Result
3:2
22/03/2026 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga Portugal 2 - Round 27
- Referee: Melo F. (Por)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Portugal | Sport TV6 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 47% | 53% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 17 | 19 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 26 | 32 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 16 | 13 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 2)
- 28', 0 - 1, Costa D. ⚽,
- 34', 0 - 2, Victor J. ⚽, Francisco Ramos (A),
- 42', Lumungo R. 🟨,
- 45', 1 - 2, Agra S. ⚽, Balde A. (A),
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 48', Faria H. 🟨,
- 52', 2 - 2, Semeu ⚽,
- 58', Faria H. ↓, Figueiredo L. ↑,
- 61', Cardoso G. 🟨,
- 67', Agra S. ↓, Barbosa R. ↑,
- 67', Valente R. ↓, Luccas Paraizo ↑,
- 73', Francisco Ramos ↓, Diego Fernandes ↑,
- 74', Lumungo R. ↓, Pinto J. ↑,
- 79', Araujo C. ↓, Werton ↑,
- 80', Matheus Costa ↓, Miguel Sousa ↑,
- 80', Victor J. ↓, da Silva Moreira I. A. ↑,
- 86', 3 - 2, Semeu ⚽,
- 88', Werton 🟨,
- 89', Anilson ↓, Mota ↑,
- 89', Cardoso G. ↓, Kauan ↑,
Chances of winning
Leixões
41.2% | Draw
31.2% | Paços de Ferreira
27.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Leixões has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)Paços de Ferreira has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leixões than the current prediction. (+3.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Paços de Ferreira than the current prediction. (-3.6%)
Leixões - Paços de Ferreira Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.24 ↑
(2.2) |
2.95 ↑
(2.85) |
3.38 ↓
(3.65) |
8.1%
(8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Leixões - Paços de Ferreira?
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Leixões will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Paços de Ferreira will win (votes: 3 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Leixões (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 12 and 14)
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Leixões won 1.
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- Paços de Ferreira may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Leixões could have a small edge in this match.
- In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Leixões won 2 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:10. (average 1:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Leixões won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:5. (average 1.5:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Leixões won against Paços de Ferreira?
Leixões has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Paços de Ferreira won against Leixões?
Paços de Ferreira has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Leixões - Paços de Ferreira were as follows:
03.11.2025
Paços de Ferreira
-
Leixões
3:1
31.01.2025
Paços de Ferreira
-
Leixões
0:0
24.08.2024
Leixões
-
Paços de Ferreira
3:3
16.02.2024
Leixões
-
Paços de Ferreira
1:1
15.09.2023
Paços de Ferreira
-
Leixões
1:2
Latest results of Leixões
Latest results of Paços de Ferreira
Portuguese Liga 2 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Maritimo | 32 | 20 | 6 | 6 | 49:25 | 24 | 66 |
| 2 | Academico Viseu | 32 | 16 | 7 | 9 | 56:33 | 23 | 55 |
| 3 | Torreense | 31 | 15 | 5 | 11 | 37:30 | 7 | 50 |
| 4 | Leiria | 32 | 13 | 10 | 9 | 50:43 | 7 | 49 |
| 5 | Vizela | 32 | 13 | 9 | 10 | 38:36 | 2 | 48 |
| 6 | Feirense | 32 | 12 | 9 | 11 | 34:36 | -2 | 45 |
| 7 | Benfica B | 32 | 11 | 11 | 10 | 43:40 | 3 | 44 |
| 8 | Leixoes | 32 | 13 | 5 | 14 | 42:53 | -11 | 44 |
| 9 | Lusitania FC | 32 | 11 | 10 | 11 | 42:48 | -6 | 43 |
| 10 | FC Porto B | 31 | 12 | 6 | 13 | 37:42 | -5 | 42 |
| 11 | Chaves | 32 | 12 | 6 | 14 | 38:37 | 1 | 42 |
| 12 | Sporting CP B | 32 | 13 | 2 | 17 | 41:33 | 8 | 41 |
| 13 | Felgueiras | 31 | 10 | 10 | 11 | 28:35 | -7 | 40 |
| 14 | SC Farense | 32 | 10 | 9 | 13 | 30:35 | -5 | 39 |
| 15 | Penafiel | 31 | 10 | 8 | 13 | 33:34 | -1 | 38 |
| 16 | Portimonense | 32 | 10 | 6 | 16 | 37:48 | -11 | 36 |
| 17 | Pacos Ferreira | 32 | 8 | 11 | 13 | 31:46 | -15 | 35 |
| 18 | Oliveirense | 32 | 7 | 10 | 15 | 31:43 | -12 | 31 |
Promotion ~ Liga Portugal
Promotion ~ Liga Portugal (Promotion: )
Liga Portugal 2 (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Liga 3
