Result
2:0
24/02/2026 at 05:10 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- ATP - SINGLES: Dubai, hard - 1/16-finals
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Aces |
|---|
| 0 | 8 |
| Double Faults |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| 1st serve percentage |
|---|
| 69% | 54% |
| 1st serve points won |
|---|
| 62% (28/45) | 62% (18/29) |
| 2nd serve points won |
|---|
| 60% (12/20) | 36% (9/25) |
| Break Points Saved |
|---|
| 78% (7/9) | 44% (4/9) |
| 1st return points won |
|---|
| 41% (12/29) | 38% (17/45) |
| 2nd return points won |
|---|
| 64% (16/25) | 40% (8/20) |
| Break Points Converted |
|---|
| 56% (5/9) | 22% (2/9) |
| Winners |
|---|
| 6 | 25 |
| Unforced errors |
|---|
| 14 | 41 |
| Net points won |
|---|
| 57% (4/7) | 45% (5/11) |
| Service Points Won |
|---|
| 62% (40/65) | 50% (27/54) |
| Return Points Won |
|---|
| 50% (27/54) | 38% (25/65) |
| Total Points Won |
|---|
| 56% (67/119) | 44% (52/119) |
| Last 10 balls |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Match points saved |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Service games won |
|---|
| 78% (7/9) | 44% (4/9) |
| Return games won |
|---|
| 56% (5/9) | 22% (2/9) |
| Total games won |
|---|
| 67% (12/18) | 33% (6/18) |
Chances of winning
Pablo Carreno-Busta
32.1% | Denis Shapovalov
67.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Pablo Carreno-Busta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)Denis Shapovalov has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pablo Carreno-Busta than the current prediction. (-1.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Denis Shapovalov than the current prediction. (+1.7%)
Pablo Carreno-Busta - Denis Shapovalov Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.94 ↓
(3.14) |
|
1.39 ↑
(1.35) |
5.9%
(5.8%) | |
What is the prediction for Pablo Carreno-Busta - Denis Shapovalov?
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. Carreno Busta will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Shapovalov will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Shapovalov (votes: 2 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH +1.5 Sets - Shapovalov (2.19) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Shapovalov (votes: 3 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
Preview Facts
- Carreno Busta is ranked ATP: 124. Shapovalov is ranked ATP: 36.
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Carreno Busta won 4.
- Carreno Busta is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Shapovalov's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Shapovalov may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Shapovalov is seen as the favorite.
- In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Carreno Busta won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 12:7. (average 1.7:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Pablo Carreno-Busta won against Denis Shapovalov?
Pablo Carreno-Busta has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Denis Shapovalov won against Pablo Carreno-Busta?
Denis Shapovalov has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Pablo Carreno-Busta - Denis Shapovalov were as follows:
02.11.2022
Pablo Carreno-Busta
-
Denis Shapovalov
2:1
Latest results of Pablo Carreno-Busta
Latest results of Denis Shapovalov
Draw
Singles - Main1/16-finals| 1 | Auger-Aliassime F. (1) | Zhang Z. (PR) | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Echargui M. (WC) | Mpetshi Perricard G. (Q) | 1 : 2 |
| 3 | Carreno-Busta P. (Q) | Shapovalov D. | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | Nardi L. (LL) | Lehecka J. (8) | 1 : 2 |
| 5 | Medvedev D. (3) | Shang J. (PR) | 2 : 0 |
| 6 | Wawrinka S. (WC) | Hassan B. (WC) | 2 : 0 |
| 7 | Bergs Z. | Brooksby J. | 0 : 2 |
| 8 | Shevchenko A. (LL) | Khachanov K. (7) | 1 : 2 |
| 9 | Rublev A. (5) | Royer V. | 2 : 0 |
| 10 | Humbert U. | Tsitsipas S. | 2 : 0 |
| 11 | Marozsan F. | Rinderknech A. | 1 : 2 |
| 12 | Halys Q. (Q) | Draper J. (4) | 0 : 2 |
| 13 | Mensik J. (6) | Hurkacz H. | 2 : 0 |
| 14 | Popyrin A. | Majchrzak K. | 2 : 1 |
| 15 | Virtanen O. (Q) | Griekspoor T. | 0 : 2 |
| 16 | Struff J-L. (LL) | Bublik A. (2) | 0 : 2 |
1/8-finals| 1 | Auger-Aliassime F. (1) | Mpetshi Perricard G. | |
| 2 | Carreno-Busta P. | Lehecka J. (8) | |
| 3 | Medvedev D. (3) | Wawrinka S. | |
| 4 | Brooksby J. | Khachanov K. (7) | |
| 5 | Rublev A. (5) | Humbert U. | |
| 6 | Rinderknech A. | Draper J. (4) | |
| 7 | Mensik J. (6) | Popyrin A. | |
| 8 | Griekspoor T. | Bublik A. (2) | |
Quarter-finalsSemi-finalsFinal
