Result
2:1
18/03/2026 at 07:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Murcia, clay - 1/8-finals
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Aces |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Double Faults |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| 1st serve percentage |
|---|
| 75% | 77% |
| 1st serve points won |
|---|
| 80% (51/64) | 65% (47/72) |
| 2nd serve points won |
|---|
| 62% (13/21) | 57% (12/21) |
| Break Points Saved |
|---|
| 1/1 | 4/8 |
| 1st return points won |
|---|
| 35% (25/72) | 20% (13/64) |
| 2nd return points won |
|---|
| 43% (9/21) | 38% (8/21) |
| Break Points Converted |
|---|
| 4/8 | 0/1 |
| Winners |
|---|
| 39 | 23 |
| Unforced errors |
|---|
| 29 | 35 |
| Net points won |
|---|
| 85% (11/13) | 76% (16/21) |
| Service Points Won |
|---|
| 75% (63/84) | 63% (59/93) |
| Return Points Won |
|---|
| 37% (34/93) | 25% (21/84) |
| Total Points Won |
|---|
| 55% (97/177) | 45% (80/177) |
| Last 10 balls |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Match points saved |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Service games won |
|---|
| 100% (14/14) | 73% (11/15) |
| Return games won |
|---|
| 27% (4/15) | 0% (0/14) |
| Total games won |
|---|
| 62% (18/29) | 38% (11/29) |
Chances of winning
Pablo Llamas Ruiz
63.2% | Jan Choinski
36.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Pablo Llamas Ruiz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)Jan Choinski has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pablo Llamas Ruiz than the current prediction. (-4.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jan Choinski than the current prediction. (+4.7%)
Pablo Llamas Ruiz - Jan Choinski Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.49 ↓
(1.56) |
|
2.5 ↑
(2.24) |
7%
(8.7%) | |
What is the prediction for Pablo Llamas Ruiz - Jan Choinski?
Users Predictions:
Pablo Llamas Ruiz will win
(4 of 5 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 44.94% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- Llamas Ruiz is ranked ATP: 191. Choinski is ranked ATP: 123.
- Llamas Ruiz is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Choinski has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Choinski may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Llamas Ruiz is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Llamas Ruiz won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.
How many head-to-head matches has Pablo Llamas Ruiz won against Jan Choinski?
Pablo Llamas Ruiz has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Jan Choinski won against Pablo Llamas Ruiz?
Jan Choinski has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Pablo Llamas Ruiz - Jan Choinski were as follows:
18.03.2024
Pablo Llamas Ruiz
-
Jan Choinski
2:0
Latest results of Pablo Llamas Ruiz
Latest results of Jan Choinski
Draw
Singles - Main1/16-finals| 1 | De Jong J. (1) | Hassan B. | 2 : 1 |
| 2 | Wessels L. (Q) | Houkes M. | 0 : 2 |
| 3 | Llamas Ruiz P. | Jorda Sanchis D. (Q/LL) | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | Damas M. | Choinski J. (6) | 1 : 2 |
| 5 | Ofner S. (4) | Ferreira Silva F. (Q) | 2 : 0 |
| 6 | Brancaccio R. (WC) | Sanchez Quilez A. (WC) | 2 : 0 |
| 7 | Butvilas E. | Kukushkin M. | 0 : 2 |
| 8 | Sanchez Izquierdo N. | Carballes Baena R. (8) | 0 : 2 |
| 9 | Pellegrino A. (7) | Martin Tiffon P. | 2 : 0 |
| 10 | Engel J. | Shelbayh A. (Alt) | 2 : 1 |
| 11 | Gill F. (Q) | Pieczonka F. (Q) | 2 : 1 |
| 12 | Sanchez Jover C. (Alt) | Carreno-Busta P. (3) | 0 : 2 |
| 13 | Moller E. (5) | Coppejans K. | 0 : 2 |
| 14 | Gakhov I. | Negritu Ch. (Q) | 0 : 2 |
| 15 | Bailly G. A. | Purtseladze S. (LL) | 2 : 1 |
| 16 | Moro Canas A. | Gaubas V. (2) | 2 : 0 |
1/8-finals| 1 | De Jong J. (1) | Houkes M. | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Llamas Ruiz P. | Choinski J. (6) | 2 : 1 |
| 3 | Ofner S. (4) | Brancaccio R. | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | Kukushkin M. | Carballes Baena R. (8) | 1 : 2 |
| 5 | Pellegrino A. (7) | Engel J. | 2 : 1 |
| 6 | Gill F. | Carreno-Busta P. (3) | 1 : 2 |
| 7 | Coppejans K. | Negritu Ch. | 2 : 0 |
| 8 | Bailly G. A. | Moro Canas A. | 2 : 1 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | De Jong J. (1) | Llamas Ruiz P. | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Ofner S. (4) | Carballes Baena R. (8) | 1 : 2 |
| 3 | Pellegrino A. (7) | Carreno-Busta P. (3) | 0 : 2 |
| 4 | Coppejans K. | Bailly G. A. | 2 : 1 |
Semi-finals| 1 | De Jong J. (1) | Carballes Baena R. (8) | 1 : 2 |
| 2 | Carreno-Busta P. (3) | Coppejans K. | 2 : 0 |
Final| 1 | Carballes Baena R. (8) | Carreno-Busta P. (3) | 0 : 2 |
