Result
2:2
29/09/2025 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga Portugal 2 - Round 6
- Referee: Lima F. (Por)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Portugal | Sport TV6 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 54% | 46% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 22 | 13 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 16 | 13 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 21 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 1)
- 14', 0 - 1, Melnichenko T. ⚽, Kaue Rodrigues (A),
- 24', Henrique Kaio 🟨,
- 38', 1 - 1, Anilson ⚽,
- 45+2', 2 - 1, Costinha ⚽, Diego Fernandes (A),
- 45+4', Pinto J. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Alarcon A. ↓, Caicedo B. ↑,
- 46', Bras G. ↓, Ribeiro A. ↑,
- 47', Felipe Silva 🟨,
- 48', Kauan 🟥,
- 51', Pinto J. ↓, Rafael ↑,
- 54', 2 - 2, Caicedo B. ⚽,
- 58', Francisco Ramos 🟨,
- 62', Anilson 🟨,
- 65', Henrique Kaio ↓, Rodrigues D. ↑,
- 70', Francisco Ramos 🟨,
- 72', Teixeira J. ↓, Vonic L. ↑,
- 73', Diego Fernandes ↓, Gomes F. ↑,
- 79', Caicedo B. 🟨,
- 80', Dias L. ↓, Cardoso G. ↑,
- 80', Costinha ↓, Silva V. ↑,
- 80', Sousa G. ↓, Miranda A. ↑,
- 90+2', Pedro Lima 🟨,
Chances of winning
Paços de Ferreira
37.8% | Draw
30.9% | Porto B
31.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Paços de Ferreira has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)Porto B has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Paços de Ferreira than the current prediction. (-2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Porto B than the current prediction. (+3.2%)
Paços de Ferreira - Porto B Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.5 ↑
(2.25) |
3.03 ↓
(3.1) |
3 ↑
(2.9) |
6.2%
(11.2%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Paços de Ferreira - Porto B?
Users Predictions:
12 users predict this event. Paços de Ferreira will win (votes: 5 - 41.7%). Porto B will win (votes: 1 - 8.3%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 21.7% – 78.3%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Liga 3 and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Liga 3).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Paços de Ferreira won 2.
- Paços de Ferreira is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Porto B is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Paços de Ferreira won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:6. (average 1.5:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Paços de Ferreira won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 5:3. (average 1.7:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Paços de Ferreira won against Porto B?
Paços de Ferreira has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Porto B won against Paços de Ferreira?
Porto B has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Paços de Ferreira - Porto B were as follows:
06.04.2025
Porto B
-
Paços de Ferreira
1:0
10.11.2024
Paços de Ferreira
-
Porto B
2:2
12.05.2024
Porto B
-
Paços de Ferreira
1:3
07.01.2024
Paços de Ferreira
-
Porto B
3:0
Latest results of Paços de Ferreira
Latest results of Porto B
Portuguese Liga 2 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Vizela | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 11:4 | 7 | 14 |
| 2 | Maritimo | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 8:4 | 4 | 14 |
| 3 | Chaves | 7 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 10:5 | 5 | 13 |
| 4 | Sporting CP B | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 7:3 | 4 | 12 |
| 5 | Leiria | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 7:5 | 2 | 11 |
| 6 | Portimonense | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 11:12 | -1 | 11 |
| 7 | SC Farense | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 7:9 | -2 | 10 |
| 8 | Lusitania FC | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 8:9 | -1 | 9 |
| 9 | Feirense | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8:5 | 3 | 8 |
| 10 | Torreense | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8:6 | 2 | 8 |
| 11 | Leixoes | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7:9 | -2 | 7 |
| 12 | Felgueiras | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 6:9 | -3 | 7 |
| 13 | Oliveirense | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 4:4 | 0 | 6 |
| 14 | Academico Viseu | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 11:12 | -1 | 6 |
| 15 | Penafiel | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5:7 | -2 | 5 |
| 16 | Benfica B | 6 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 8:10 | -2 | 4 |
| 17 | Pacos Ferreira | 6 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 3:7 | -4 | 4 |
| 18 | FC Porto B | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 3:12 | -9 | 2 |
Promotion ~ Liga Portugal
Promotion ~ Liga Portugal (Promotion: )
Liga Portugal 2 (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Liga 3
