Result
3:2
22/03/2026 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga Portugal 2 - Round 27
- Referee: Melo F. (Por)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Portugal | Sport TV6 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 47% | 53% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 17 | 19 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 26 | 32 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 16 | 13 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 2)
- 28', 0 - 1, Costa D. ⚽,
- 34', 0 - 2, Victor J. ⚽, Francisco Ramos (A),
- 42', Lumungo R. 🟨,
- 45', 1 - 2, Agra S. ⚽, Balde A. (A),
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 48', Faria H. 🟨,
- 52', 2 - 2, Semeu ⚽,
- 58', Faria H. ↓, Figueiredo L. ↑,
- 61', Cardoso G. 🟨,
- 67', Agra S. ↓, Barbosa R. ↑,
- 67', Valente R. ↓, Luccas Paraizo ↑,
- 73', Francisco Ramos ↓, Diego Fernandes ↑,
- 74', Lumungo R. ↓, Pinto J. ↑,
- 79', Araujo C. ↓, Werton ↑,
- 80', Matheus Costa ↓, Miguel Sousa ↑,
- 80', Victor J. ↓, da Silva Moreira I. A. ↑,
- 86', 3 - 2, Semeu ⚽,
- 88', Werton 🟨,
- 89', Anilson ↓, Mota ↑,
- 89', Cardoso G. ↓, Kauan ↑,
Chances of winning
Leixões
41.2% | Draw
31.2% | Paços de Ferreira
27.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Leixões has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)Paços de Ferreira has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leixões than the current prediction. (+3.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Paços de Ferreira than the current prediction. (-3.6%)
Leixões - Paços de Ferreira Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.24 ↑
(2.2) |
2.95 ↑
(2.85) |
3.38 ↓
(3.65) |
8.1%
(8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Leixões - Paços de Ferreira?
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Leixões will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Paços de Ferreira will win (votes: 3 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Leixões (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 12 and 14)
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Leixões won 1.
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- Paços de Ferreira may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Leixões could have a small edge in this match.
- In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Leixões won 2 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:10. (average 1:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Leixões won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:5. (average 1.5:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Leixões won against Paços de Ferreira?
Leixões has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Paços de Ferreira won against Leixões?
Paços de Ferreira has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Leixões - Paços de Ferreira were as follows:
03.11.2025
Paços de Ferreira
-
Leixões
3:1
31.01.2025
Paços de Ferreira
-
Leixões
0:0
24.08.2024
Leixões
-
Paços de Ferreira
3:3
16.02.2024
Leixões
-
Paços de Ferreira
1:1
15.09.2023
Paços de Ferreira
-
Leixões
1:2
Latest results of Leixões
Latest results of Paços de Ferreira
Portuguese Liga 2 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Maritimo | 27 | 17 | 5 | 5 | 43:21 | 22 | 56 |
| 2 | Academico Viseu | 27 | 15 | 5 | 7 | 50:28 | 22 | 50 |
| 3 | Torreense | 27 | 14 | 3 | 10 | 35:27 | 8 | 45 |
| 4 | Vizela | 27 | 12 | 8 | 7 | 36:31 | 5 | 44 |
| 5 | Leiria | 26 | 11 | 8 | 7 | 41:34 | 7 | 41 |
| 6 | Sporting CP B | 27 | 13 | 2 | 12 | 39:26 | 13 | 41 |
| 7 | FC Porto B | 27 | 11 | 5 | 11 | 33:35 | -2 | 38 |
| 8 | Lusitania FC | 27 | 10 | 7 | 10 | 37:44 | -7 | 37 |
| 9 | Benfica B | 27 | 9 | 10 | 8 | 37:32 | 5 | 37 |
| 10 | Chaves | 27 | 10 | 6 | 11 | 29:26 | 3 | 36 |
| 11 | Feirense | 27 | 9 | 8 | 10 | 30:32 | -2 | 35 |
| 12 | Leixoes | 27 | 10 | 4 | 13 | 32:49 | -17 | 34 |
| 13 | Felgueiras | 27 | 7 | 9 | 11 | 24:34 | -10 | 30 |
| 14 | Pacos Ferreira | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 26:37 | -11 | 30 |
| 15 | Penafiel | 27 | 7 | 8 | 12 | 22:26 | -4 | 29 |
| 16 | SC Farense | 27 | 7 | 8 | 12 | 23:33 | -10 | 29 |
| 17 | Portimonense | 27 | 7 | 6 | 14 | 29:40 | -11 | 27 |
| 18 | Oliveirense | 27 | 6 | 9 | 12 | 26:37 | -11 | 27 |
Promotion ~ Liga Portugal
Promotion ~ Liga Portugal (Promotion: )
Liga Portugal 2 (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Liga 3
