Result
2:3
07/03/2026 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Liga Portugal 2 - Round 25
- Referee: Baixinho R. (Por)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 52% | 48% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 2 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 2 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 19 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 23 | 15 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 17 | 14 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 19', 1 - 0, Cagro W. (Penalty Awarded),
- 30', Pinto J. 🟨,
- 38', Mamede 🟨,
- 43', 2 - 0, Xavier ⚽, Mamede (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 3)
- 46', 2 - 1, Victor J. ⚽, Lumungo R. (A),
- 53', 2 - 2, Victor J. (Penalty Awarded),
- 55', Anilson 🟨,
- 60', Xavier 🟨,
- 66', Welinton Junior ↓, Dauda M. ↑,
- 66', Cagro W. ↓, Lobato S. ↑,
- 66', Neves S. ↓, Abel A. ↑,
- 70', 2 - 3, Fale M. ⚽, Cunha N. (A),
- 70', Fale M. 🟨,
- 72', Pinto J. 🟨,
- 75', Victor J. ↓, Costa D. ↑,
- 75', Cunha N. ↓, Diegao ↑,
- 76', Edney ↓, Canario F. ↑,
- 76', Mamede ↓, De Bolle L. ↑,
- 79', Francisco Ramos ↓, Nito ↑,
- 80', Fale M. ↓, Dias L. ↑,
- 88', Lumungo R. ↓, Diego Fernandes ↑,
- 90+2', Junior M. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Portimonense
41.5% | Draw
29.4% | Paços de Ferreira
29.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Portimonense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Portimonense's form might have worsened.Paços de Ferreira has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Portimonense than the current prediction. (+7.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Portimonense, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Paços de Ferreira than the current prediction. (-5.7%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Paços de Ferreira, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Portimonense - Paços de Ferreira Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.25 ↑
(1.94) |
3.18 ↑
(3.17) |
3.16 ↓
(3.7) |
7.5%
(10.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Portimonense - Paços de Ferreira?
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. Portimonense will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Paços de Ferreira will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Liga 3 and 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Liga 3).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Portimonense won 4.
- Portimonense is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- In recent matches, Paços de Ferreira has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Recently, Paços de Ferreira has had a series of home games.
- Portimonense is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Portimonense won 6 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 18:13. (average 1.3:0.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Portimonense won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:3. (average 1.2:0.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Portimonense won against Paços de Ferreira?
Portimonense has won 3 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Paços de Ferreira won against Portimonense?
Paços de Ferreira has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Portimonense - Paços de Ferreira were as follows:
25.10.2025
Paços de Ferreira
-
Portimonense
4:1
18.04.2025
Portimonense
-
Paços de Ferreira
2:0
08.12.2024
Paços de Ferreira
-
Portimonense
0:1
06.02.2023
Portimonense
-
Paços de Ferreira
1:0
Latest results of Portimonense
Latest results of Paços de Ferreira
Portuguese Liga 2 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Maritimo | 29 | 18 | 6 | 5 | 44:21 | 23 | 60 |
| 2 | Academico Viseu | 29 | 15 | 5 | 9 | 53:33 | 20 | 50 |
| 3 | Torreense | 29 | 14 | 4 | 11 | 36:30 | 6 | 46 |
| 4 | Leiria | 29 | 12 | 10 | 7 | 45:36 | 9 | 46 |
| 5 | Vizela | 29 | 12 | 8 | 9 | 37:34 | 3 | 44 |
| 6 | Benfica B | 29 | 10 | 11 | 8 | 41:35 | 6 | 41 |
| 7 | Sporting CP B | 29 | 13 | 2 | 14 | 41:30 | 11 | 41 |
| 8 | FC Porto B | 28 | 12 | 5 | 11 | 36:35 | 1 | 41 |
| 9 | Feirense | 29 | 11 | 8 | 10 | 32:32 | 0 | 41 |
| 10 | Chaves | 29 | 11 | 6 | 12 | 31:29 | 2 | 39 |
| 11 | Lusitania FC | 28 | 10 | 8 | 10 | 37:44 | -7 | 38 |
| 12 | Leixoes | 29 | 11 | 5 | 13 | 35:50 | -15 | 38 |
| 13 | Penafiel | 29 | 9 | 8 | 12 | 28:30 | -2 | 35 |
| 14 | Felgueiras | 29 | 8 | 10 | 11 | 25:34 | -9 | 34 |
| 15 | SC Farense | 29 | 8 | 8 | 13 | 25:35 | -10 | 32 |
| 16 | Pacos Ferreira | 29 | 7 | 11 | 11 | 26:39 | -13 | 32 |
| 17 | Portimonense | 29 | 8 | 6 | 15 | 31:42 | -11 | 30 |
| 18 | Oliveirense | 29 | 6 | 9 | 14 | 27:41 | -14 | 27 |
Promotion ~ Liga Portugal
Promotion ~ Liga Portugal (Promotion: )
Liga Portugal 2 (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Liga 3
