Paços de Ferreira vs Tondela – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Portuguese Liga 2 Paços de Ferreira - Tondela
Result
0:1
12/04/2025 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Liga Portugal 2 - Round 29
  • Where to Watch on TV:
portugalPortugalSport TV2

Match Stats

Ball Possession
47%53%
Total shots
159
Shots on target
93
Corner Kicks
93
Yellow Cards
21
Total shots
159
Shots on target
93
Shots off target
66
Corner Kicks
93
Offsides
04
Free Kicks
2522
Fouls
1921
Goalkeeper Saves
29

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 23', Ramos R. 🟨,
  • 27', Diegao 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 63', Ramos R. , Pedro Maranhao ,
  • 63', Maviram E. , Moudjatovic M. ,
  • 63', Cunha N. , Cicero ,
  • 68', Pavlic I. , Joao Caiado ,
  • 68', Diegao , Ferigra E. ,
  • 72', Bebeto , Tavares H. ,
  • 73', Afonso J. , Roberto ,
  • 73', 0 - 1, Miro , Tavares H. (A),
  • 75', Mota , Anilson ,
  • 77', Paulo M. , Morozov V. ,
  • 90+3', Fonte R. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Paços de Ferreira
24.9%
Draw
29%
Tondela
46.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
27.1% 29.5% 43.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.4% 28.8% 44.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Paços de Ferreira has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)
  • Tondela has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Paços de Ferreira than the current prediction. (+1.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tondela than the current prediction. (-1.8%)
  • Paços de Ferreira - Tondela Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.69
    (3.44)
    3.18
    (3.16)
    2.01
    (2.15)
    8.3%
    (7.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Paços de Ferreira - Tondela?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tondela (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Users Predictions: Tondela will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 64.58%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 15 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Portugal).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Paços de Ferreira won 2.
    • Paços de Ferreira is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Tondela in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • Tondela will have a small advantage in this match.
    • Last 17 head-to-head matches Paços de Ferreira won 8 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 26:20 (average 1.5:1.2).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Paços de Ferreira won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 11:10 (average 1.4:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Paços de Ferreira - Tondela were as follows:
    01.12.2024 Tondela - Paços de Ferreira 2:1
    05.02.2024 Tondela - Paços de Ferreira 1:1
    26.08.2023 Paços de Ferreira - Tondela 5:1
    Latest results of Paços de Ferreira
    Latest results of Tondela
    05.04.2025 Tondela - Feirense 2:1
    29.03.2025 Oliveirense - Tondela 1:3
    16.03.2025 Tondela - Benfica B 2:1
    10.03.2025 Leixões - Tondela 0:1
    01.03.2025 Tondela - Torreense 2:2
    Draw
    Promotion

    Final
    1AFSVizela2 : 2, 3 : 0