Pablo Carreno-Busta vs Alex Michelsen – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis ATP Winston-Salem
Tennis ATP Winston-Salem Pablo Carreno-Busta - Alex Michelsen
Result
Carreno-Busta P. retired
23/08/2024 at 18:40 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ATP - SINGLES: Winston-Salem (USA), hard - Semi-finals
  • Referee: Nour A. (Egy)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
australiaAustraliabeIN Sports 1
bulgariaBulgariaMax Sport 1
croatiaCroatiaSportKlub 1, SportKlub 2
finlandFinlandMTV Katsomo
germanyGermanySky Sport Tennis, Sky Sport Top event
hungaryHungaryMatch 4
netherlandsNetherlandsZiggo Sport 4
polandPolandPolsat Sport 2, Polsat Sport Premium 1
portugalPortugalSport TV7
romaniaRomaniaDigi Sport 4
sloveniaSloveniaSportKlub 1, SportKlub 2
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomSky Sports Tennis

Match Stats

Aces
02
Double Faults
50
1st Serve Percentage
65%67%
1st Serve Points Won
63% (26/41)71% (22/31)
2nd Serve Points Won
41% (9/22)40% (6/15)
Break Points Saved
57% (4/7)0% (0/2)
1st Return Points Won
29% (9/31)37% (15/41)
2nd Return Points Won
60% (9/15)59% (13/22)
Break Points Converted
100% (2/2)43% (3/7)
Winners
1915
Unforced Errors
1810
Net Points Won
63% (5/8)61% (14/23)
Max Points In Row
56
Service Points Won
55% (33/60)61% (28/46)
Return Points Won
39% (18/46)45% (27/60)
Total Points Won
48% (51/106)52% (55/106)
Max Games In Row
44
Service Games Won
63% (5/8)71% (5/7)
Return Games Won
29% (2/7)38% (3/8)
Total Games Won
47% (7/15)53% (8/15)

Chances of winning


Pablo Carreno-Busta
51.2%		Alex Michelsen
48.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
42.8% 57.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.2% 55.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Pablo Carreno-Busta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Pablo Carreno-Busta's performance.
  • Alex Michelsen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Alex Michelsen might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pablo Carreno-Busta than the current prediction. (-7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Pablo Carreno-Busta that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alex Michelsen than the current prediction. (+7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Alex Michelsen could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
    •

    Pablo Carreno-Busta - Alex Michelsen Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 1.86 ↓
    (2.22)
    		1.96 ↑
    (1.67)    		 4.8%
    (5%)
    What is the prediction for Pablo Carreno-Busta - Alex Michelsen?
  • Users Predictions: 30 users predict this event. Carreno Busta will win (votes: 22 - 73.3%). Michelsen will win (votes: 8 - 26.7%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Carreno Busta: 57.5% – 89.1%.
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • Carreno Busta is ranked ATP: 300. Michelsen is ranked ATP: 52.
    • Instantly two players are in a excellent shape.
    • Carreno Busta could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • The chances to win of two players are almost the same in this match.
    • Recently, the players did not play each other.
    Latest results of Pablo Carreno-Busta
    22.08.2024 Learner Tien - Pablo Carreno-Busta 0:2 ✺
    21.08.2024 Pablo Carreno-Busta - Aleksandar Vukic 2:1 ✺
    20.08.2024 Alexander Shevchenko - Pablo Carreno-Busta 0:2 ✺
    19.08.2024 Omni Kumar - Pablo Carreno-Busta 0:2
    19.08.2024 Roman Safiullin - Pablo Carreno-Busta Canceled
    Latest results of Alex Michelsen
    22.08.2024 Alex Michelsen - Christopher Eubanks 2:1 ✺
    21.08.2024 Zizou Bergs - Alex Michelsen 0:2 ✺
    20.08.2024 Marton Fucsovics - Alex Michelsen 0:2 ✺
    14.08.2024 Jannik Sinner - Alex Michelsen 2:0 ✺
    13.08.2024 Alex Michelsen - Tallon Griekspoor 2:1 ✺
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/32-finals
    1Baez S. (1)Bye
    2Coric B.Nagal S.2 : 0
    3Van De Zandschulp B.Cazaux A.0 : 2
    4ByeHijikata R. (16)
    5Rinderknech A. (12)Bye
    6O'Connell C.Kirchheimer S. (Q)2 : 0
    7Goffin D.Munar J.2 : 1
    8ByeDarderi L. (5)
    9Cerundolo F. (3)Bye
    10Djere L.Svajda Z. (LL)0 : 2
    11Muller A. (Alt)Lestienne C.2 : 0
    12ByeKotov P. (15)
    13Sonego L. (10)Bye
    14Coria F.Stricker D. (PR)0 : 2
    15Comesana F.Shang J.0 : 2
    16ByeNavone M. (7)
    17Borges N. (8)Bye
    18Seyboth Wild T.Duckworth J.2 : 1
    19Tien L. (Q)Schoolkate T. (Q)2 : 1
    20ByeMarozsan F. (9)
    21Shevchenko A. (13)Bye
    22Kumar O. (Q)Carreno-Busta P. (WC)0 : 2
    23Evans D.Vukic A.1 : 2
    24ByeMannarino A. (4)
    25Etcheverry T. M. (6)Bye
    26Bergs Z.Opelka R. (WC)2 : 1
    27Daniel T.Fucsovics M.1 : 2
    28ByeMichelsen A. (11)
    29Gaston H. (14)Bye
    30Eubanks C. (WC)Walton A.2 : 1
    31Mejia N. (LL)Moutet C.0 : 2
    32ByeSafiullin R. (17)

    1/16-finals
    1Baez S. (1)Coric B.0 : 2
    2Cazaux A.Hijikata R. (16)1 : 2
    3Rinderknech A. (12)O'Connell C.2 : 0
    4Goffin D.Darderi L. (5)2 : 0
    5Cerundolo F. (3)Svajda Z.0 : 2
    6Muller A.Kotov P. (15)1 : 2
    7Sonego L. (10)Stricker D.2 : 0
    8Shang J.Navone M. (7)2 : 0
    9Borges N. (8)Seyboth Wild T.0 : 2
    10Tien L.Marozsan F. (9)2 : 1
    11Shevchenko A. (13)Carreno-Busta P.0 : 2
    12Vukic A.Mannarino A. (4)2 : 1
    13Etcheverry T. M. (6)Bergs Z.1 : 2
    14Fucsovics M.Michelsen A. (11)0 : 2
    15Gaston H. (14)Eubanks C.0 : 2
    16Moutet C.Safiullin R. (17)0 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Coric B.Hijikata R. (16)1 : 2
    2Rinderknech A. (12)Goffin D.0 : 2
    3Svajda Z.Kotov P. (15)1 : 2
    4Sonego L. (WO.) (10)Shang J.
    5Seyboth Wild T.Tien L.0 : 2
    6Carreno-Busta P.Vukic A.2 : 1
    7Bergs Z.Michelsen A. (11)0 : 2
    8Eubanks C.Safiullin R. (17)2 : 1

    Quarter-finals
    1Hijikata R. (16)Goffin D.0 : 2
    2Kotov P. (15)Sonego L. (10)0 : 2
    3Tien L.Carreno-Busta P.0 : 2
    4Michelsen A. (11)Eubanks C.2 : 1

    Semi-finals
    1Goffin D.Sonego L. (10)0 : 2
    2Carreno-Busta P. (RET.)Michelsen A. (11)0 : 1

    Final
    1Sonego L. (10)Michelsen A. (11)2 : 0
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