Result
2:1
22/02/2026 at 03:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- ATP - SINGLES: Dubai - Qualification, hard - Final
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Aces |
|---|
| 3 | 10 |
| Double Faults |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| 1st serve percentage |
|---|
| 64% | 60% |
| 1st serve points won |
|---|
| 75% (54/72) | 64% (53/83) |
| 2nd serve points won |
|---|
| 44% (18/41) | 46% (26/56) |
| Break Points Saved |
|---|
| 56% (5/9) | 67% (10/15) |
| 1st return points won |
|---|
| 37% (31/83) | 25% (18/72) |
| 2nd return points won |
|---|
| 54% (30/56) | 56% (23/41) |
| Break Points Converted |
|---|
| 33% (5/15) | 44% (4/9) |
| Winners |
|---|
| 30 | 52 |
| Unforced errors |
|---|
| 35 | 62 |
| Net points won |
|---|
| 75% (12/16) | 73% (19/26) |
| Service Points Won |
|---|
| 63% (69/110) | 57% (77/135) |
| Return Points Won |
|---|
| 43% (58/135) | 37% (41/110) |
| Total Points Won |
|---|
| 52% (127/245) | 48% (118/245) |
| Last 10 balls |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Match points saved |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Service games won |
|---|
| 76% (13/17) | 71% (12/17) |
| Return games won |
|---|
| 29% (5/17) | 24% (4/17) |
| Total games won |
|---|
| 53% (18/34) | 47% (16/34) |
Chances of winning
Pablo Carreno-Busta
53.3% | Luca Nardi
46.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Pablo Carreno-Busta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)Luca Nardi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pablo Carreno-Busta than the current prediction. (-2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Luca Nardi than the current prediction. (+2%)
Pablo Carreno-Busta - Luca Nardi Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.74 ↑
(1.66) |
|
1.99 ↓
(2.03) |
7.8%
(9.5%) | |
What is the prediction for Pablo Carreno-Busta - Luca Nardi?
Users Predictions:
Pablo Carreno-Busta will win
(22 of 24 users predict this - 91.67%).
Confidence interval (95%): 80.61% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Pablo Carreno-Busta will win (9 of 9 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- Carreno Busta is ranked ATP: 123. Nardi is ranked ATP: 94.
- Carreno Busta is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Nardi has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Carreno Busta may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Carreno Busta won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.
How many head-to-head matches has Pablo Carreno-Busta won against Luca Nardi?
Pablo Carreno-Busta has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Luca Nardi won against Pablo Carreno-Busta?
Luca Nardi has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Pablo Carreno-Busta - Luca Nardi were as follows:
Latest results of Pablo Carreno-Busta
Latest results of Luca Nardi
Draw
Singles - Main1/16-finals| 1 | Auger-Aliassime F. (1) | Zhang Z. (PR) | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Echargui M. (WC) | Mpetshi Perricard G. (Q) | 1 : 2 |
| 3 | Carreno-Busta P. (Q) | Shapovalov D. | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | Nardi L. (LL) | Lehecka J. (8) | 1 : 2 |
| 5 | Medvedev D. (3) | Shang J. (PR) | 2 : 0 |
| 6 | Wawrinka S. (WC) | Hassan B. (WC) | 2 : 0 |
| 7 | Bergs Z. | Brooksby J. | 0 : 2 |
| 8 | Shevchenko A. (LL) | Khachanov K. (7) | 1 : 2 |
| 9 | Rublev A. (5) | Royer V. | 2 : 0 |
| 10 | Humbert U. | Tsitsipas S. | 2 : 0 |
| 11 | Marozsan F. | Rinderknech A. | 1 : 2 |
| 12 | Halys Q. (Q) | Draper J. (4) | 0 : 2 |
| 13 | Mensik J. (6) | Hurkacz H. | 2 : 0 |
| 14 | Popyrin A. | Majchrzak K. | 2 : 1 |
| 15 | Virtanen O. (Q) | Griekspoor T. | 0 : 2 |
| 16 | Struff J-L. (LL) | Bublik A. (2) | 0 : 2 |
1/8-finals| 1 | Auger-Aliassime F. (1) | Mpetshi Perricard G. | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Carreno-Busta P. | Lehecka J. (8) | 0 : 2 |
| 3 | Medvedev D. (3) | Wawrinka S. | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | Brooksby J. | Khachanov K. (7) | 2 : 0 |
| 5 | Rublev A. (5) | Humbert U. | 2 : 1 |
| 6 | Rinderknech A. | Draper J. (4) | 2 : 1 |
| 7 | Mensik J. (6) | Popyrin A. | 2 : 0 |
| 8 | Griekspoor T. | Bublik A. (2) | 2 : 0 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Auger-Aliassime F. (1) | Lehecka J. (8) | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Medvedev D. (3) | Brooksby J. | 2 : 0 |
| 3 | Rublev A. (5) | Rinderknech A. | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | Mensik J. (6) | Griekspoor T. | 1 : 2 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Auger-Aliassime F. (1) | Medvedev D. (3) | 0 : 2 |
| 2 | Rublev A. (5) | Griekspoor T. | 0 : 2 |
Final| 1 | Medvedev D. (WO.) (3) | Griekspoor T. | |
