Pablo Carreno-Busta vs Jakub Paul – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis Madrid Challenger Men Pablo Carreno-Busta - Jakub Paul
Result
2:0
08/04/2025 at 08:50 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Madrid, clay - 1/16-finals

Match Stats

Aces
30
Double Faults
22
1st Serve Percentage
51%71%
1st Serve Points Won
67% (18/27)41% (11/27)
2nd Serve Points Won
62% (16/26)27% (3/11)
Break Points Saved
50% (1/2)0% (0/5)
1st Return Points Won
59% (16/27)33% (9/27)
2nd Return Points Won
73% (8/11)38% (10/26)
Break Points Converted
100% (5/5)50% (1/2)
Service Points Won
64% (34/53)37% (14/38)
Return Points Won
63% (24/38)36% (19/53)
Total Points Won
64% (58/91)36% (33/91)
Last 10 Balls
55
Match Points Saved
00
Service Games Won
88% (7/8)29% (2/7)
Return Games Won
71% (5/7)13% (1/8)
Total Games Won
80% (12/15)20% (3/15)

Chances of winning


Pablo Carreno-Busta
77.5%
Jakub Paul
22.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
80.6% 19.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Pablo Carreno-Busta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)
  • Jakub Paul has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)
  • Pablo Carreno-Busta - Jakub Paul Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.2
    (1.16)

    4.1
    (4.83)
    7.6%
    (6.9%)
    Preview Facts
    • Carreno Busta is ranked ATP: 103. Paul is ranked ATP: 335.
    • One and the other player get a very uncertain game.
    • Carreno Busta could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • In this match Carreno Busta is a favorite.
    • Recently, the players did not play each other.
    Latest results of Jakub Paul
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Coric B. (1)Blockx A.2 : 0
    2Rincon D. (Alt)Piros Z. (Q)1 : 2
    3Holmgren A.Virtanen O.2 : 1
    4Hardt N. (LL)Royer V. (7)0 : 2
    5Harris B. (3)Ofner S.1 : 2
    6Giustino L. (Q)Gaubas V.1 : 2
    7Trungelliti M.Merida Aguilar D. (WC)2 : 0
    8Buse I. (Alt)Cilic M. (8)0 : 2
    9Kotov P. (5)Hassan B.2 : 0
    10Butvilas E.Moro Canas A.0 : 2
    11Damas M. (WC)Gombos N. (Q)0 : 2
    12Boyer T.Shevchenko A. (4)0 : 2
    13Carreno-Busta P. (6)Paul J. (Q)2 : 0
    14Hemery C.Zapata Miralles B. (Q)2 : 1
    15Taberner C.Roca Batalla O. (Q)2 : 0
    16Majchrzak K.Dellien H. (2)2 : 0

    1/8-finals
    1Coric B. (1)Piros Z.1 : 2
    2Holmgren A.Royer V. (7)0 : 2
    3Ofner S.Gaubas V.1 : 2
    4Trungelliti M.Cilic M. (8)1 : 2
    5Kotov P. (5)Moro Canas A.2 : 1
    6Gombos N.Shevchenko A. (4)2 : 0
    7Carreno-Busta P. (6)Hemery C.2 : 1
    8Taberner C.Majchrzak K.0 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Piros Z. (RET.)Royer V. (7)0 : 0
    2Gaubas V.Cilic M. (8)1 : 2
    3Kotov P. (5)Gombos N.1 : 2
    4Carreno-Busta P. (6)Majchrzak K.1 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Royer V. (7)Cilic M. (8)1 : 2
    2Gombos N.Majchrzak K.1 : 2

    Final
    1Cilic M. (8)Majchrzak K.1 : 2