Pablo Carreno-Busta vs Lukas Neumayer – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis Bad Waltersdorf Challenger Men Pablo Carreno-Busta - Lukas Neumayer
Result
2:1
17/09/2025 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Bad Waltersdorf, clay - 1/16-finals

Match Stats

Aces
52
Double Faults
02
1st Serve Percentage
64%60%
1st Serve Points Won
78% (42/54)64% (34/53)
2nd Serve Points Won
55% (17/31)58% (21/36)
Break Points Saved
50% (3/6)60% (6/10)
1st Return Points Won
36% (19/53)24% (13/54)
2nd Return Points Won
42% (15/36)45% (14/31)
Break Points Converted
40% (4/10)50% (3/6)
Service Points Won
69% (59/85)61% (53/87)
Return Points Won
39% (34/87)31% (26/85)
Total Points Won
54% (93/172)46% (79/172)
Last 10 Balls
64
Match Points Saved
00
Service Games Won
81% (13/16)73% (11/15)
Return Games Won
27% (4/15)19% (3/16)
Total Games Won
55% (17/31)45% (14/31)

Chances of winning


Pablo Carreno-Busta
58.4%
Lukas Neumayer
41.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
60% 40%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.5% 39.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Pablo Carreno-Busta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)
  • Lukas Neumayer has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pablo Carreno-Busta than the current prediction. (+2.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lukas Neumayer than the current prediction. (-2.1%)
  • Pablo Carreno-Busta - Lukas Neumayer Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.59
    (1.57)

    2.23
    (2.35)
    7.8%
    (6.5%)
    What is the prediction for Pablo Carreno-Busta - Lukas Neumayer?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Carreno Busta (votes: 1 - 50%). Neumayer (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • Users Predictions: Lukas Neumayer will win (14 of 17 users predict this - 82.35%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 64.23%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Carreno Busta is ranked ATP: 123. Neumayer is ranked ATP: 173.
    • In recent matches, Carreno Busta has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Neumayer's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Neumayer may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, there has been no match between the players.
    Latest results of Lukas Neumayer
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Martinez P. (RET.) (1)Topo M. (Q)0 : 1
    2Choinski J.Sachko V.2 : 0
    3Pavlovic L.Paroulek T. (Q)2 : 1
    4Passaro F.Lajovic D. (6)2 : 1
    5Tirante T. A. (4)Piraino G. (LL)1 : 2
    6Dodig M. (Alt)Kolar Z. (Q)0 : 2
    7Monteiro T.Merida Aguilar D.2 : 0
    8Gaubas V.Burruchaga R. A. (8)0 : 2
    9Galan D. E. (7)Diaz Acosta F. (Alt)0 : 2
    10Moeller M. (LL)Barton H. (Q)1 : 2
    11Ymer E. (Alt)Kopp S. (WC)0 : 2
    12Novak D. (Q)Carballes Baena R. (3)0 : 2
    13Carreno-Busta P. (5)Neumayer L.2 : 1
    14Sorger S. (WC)Kovalik J. (Q)2 : 1
    15Stebe C. (LL)Schwaerzler J. J. (WC)0 : 2
    16Seyboth Wild T.Kopriva V. (2)1 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Topo M.Choinski J.1 : 2
    2Pavlovic L.Passaro F.0 : 2
    3Piraino G.Kolar Z.1 : 2
    4Monteiro T.Burruchaga R. A. (8)1 : 2
    5Diaz Acosta F.Barton H.1 : 2
    6Kopp S.Carballes Baena R. (3)1 : 2
    7Carreno-Busta P. (5)Sorger S.2 : 0
    8Schwaerzler J. J.Kopriva V. (2)0 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Choinski J.Passaro F.2 : 0
    2Kolar Z.Burruchaga R. A. (8)2 : 0
    3Barton H.Carballes Baena R. (3)0 : 2
    4Carreno-Busta P. (5)Kopriva V. (2)1 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Choinski J.Kolar Z.2 : 0
    2Carballes Baena R. (3)Kopriva V. (2)0 : 2

    Final
    1Choinski J.Kopriva V. (2)2 : 0