st Serve Percentage
70%45%
1st Serve Points Won
75% (42/56)74% (29/39)
2nd Serve Points Won
54% (13/24)40% (19/48)
Break Points Saved
57% (4/7)38% (3/8)
1st Return Points Won
44% (17/39)29% (16/56)
2nd Return Points Won
60% (29/48)46% (11/24)
Break Points Converted
63% (5/8)43% (3/7)
Winners
2833
Unforced Errors
1020
Net Points Won
70% (14/20)61% (14/23)
Max Points In Row
104
Service Points Won
69% (55/80)55% (48/87)
Return Points Won
45% (39/87)31% (25/80)
Total Points Won
56% (94/167)44% (73/167)
Max Games In Row
42
Service Games Won
79% (11/14)64% (9/14)
Return Games Won
36% (5/14)21% (3/14)
Total Games Won
57% (16/28)43% (12/28)

Chances of winning


Pablo Carreno-Busta
65.4%
Aleksandar Vukic
34.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
49.6% 50.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.2% 49.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Pablo Carreno-Busta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+15.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Pablo Carreno-Busta's performance.
  • Aleksandar Vukic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-15.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Aleksandar Vukic might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pablo Carreno-Busta than the current prediction. (-15.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Pablo Carreno-Busta that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aleksandar Vukic than the current prediction. (+15.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Aleksandar Vukic could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Pablo Carreno-Busta - Aleksandar Vukic Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.46
    (1.91)

    2.75
    (1.88)
    5%
    (5.4%)
    What is the prediction for Pablo Carreno-Busta - Aleksandar Vukic?
  • Users Predictions: Pablo Carreno-Busta will win (24 of 30 users predict this - 80%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 65.69%94.31%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Carreno Busta is ranked ATP: 300. Vukic is ranked ATP: 94.
    • One and the other player get a very uncertain game.
    • Carreno Busta could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • Carreno Busta will have a small advantage in this match.
    • Recently, the players did not play each other.
    Latest results of Pablo Carreno-Busta
    Latest results of Aleksandar Vukic
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/32-finals
    1Baez S. (1)Bye
    2Coric B.Nagal S.2 : 0
    3Van De Zandschulp B.Cazaux A.0 : 2
    4ByeHijikata R. (16)
    5Rinderknech A. (12)Bye
    6O'Connell C.Kirchheimer S. (Q)2 : 0
    7Goffin D.Munar J.2 : 1
    8ByeDarderi L. (5)
    9Cerundolo F. (3)Bye
    10Djere L.Svajda Z. (LL)0 : 2
    11Muller A. (Alt)Lestienne C.2 : 0
    12ByeKotov P. (15)
    13Sonego L. (10)Bye
    14Coria F.Stricker D. (PR)0 : 2
    15Comesana F.Shang J.0 : 2
    16ByeNavone M. (7)
    17Borges N. (8)Bye
    18Seyboth Wild T.Duckworth J.2 : 1
    19Tien L. (Q)Schoolkate T. (Q)2 : 1
    20ByeMarozsan F. (9)
    21Shevchenko A. (13)Bye
    22Kumar O. (Q)Carreno-Busta P. (WC)0 : 2
    23Evans D.Vukic A.1 : 2
    24ByeMannarino A. (4)
    25Etcheverry T. M. (6)Bye
    26Bergs Z.Opelka R. (WC)2 : 1
    27Daniel T.Fucsovics M.1 : 2
    28ByeMichelsen A. (11)
    29Gaston H. (14)Bye
    30Eubanks C. (WC)Walton A.2 : 1
    31Mejia N. (LL)Moutet C.0 : 2
    32ByeSafiullin R. (17)

    1/16-finals
    1Baez S. (1)Coric B.0 : 2
    2Cazaux A.Hijikata R. (16)1 : 2
    3Rinderknech A. (12)O'Connell C.2 : 0
    4Goffin D.Darderi L. (5)2 : 0
    5Cerundolo F. (3)Svajda Z.0 : 2
    6Muller A.Kotov P. (15)1 : 2
    7Sonego L. (10)Stricker D.2 : 0
    8Shang J.Navone M. (7)2 : 0
    9Borges N. (8)Seyboth Wild T.0 : 2
    10Tien L.Marozsan F. (9)2 : 1
    11Shevchenko A. (13)Carreno-Busta P.0 : 2
    12Vukic A.Mannarino A. (4)2 : 1
    13Etcheverry T. M. (6)Bergs Z.1 : 2
    14Fucsovics M.Michelsen A. (11)0 : 2
    15Gaston H. (14)Eubanks C.0 : 2
    16Moutet C.Safiullin R. (17)0 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Coric B.Hijikata R. (16)1 : 2
    2Rinderknech A. (12)Goffin D.0 : 2
    3Svajda Z.Kotov P. (15)1 : 2
    4Sonego L. (WO.) (10)Shang J.
    5Seyboth Wild T.Tien L.0 : 2
    6Carreno-Busta P.Vukic A.2 : 1
    7Bergs Z.Michelsen A. (11)0 : 2
    8Eubanks C.Safiullin R. (17)2 : 1

    Quarter-finals
    1Hijikata R. (16)Goffin D.0 : 2
    2Kotov P. (15)Sonego L. (10)0 : 2
    3Tien L.Carreno-Busta P.0 : 2
    4Michelsen A. (11)Eubanks C.2 : 1

    Semi-finals
    1Goffin D.Sonego L. (10)0 : 2
    2Carreno-Busta P. (RET.)Michelsen A. (11)0 : 1

    Final
    1Sonego L. (10)Michelsen A. (11)2 : 0