Result
3:1
03/11/2025 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Liga Portugal 2 - Round 10
- Referee: Carvalho H. (Por)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Portugal | Sport TV6 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 60% | 40% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 19 | 18 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 22 | 22 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 17 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 21', Simaozinho 🟨,
- 26', Fernandinho 🟨,
- 33', Evrard Zag 🟨,
- 44', 1 - 0, Mota ⚽,
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 46', Evrard Zag ↓, Paulinho ↑,
- 49', Kauan 🟨,
- 53', Simaozinho 🟨,
- 56', 2 - 0, Costinha ⚽,
- 57', Fernandinho ↓, Cunha N. ↑,
- 60', Kanuric B. ↓, Rochez B. ↑,
- 62', Paulite 🟨,
- 64', 2 - 1, Rochez B. ⚽,
- 74', Francisco Ramos ↓, Gomes F. ↑,
- 74', Diego Fernandes ↓, Victor J. ↑,
- 76', Paulite ↓, Araujo C. ↑,
- 76', Agra S. ↓, Serif N. ↑,
- 80', Valente R. ↓, Rajani M. ↑,
- 83', Mota 🟨,
- 85', Sousa A. ↓, Matheus Martins ↑,
- 85', Costinha ↓, Silva V. ↑,
- 87', Paulinho 🟨,
- 90+7', 3 - 1, Cunha N. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Paços de Ferreira
35.2% | Draw
29.4% | Leixões
35.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Paços de Ferreira has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)Leixões has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Paços de Ferreira than the current prediction. (-4.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leixões than the current prediction. (+5.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Leixões could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Paços de Ferreira - Leixões Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.64 ↓
(2.98) |
3.1 ↓
(3.2) |
2.6 ↑
(2.31) |
8.6%
(8.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Paços de Ferreira - Leixões?
Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. Paços de Ferreira will win (votes: 6 - 60%). Leixões will win (votes: 1 - 10%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 30%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Paços de Ferreira: 29.6% – 90.4%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH 0 - Paços de Ferreira (1.88) (votes: 1 - 50%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Paços de Ferreira (votes: 1 - 25%). Leixões (votes: 1 - 25%). Tie (votes: 2 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Liga 3 and 16 in the zone Liga Portugal 2 (Relegation)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Paços de Ferreira won 0.
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Paços de Ferreira won 1 match, drew 5 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:8. (average 0.9:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Paços de Ferreira won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 0.5:0.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Paços de Ferreira won against Leixões?
Paços de Ferreira has won 0 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Leixões won against Paços de Ferreira?
Leixões has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Paços de Ferreira - Leixões were as follows:
31.01.2025
Paços de Ferreira
-
Leixões
0:0
24.08.2024
Leixões
-
Paços de Ferreira
3:3
16.02.2024
Leixões
-
Paços de Ferreira
1:1
15.09.2023
Paços de Ferreira
-
Leixões
1:2
Latest results of Paços de Ferreira
Latest results of Leixões
Portuguese Liga 2 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Maritimo | 24 | 14 | 5 | 5 | 38:19 | 19 | 47 |
| 2 | Academico Viseu | 24 | 13 | 5 | 6 | 44:26 | 18 | 44 |
| 3 | Sporting CP B | 24 | 12 | 2 | 10 | 37:23 | 14 | 38 |
| 4 | FC Porto B | 24 | 11 | 4 | 9 | 31:31 | 0 | 37 |
| 5 | Torreense | 24 | 11 | 3 | 10 | 28:27 | 1 | 36 |
| 6 | Leiria | 23 | 9 | 8 | 6 | 34:31 | 3 | 35 |
| 7 | Vizela | 24 | 9 | 8 | 7 | 30:28 | 2 | 35 |
| 8 | Lusitania FC | 24 | 9 | 7 | 8 | 33:37 | -4 | 34 |
| 9 | Feirense | 24 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 28:27 | 1 | 32 |
| 10 | Benfica B | 24 | 7 | 10 | 7 | 33:31 | 2 | 31 |
| 11 | Leixoes | 24 | 9 | 4 | 11 | 27:40 | -13 | 31 |
| 12 | Chaves | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 27:24 | 3 | 30 |
| 13 | Felgueiras | 24 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 24:30 | -6 | 29 |
| 14 | Penafiel | 24 | 7 | 7 | 10 | 21:23 | -2 | 28 |
| 15 | SC Farense | 24 | 7 | 6 | 11 | 22:31 | -9 | 27 |
| 16 | Oliveirense | 24 | 6 | 8 | 10 | 26:33 | -7 | 26 |
| 17 | Pacos Ferreira | 23 | 5 | 9 | 9 | 20:32 | -12 | 24 |
| 18 | Portimonense | 24 | 6 | 6 | 12 | 25:35 | -10 | 24 |
Promotion ~ Liga Portugal
Promotion ~ Liga Portugal (Promotion: )
Liga Portugal 2 (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Liga 3
