Leixões vs Paços de Ferreira – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:2
22/03/2026 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Liga Portugal 2 - Round 27
  • Referee: Melo F. (Por)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
portugalPortugalSport TV6

Match Stats

Ball possession
47%53%
Total shots
1212
Shots on target
65
Corner kicks
62
Yellow cards
22
Total shots
1212
Shots on target
65
Shots off target
67
Corner kicks
62
Offsides
34
Free kicks
1719
Throw ins
2632
Fouls
1613

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 2)
  • 28', 0 - 1, Costa D. ,
  • 34', 0 - 2, Victor J. , Francisco Ramos (A),
  • 42', Lumungo R. 🟨,
  • 45', 1 - 2, Agra S. , Balde A. (A),
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 48', Faria H. 🟨,
  • 52', 2 - 2, Semeu ,
  • 58', Faria H. , Figueiredo L. ,
  • 61', Cardoso G. 🟨,
  • 67', Agra S. , Barbosa R. ,
  • 67', Valente R. , Luccas Paraizo ,
  • 73', Francisco Ramos , Diego Fernandes ,
  • 74', Lumungo R. , Pinto J. ,
  • 79', Araujo C. , Werton ,
  • 80', Matheus Costa , Miguel Sousa ,
  • 80', Victor J. , da Silva Moreira I. A. ,
  • 86', 3 - 2, Semeu ,
  • 88', Werton 🟨,
  • 89', Anilson , Mota ,
  • 89', Cardoso G. , Kauan ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Leixões
41.2%
Draw
31.2%
Paços de Ferreira
27.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
42.2% 32.4% 25.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.7% 34.3% 24%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Leixões has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)
  • Paços de Ferreira has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leixões than the current prediction. (+3.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Paços de Ferreira than the current prediction. (-3.6%)
  • Leixões - Paços de Ferreira Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.24
    (2.2)
    2.95
    (2.85)
    3.38
    (3.65)
    8.1%
    (8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Leixões - Paços de Ferreira?
  • Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Leixões will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Paços de Ferreira will win (votes: 3 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Leixões (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 12 and 14)
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Leixões won 1.
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Paços de Ferreira may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Leixões could have a small edge in this match.
    • In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Leixões won 2 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:10. (average 1:1.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Leixões won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:5. (average 1.5:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Leixões - Paços de Ferreira were as follows:
    03.11.2025 Paços de Ferreira - Leixões 3:1
    31.01.2025 Paços de Ferreira - Leixões 0:0
    24.08.2024 Leixões - Paços de Ferreira 3:3
    16.02.2024 Leixões - Paços de Ferreira 1:1
    15.09.2023 Paços de Ferreira - Leixões 1:2
    Latest results of Leixões
    08.03.2026 Leixões - Leiria 1:4
    20.02.2026 Leixões - Vizela 1:2
    14.02.2026 Farense - Leixões 1:2
    Latest results of Paços de Ferreira
    Portuguese Liga 2 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Maritimo29186544:212360
    2Academico Viseu29155953:332050
    3Torreense291441136:30646
    4Leiria291210745:36946
    5Vizela29128937:34344
    6Benfica B291011841:35641
    7Sporting CP B291321441:301141
    8FC Porto B281251136:35141
    9Feirense291181032:32041
    10Chaves291161231:29239
    11Lusitania FC281081037:44-738
    12Leixoes291151335:50-1538
    13Penafiel29981228:30-235
    14Felgueiras298101125:34-934
    15SC Farense29881325:35-1032
    16Pacos Ferreira297111126:39-1332
    17Portimonense29861531:42-1130
    18Oliveirense29691427:41-1427

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