Result
1:2
27/03/2026 at 07:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Alicante, clay - Quarter-finals
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Aces |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Double Faults |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| 1st serve percentage |
|---|
| 60% | 61% |
| 1st serve points won |
|---|
| 62% (38/61) | 70% (38/54) |
| 2nd serve points won |
|---|
| 54% (22/41) | 50% (17/34) |
| Break Points Saved |
|---|
| 6/11 | 3/7 |
| 1st return points won |
|---|
| 31% (17/54) | 41% (25/61) |
| 2nd return points won |
|---|
| 50% (17/34) | 46% (19/41) |
| Break Points Converted |
|---|
| 4/7 | 5/11 |
| Service Points Won |
|---|
| 59% (60/102) | 62% (54/87) |
| Return Points Won |
|---|
| 38% (33/87) | 41% (42/102) |
| Total Points Won |
|---|
| 49% (93/189) | 51% (96/189) |
| Last 10 balls |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Match points saved |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Service games won |
|---|
| 67% (10/15) | 73% (11/15) |
| Return games won |
|---|
| 27% (4/15) | 33% (5/15) |
| Total games won |
|---|
| 47% (14/30) | 53% (16/30) |
Chances of winning
Pedro Martinez Portero
47% | Pablo Carreno-Busta
53% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Pedro Martinez Portero has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)Pablo Carreno-Busta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pedro Martinez Portero than the current prediction. (+3.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pablo Carreno-Busta than the current prediction. (-3.7%)
Pedro Martinez Portero - Pablo Carreno-Busta Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.98 ↑
(1.84) |
|
1.76 ↓
(1.84) |
7.1%
(8.7%) | |
What is the prediction for Pedro Martinez Portero - Pablo Carreno-Busta?
Users Predictions:
Pedro Martinez Portero will win
(20 of 22 users predict this - 90.91%).
Confidence interval (95%): 78.9% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Pedro Martinez Portero will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- Martinez Portero is ranked ATP: 113. Carreno Busta is ranked ATP: 117.
- Martinez Portero has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Carreno Busta is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 5 wins).
- Martinez Portero may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Martinez Portero won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.
How many head-to-head matches has Pedro Martinez Portero won against Pablo Carreno-Busta?
Pedro Martinez Portero has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Pablo Carreno-Busta won against Pedro Martinez Portero?
Pablo Carreno-Busta has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Pedro Martinez Portero - Pablo Carreno-Busta were as follows:
02.10.2023
Pablo Carreno-Busta
-
Pedro Martinez Portero
0:2
Latest results of Pedro Martinez Portero
Latest results of Pablo Carreno-Busta
Draw
Singles - Main1/16-finals| 1 | Ofner S. (1) | Skatov T. | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Kolar Z. | Moro Canas A. | 1 : 2 |
| 3 | Gakhov I. (RET.) | Harris L. | 0 : 1 |
| 4 | Cecchinato M. | Lajovic D. (8) | 2 : 0 |
| 5 | Martinez P. (4) | Sanchez Jover C. (WC) | 2 : 0 |
| 6 | Bertola R. | Hassan B. (LL) | 2 : 0 |
| 7 | Sanchez Quilez A. (Q) | Montes-De La Torre I. (WC) | 2 : 0 |
| 8 | Gulin S. (Q) | Carreno-Busta P. (5) | 0 : 2 |
| 9 | Choinski J. (7) | Pereira T. (Q) | 2 : 0 |
| 10 | Safiullin R. | Bailly G. A. | 2 : 0 |
| 11 | Merida Aguilar D. | Houkes M. | 1 : 2 |
| 12 | Shelbayh A. (LL) | Gaubas V. (3) | 1 : 2 |
| 13 | Ivashka I. (Q) | Llamas Ruiz P. | 0 : 2 |
| 14 | Blanch D. (Q) | Engel J. | 2 : 0 |
| 15 | Butvilas E. | Martin Tiffon P. | 2 : 0 |
| 16 | Pieri S. (Q) | De Jong J. (2) | 1 : 2 |
1/8-finals| 1 | Ofner S. (1) | Moro Canas A. | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Harris L. | Cecchinato M. | 0 : 2 |
| 3 | Martinez P. (4) | Bertola R. | 2 : 1 |
| 4 | Sanchez Quilez A. | Carreno-Busta P. (5) | 1 : 2 |
| 5 | Choinski J. (7) | Safiullin R. | 0 : 2 |
| 6 | Houkes M. | Gaubas V. (3) | 2 : 1 |
| 7 | Llamas Ruiz P. | Blanch D. | 2 : 0 |
| 8 | Butvilas E. | De Jong J. (2) | 2 : 1 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Ofner S. (1) | Cecchinato M. | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Martinez P. (4) | Carreno-Busta P. (5) | 1 : 2 |
| 3 | Safiullin R. | Houkes M. | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | Llamas Ruiz P. | Butvilas E. | 2 : 0 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Ofner S. (1) | Carreno-Busta P. (5) | 1 : 2 |
| 2 | Safiullin R. | Llamas Ruiz P. | 0 : 2 |
Final| 1 | Carreno-Busta P. (5) | Llamas Ruiz P. | 0 : 2 |
