Result
1:0
04/05/2025 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga Portugal 2 - Round 32
- Referee: Carvalho H. (Por)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Portugal | Sport TV1 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 41% | 59% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 21 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 23 | 15 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 19 | 11 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 9', 1 - 0, Pedro Bicalho ⚽, Carter A. (A),
- 27', Jeimes ↓, Pedro Z. ↑,
- 37', Costinha ↓, Pinto J. ↑,
- 43', Brenner 🟨,
- 45+2', Antunes V. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 59', Shinga K. ↓, Thauan Lara ↑,
- 66', Brenner ↓, Andrezinho ↑,
- 66', Martins D. ↓, Pires M. ↑,
- 73', Lumungo R. ↓, Anilson ↑,
- 73', Mota ↓, Morozov V. ↑,
- 74', Welton ↓, Joao Caiado ↑,
- 75', Ageu E. 🟨,
- 85', Carter A. ↓, Joao Marcos ↑,
- 85', Pedro Bicalho ↓, Dias R. ↑,
- 90+6', Joao Caiado 🟨,
Chances of winning
Alverca
59.8% | Draw
23.8% | Paços de Ferreira
16.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Alverca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)Paços de Ferreira has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alverca than the current prediction. (+7.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Alverca, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Paços de Ferreira than the current prediction. (-4.8%)
Alverca - Paços de Ferreira Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.56 ↑
(1.44) |
3.94 ↓
(3.94) |
5.58 ↓
(7.69) |
7.2%
(7.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Alverca - Paços de Ferreira?
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Alverca will win (votes: 6 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Portugal (Promotion: ) and 16 in the zone Liga Portugal 2 (Relegation)).
- Alverca is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Paços de Ferreira has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Alverca may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Alverca is considered a favorite.
- We predict that Alverca will win today's game, with odds of 1.6.
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Alverca won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Alverca won against Paços de Ferreira?
Alverca has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Paços de Ferreira won against Alverca?
Paços de Ferreira has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Alverca - Paços de Ferreira were as follows:
22.12.2024
Paços de Ferreira
-
Alverca
1:3
Latest results of Alverca
Latest results of Paços de Ferreira
Portuguese Liga 2 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Maritimo | 32 | 20 | 6 | 6 | 49:25 | 24 | 66 |
| 2 | Academico Viseu | 32 | 16 | 7 | 9 | 56:33 | 23 | 55 |
| 3 | Torreense | 31 | 15 | 5 | 11 | 37:30 | 7 | 50 |
| 4 | Leiria | 31 | 13 | 10 | 8 | 50:40 | 10 | 49 |
| 5 | Vizela | 32 | 13 | 9 | 10 | 38:36 | 2 | 48 |
| 6 | Benfica B | 32 | 11 | 11 | 10 | 43:40 | 3 | 44 |
| 7 | Leixoes | 32 | 13 | 5 | 14 | 42:53 | -11 | 44 |
| 8 | Lusitania FC | 32 | 11 | 10 | 11 | 42:48 | -6 | 43 |
| 9 | Feirense | 31 | 11 | 9 | 11 | 32:35 | -3 | 42 |
| 10 | FC Porto B | 31 | 12 | 6 | 13 | 37:42 | -5 | 42 |
| 11 | Chaves | 31 | 12 | 6 | 13 | 36:34 | 2 | 42 |
| 12 | Sporting CP B | 32 | 13 | 2 | 17 | 41:33 | 8 | 41 |
| 13 | Felgueiras | 31 | 10 | 10 | 11 | 28:35 | -7 | 40 |
| 14 | Penafiel | 31 | 10 | 8 | 13 | 33:34 | -1 | 38 |
| 15 | SC Farense | 31 | 9 | 9 | 13 | 27:35 | -8 | 36 |
| 16 | Pacos Ferreira | 31 | 8 | 11 | 12 | 30:44 | -14 | 35 |
| 17 | Portimonense | 31 | 9 | 6 | 16 | 34:46 | -12 | 33 |
| 18 | Oliveirense | 32 | 7 | 10 | 15 | 31:43 | -12 | 31 |
Promotion ~ Liga Portugal
Promotion ~ Liga Portugal (Promotion: )
Liga Portugal 2 (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Liga 3
