Result
1:2
19/10/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Olbia, hard - Final
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Slovakia | Arena sport 2 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Aces |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Double Faults |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| 1st Serve Percentage |
|---|
| 62% | 60% |
| 1st Serve Points Won |
|---|
| 66% (54/82) | 63% (41/65) |
| 2nd Serve Points Won |
|---|
| 32% (16/50) | 41% (18/44) |
| Break Points Saved |
|---|
| 50% (8/16) | 45% (5/11) |
| 1st Return Points Won |
|---|
| 37% (24/65) | 34% (28/82) |
| 2nd Return Points Won |
|---|
| 59% (26/44) | 68% (34/50) |
| Break Points Converted |
|---|
| 55% (6/11) | 50% (8/16) |
| Service Points Won |
|---|
| 53% (70/132) | 54% (59/109) |
| Return Points Won |
|---|
| 46% (50/109) | 47% (62/132) |
| Total Points Won |
|---|
| 50% (120/241) | 50% (121/241) |
| Last 10 Balls |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Match Points Saved |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Service Games Won |
|---|
| 50% (8/16) | 63% (10/16) |
| Return Games Won |
|---|
| 38% (6/16) | 50% (8/16) |
| Total Games Won |
|---|
| 44% (14/32) | 56% (18/32) |
Chances of winning
Pablo Carreno-Busta
58.7% | Luca Van Assche
41.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Pablo Carreno-Busta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)Luca Van Assche has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pablo Carreno-Busta than the current prediction. (+0.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Luca Van Assche than the current prediction. (-0.7%)
Pablo Carreno-Busta - Luca Van Assche Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.6 ↓
(1.62) |
|
2.31 ↑
(2.22) |
5.7%
(6.9%) | |
What is the prediction for Pablo Carreno-Busta - Luca Van Assche?
Users Predictions:
Pablo Carreno-Busta will win
(6 of 6 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Pablo Carreno-Busta will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- Carreno Busta is ranked ATP: 104. Van Assche is ranked ATP: 238.
- Right now, both players are showing solid form.
- Van Assche may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Carreno Busta is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- The players have not played against each other recently.
How many head-to-head matches has Pablo Carreno-Busta won against Luca Van Assche?
Pablo Carreno-Busta has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Luca Van Assche won against Pablo Carreno-Busta?
Luca Van Assche has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Pablo Carreno-Busta - Luca Van Assche were as follows:
Latest results of Pablo Carreno-Busta
Latest results of Luca Van Assche
Draw
Singles - Main1/16-finals| 1 | Tabilo A. (1) | Carboni L. (Q) | 2 : 1 |
| 2 | Glinka D. (Q) | Tabur C. (Q) | 2 : 0 |
| 3 | Galarneau A. | Pavlovic L. | 0 : 2 |
| 4 | Basile P. (WC) | Carreno-Busta P. (6) | 1 : 2 |
| 5 | Landaluce M. (3) | Engel J. | 2 : 0 |
| 6 | Gojo B. | Forti F. (WC) | 2 : 0 |
| 7 | Molcan A. | Gengel M. (Alt) | 2 : 0 |
| 8 | Ribecai M. (Q) | Lajovic D. (7) | 1 : 2 |
| 9 | Carballes Baena R. (5) | Fatic N. | 0 : 2 |
| 10 | Added D. | Caniato C. A. (WC) | 0 : 2 |
| 11 | Gombos N. (Q) | Maestrelli F. | 2 : 1 |
| 12 | Grenier H. | Basavareddy N. (4) | 2 : 1 |
| 13 | Echargui M. (8) | Butvilas E. | 0 : 2 |
| 14 | Paris T. (Q) | Gea A. (NG) | 0 : 2 |
| 15 | Travaglia S. (Alt) | van Assche L. | 1 : 2 |
| 16 | Dalla Valle E. (LL) | Kopriva V. (2) | 0 : 2 |
1/8-finals| 1 | Tabilo A. (1) | Glinka D. | 2 : 1 |
| 2 | Pavlovic L. | Carreno-Busta P. (6) | 1 : 2 |
| 3 | Landaluce M. (3) | Gojo B. | 2 : 1 |
| 4 | Molcan A. | Lajovic D. (7) | 0 : 2 |
| 5 | Fatic N. | Caniato C. A. | 2 : 1 |
| 6 | Gombos N. | Grenier H. | 0 : 2 |
| 7 | Butvilas E. | Gea A. | 2 : 1 |
| 8 | van Assche L. | Kopriva V. (2) | 2 : 0 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Tabilo A. (1) | Carreno-Busta P. (6) | 1 : 2 |
| 2 | Landaluce M. (3) | Lajovic D. (7) | 2 : 0 |
| 3 | Fatic N. | Grenier H. | 0 : 2 |
| 4 | Butvilas E. | van Assche L. | 0 : 2 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Carreno-Busta P. (6) | Landaluce M. (3) | 2 : 1 |
| 2 | Grenier H. | van Assche L. | 1 : 2 |
Final| 1 | Carreno-Busta P. (6) | van Assche L. | 1 : 2 |
