Pablo Llamas Ruiz vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis ATP Umag Pablo Llamas Ruiz - Camilo Ugo Carabelli
Result
Llamas Ruiz P. retired
24/07/2025 at 10:40 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ATP - SINGLES: Umag, clay - Quarter-finals

Match Stats

Aces
23
Double Faults
22
1st Serve Percentage
72%56%
1st Serve Points Won
57% (26/46)75% (18/24)
2nd Serve Points Won
39% (7/18)63% (12/19)
Break Points Saved
43% (3/7)0% (0/1)
1st Return Points Won
25% (6/24)43% (20/46)
2nd Return Points Won
37% (7/19)61% (11/18)
Break Points Converted
100% (1/1)57% (4/7)
Winners
1514
Unforced Errors
2217
Net Points Won
53% (9/17)83% (10/12)
Service Points Won
52% (33/64)70% (30/43)
Return Points Won
30% (13/43)48% (31/64)
Total Points Won
43% (46/107)57% (61/107)
Last 10 Balls
19
Match Points Saved
00
Service Games Won
56% (5/9)88% (7/8)
Return Games Won
13% (1/8)44% (4/9)
Total Games Won
35% (6/17)65% (11/17)

Chances of winning


Pablo Llamas Ruiz
52.6%
Camilo Ugo Carabelli
47.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
47.4% 52.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.5% 55.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Pablo Llamas Ruiz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Pablo Llamas Ruiz's performance.
  • Camilo Ugo Carabelli has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Camilo Ugo Carabelli might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pablo Llamas Ruiz than the current prediction. (-8.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Pablo Llamas Ruiz that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Camilo Ugo Carabelli than the current prediction. (+8.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Camilo Ugo Carabelli could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Pablo Llamas Ruiz - Camilo Ugo Carabelli Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.81
    (2)

    2.01
    (1.8)
    5.1%
    (5.6%)
    What is the prediction for Pablo Llamas Ruiz - Camilo Ugo Carabelli?
  • Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Llamas Ruiz will win (votes: 6 - 40%). Ugo Carabelli will win (votes: 9 - 60%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Ugo Carabelli: 35.2%84.8%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Camilo Ugo Carabelli will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Llamas Ruiz is ranked ATP: 537. Ugo Carabelli is ranked ATP: 51.
    • At the moment, both players are looking strong and ready to play.
    • Ugo Carabelli may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Llamas Ruiz won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.
    Latest results of Pablo Llamas Ruiz
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Cerundolo F. (1)Bye
    2Taberner C.Herbert P.2 : 0
    3De Jong J.Poljicak M. (WC)2 : 0
    4Barrios Vera T.Navone M. (5)0 : 2
    5Dzumhur D. (4)Bye
    6Guillen Meza A. (Q)Wawrinka S.0 : 2
    7Droguet T. (Q)Garin C.2 : 0
    8Collignon R.Kopriva V. (8)1 : 2
    9Majchrzak K. (7)Llamas Ruiz P. (Q)0 : 2
    10Lajovic D.Atmane T.0 : 2
    11Dodig M. (WC)Passaro F.1 : 2
    12ByeUgo Carabelli C. (3)
    13Carballes Baena R. (6)Basilashvili N.0 : 2
    14Prizmic D. (WC)Moller E.2 : 0
    15Tseng C. H.Zeppieri G. (Q)2 : 0
    16ByeDarderi L. (2)

    1/8-finals
    1Cerundolo F. (1)Taberner C.1 : 2
    2De Jong J.Navone M. (5)2 : 0
    3Dzumhur D. (4)Wawrinka S.2 : 0
    4Droguet T.Kopriva V. (8)2 : 0
    5Llamas Ruiz P.Atmane T.2 : 0
    6Passaro F.Ugo Carabelli C. (3)1 : 2
    7Basilashvili N.Prizmic D.1 : 2
    8Tseng C. H.Darderi L. (2)0 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Taberner C.De Jong J.2 : 0
    2Dzumhur D. (4)Droguet T.2 : 1
    3Llamas Ruiz P. (RET.)Ugo Carabelli C. (3)0 : 1
    4Prizmic D.Darderi L. (2)1 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Taberner C.Dzumhur D. (4)2 : 0
    2Ugo Carabelli C. (3)Darderi L. (2)0 : 2

    Final
    1Taberner C.Darderi L. (2)0 : 2