Botic Van De Zandschulp vs Pablo Carreno-Busta – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:2
21/02/2026 at 03:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • ATP - SINGLES: Dubai - Qualification, hard - Semi-finals

Match Stats

Aces
65
Double Faults
53
1st serve percentage
59%67%
1st serve points won
67% (18/27)73% (27/37)
2nd serve points won
37% (7/19)61% (11/18)
Break Points Saved
43% (3/7)67% (2/3)
1st return points won
27% (10/37)37% (10/27)
2nd return points won
39% (7/18)63% (12/19)
Break Points Converted
33% (1/3)57% (4/7)
Winners
2317
Unforced errors
2910
Net points won
67% (6/9)86% (6/7)
Service Points Won
53% (24/45)69% (38/55)
Return Points Won
31% (17/55)47% (21/45)
Total Points Won
41% (41/100)59% (59/100)
Last 10 balls
55
Match points saved
00
Service games won
50% (4/8)89% (8/9)
Return games won
11% (1/9)50% (4/8)
Total games won
29% (5/17)71% (12/17)

Chances of winning


Botic Van De Zandschulp
59.6%
Pablo Carreno-Busta
40.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
57.2% 42.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.3% 47.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Botic Van De Zandschulp has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)
  • Pablo Carreno-Busta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Botic Van De Zandschulp than the current prediction. (-7.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Botic Van De Zandschulp that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pablo Carreno-Busta than the current prediction. (+7.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Pablo Carreno-Busta could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Botic Van De Zandschulp - Pablo Carreno-Busta Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.57
    (1.62)

    2.32
    (2.16)
    6.7%
    (8.2%)
    What is the prediction for Botic Van De Zandschulp - Pablo Carreno-Busta?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH -2.5 Games - Van De Zandschulp (1.81) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Users Predictions: Botic Van De Zandschulp will win (10 of 11 users predict this - 90.91%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 73.92%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Botic Van De Zandschulp will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 8 high ROI users predict this event. Van De Zandschulp (votes: 8 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Van De Zandschulp is ranked ATP: 55. Carreno Busta is ranked ATP: 123.
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • Van De Zandschulp may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Van De Zandschulp won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1. (average 2:0.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Botic Van De Zandschulp - Pablo Carreno-Busta were as follows:
    02.10.2024 Pablo Carreno-Busta - Botic Van De Zandschulp 0:2
    Latest results of Pablo Carreno-Busta
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Auger-Aliassime F. (1)Zhang Z. (PR)2 : 0
    2Echargui M. (WC)Mpetshi Perricard G. (Q)1 : 2
    3Carreno-Busta P. (Q)Shapovalov D.2 : 0
    4Nardi L. (LL)Lehecka J. (8)1 : 2
    5Medvedev D. (3)Shang J. (PR)2 : 0
    6Wawrinka S. (WC)Hassan B. (WC)2 : 0
    7Bergs Z.Brooksby J.0 : 2
    8Shevchenko A. (LL)Khachanov K. (7)1 : 2
    9Rublev A. (5)Royer V.2 : 0
    10Humbert U.Tsitsipas S.2 : 0
    11Marozsan F.Rinderknech A.1 : 2
    12Halys Q. (Q)Draper J. (4)0 : 2
    13Mensik J. (6)Hurkacz H.2 : 0
    14Popyrin A.Majchrzak K.2 : 1
    15Virtanen O. (Q)Griekspoor T.0 : 2
    16Struff J-L. (LL)Bublik A. (2)0 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Auger-Aliassime F. (1)Mpetshi Perricard G.2 : 0
    2Carreno-Busta P.Lehecka J. (8)0 : 2
    3Medvedev D. (3)Wawrinka S.2 : 0
    4Brooksby J.Khachanov K. (7)2 : 0
    5Rublev A. (5)Humbert U.2 : 1
    6Rinderknech A.Draper J. (4)2 : 1
    7Mensik J. (6)Popyrin A.2 : 0
    8Griekspoor T.Bublik A. (2)2 : 0

    Quarter-finals
    1Auger-Aliassime F. (1)Lehecka J. (8)2 : 0
    2Medvedev D. (3)Brooksby J.2 : 0
    3Rublev A. (5)Rinderknech A.2 : 0
    4Mensik J. (6)Griekspoor T.1 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Auger-Aliassime F. (1)Medvedev D. (3)0 : 2
    2Rublev A. (5)Griekspoor T.0 : 2

    Final
    1Medvedev D. (WO.) (3)Griekspoor T.