Pablo Carreno-Busta vs Jakub Paul – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis Madrid Challenger Men Pablo Carreno-Busta - Jakub Paul
Result
2:0
08/04/2025 at 08:50 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Madrid, clay - 1/16-finals

Match Stats

Aces
30
Double Faults
22
1st Serve Percentage
51%71%
1st Serve Points Won
67% (18/27)41% (11/27)
2nd Serve Points Won
62% (16/26)27% (3/11)
Break Points Saved
50% (1/2)0% (0/5)
1st Return Points Won
59% (16/27)33% (9/27)
2nd Return Points Won
73% (8/11)38% (10/26)
Break Points Converted
100% (5/5)50% (1/2)
Service Points Won
64% (34/53)37% (14/38)
Return Points Won
63% (24/38)36% (19/53)
Total Points Won
64% (58/91)36% (33/91)
Last 10 Balls
55
Match Points Saved
00
Service Games Won
88% (7/8)29% (2/7)
Return Games Won
71% (5/7)13% (1/8)
Total Games Won
80% (12/15)20% (3/15)

Chances of winning


Pablo Carreno-Busta
77.5%
Jakub Paul
22.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
80.6% 19.4%

Pablo Carreno-Busta - Jakub Paul Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
1.2
(1.16)

4.1
(4.83)
7.6%
(6.9%)
Preview Facts
  • Carreno Busta is ranked ATP: 103. Paul is ranked ATP: 335.
  • One and the other player get a very uncertain game.
  • Carreno Busta could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
  • In this match Carreno Busta is a favorite.
  • Recently, the players did not play each other.
Latest results of Jakub Paul
Draw
Singles - Main

1/16-finals
1Coric B. (1)Blockx A.2 : 0
2Rincon D. (Alt)Piros Z. (Q)1 : 2
3Holmgren A.Virtanen O.2 : 1
4Hardt N. (LL)Royer V. (7)0 : 2
5Harris B. (3)Ofner S.1 : 2
6Giustino L. (Q)Gaubas V.1 : 2
7Trungelliti M.Merida Aguilar D. (WC)2 : 0
8Buse I. (Alt)Cilic M. (8)0 : 2
9Kotov P. (5)Hassan B.2 : 0
10Butvilas E.Moro Canas A.0 : 2
11Damas M. (WC)Gombos N. (Q)0 : 2
12Boyer T.Shevchenko A. (4)0 : 2
13Carreno-Busta P. (6)Paul J. (Q)2 : 0
14Hemery C.Zapata Miralles B. (Q)2 : 1
15Taberner C.Roca Batalla O. (Q)2 : 0
16Majchrzak K.Dellien H. (2)2 : 0

1/8-finals
1Coric B. (1)Piros Z.1 : 2
2Holmgren A.Royer V. (7)0 : 2
3Ofner S.Gaubas V.1 : 2
4Trungelliti M.Cilic M. (8)1 : 2
5Kotov P. (5)Moro Canas A.2 : 1
6Gombos N.Shevchenko A. (4)2 : 0
7Carreno-Busta P. (6)Hemery C.2 : 1
8Taberner C.Majchrzak K.0 : 2

Quarter-finals
1Piros Z. (RET.)Royer V. (7)0 : 0
2Gaubas V.Cilic M. (8)1 : 2
3Kotov P. (5)Gombos N.1 : 2
4Carreno-Busta P. (6)Majchrzak K.1 : 2

Semi-finals
1Royer V. (7)Cilic M. (8)1 : 2
2Gombos N.Majchrzak K.1 : 2

Final
1Cilic M. (8)Majchrzak K.1 : 2