Result
07/03/2026 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
Chances of winning
Portimonense
40.1% | Draw
30.2% | Paços de Ferreira
29.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Portimonense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Portimonense's form might have worsened.Paços de Ferreira has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Paços de Ferreira's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Portimonense than the current prediction. (+8.8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Portimonense, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Paços de Ferreira than the current prediction. (-6.2%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Paços de Ferreira, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Portimonense - Paços de Ferreira Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.31 ↑
(1.94) |
3.07 ↓
(3.17) |
3.12 ↓
(3.7) |
7.9%
(10.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Liga 3 and 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Liga 3).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Portimonense won 4.
- Recent form of Portimonense has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Paços de Ferreira has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Recently, Paços de Ferreira has had a series of home games.
- Portimonense will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Portimonense won 6 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 18:13. (average 1.3:0.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Portimonense won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:3. (average 1.2:0.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Portimonense won against Paços de Ferreira?
Portimonense has won 3 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Paços de Ferreira won against Portimonense?
Paços de Ferreira has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Portimonense - Paços de Ferreira were as follows:
25.10.2025
Paços de Ferreira
-
Portimonense
4:1
18.04.2025
Portimonense
-
Paços de Ferreira
2:0
08.12.2024
Paços de Ferreira
-
Portimonense
0:1
06.02.2023
Portimonense
-
Paços de Ferreira
1:0
Latest results of Portimonense
Latest results of Paços de Ferreira
Portuguese Liga 2 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Maritimo | 24 | 14 | 5 | 5 | 38:19 | 19 | 47 |
| 2 | Academico Viseu | 24 | 13 | 5 | 6 | 44:26 | 18 | 44 |
| 3 | Sporting CP B | 24 | 12 | 2 | 10 | 37:23 | 14 | 38 |
| 4 | FC Porto B | 24 | 11 | 4 | 9 | 31:31 | 0 | 37 |
| 5 | Torreense | 24 | 11 | 3 | 10 | 28:27 | 1 | 36 |
| 6 | Leiria | 23 | 9 | 8 | 6 | 34:31 | 3 | 35 |
| 7 | Vizela | 24 | 9 | 8 | 7 | 30:28 | 2 | 35 |
| 8 | Lusitania FC | 24 | 9 | 7 | 8 | 33:37 | -4 | 34 |
| 9 | Feirense | 24 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 28:27 | 1 | 32 |
| 10 | Benfica B | 24 | 7 | 10 | 7 | 33:31 | 2 | 31 |
| 11 | Leixoes | 24 | 9 | 4 | 11 | 27:40 | -13 | 31 |
| 12 | Chaves | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 27:24 | 3 | 30 |
| 13 | Felgueiras | 24 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 24:30 | -6 | 29 |
| 14 | Penafiel | 24 | 7 | 7 | 10 | 21:23 | -2 | 28 |
| 15 | SC Farense | 24 | 7 | 6 | 11 | 22:31 | -9 | 27 |
| 16 | Oliveirense | 24 | 6 | 8 | 10 | 26:33 | -7 | 26 |
| 17 | Pacos Ferreira | 23 | 5 | 9 | 9 | 20:32 | -12 | 24 |
| 18 | Portimonense | 24 | 6 | 6 | 12 | 25:35 | -10 | 24 |
Promotion ~ Liga Portugal
Promotion ~ Liga Portugal (Promotion: )
Liga Portugal 2 (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Liga 3
