Result
0:1
12/04/2025 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga Portugal 2 - Round 29
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Portugal | Sport TV2 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 47% | 53% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 4 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 25 | 22 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 19 | 21 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 9 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 23', Ramos R. 🟨,
- 27', Diegao 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 63', Ramos R. ↓, Pedro Maranhao ↑,
- 63', Maviram E. ↓, Moudjatovic M. ↑,
- 63', Cunha N. ↓, Cicero ↑,
- 68', Pavlic I. ↓, Joao Caiado ↑,
- 68', Diegao ↓, Ferigra E. ↑,
- 72', Bebeto ↓, Tavares H. ↑,
- 73', Afonso J. ↓, Roberto ↑,
- 73', 0 - 1, Miro ⚽, Tavares H. (A),
- 75', Mota ↓, Anilson ↑,
- 77', Paulo M. ↓, Morozov V. ↑,
- 90+3', Fonte R. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Paços de Ferreira
24.9% | Draw
29% | Tondela
46.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Paços de Ferreira has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)Tondela has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Paços de Ferreira than the current prediction. (+1.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tondela than the current prediction. (-1.8%)
Paços de Ferreira - Tondela Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.69 ↑
(3.44) |
3.18 ↑
(3.16) |
2.01 ↓
(2.15) |
8.3%
(7.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Paços de Ferreira - Tondela?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Tondela (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- DC - Paços de Ferreira (1.72) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Tondela will win
(7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.58% – 100%.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Paços de Ferreira (votes: 1 - 25%). Tondela (votes: 2 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 25%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 15 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Portugal).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Paços de Ferreira won 2.
- Paços de Ferreira is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Tondela in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
- Tondela will have a small advantage in this match.
- Last 17 head-to-head matches Paços de Ferreira won 8 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 26:20 (average 1.5:1.2).
- Including matches at home between the teams Paços de Ferreira won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 11:10 (average 1.4:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Paços de Ferreira won against Tondela?
Paços de Ferreira has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Tondela won against Paços de Ferreira?
Tondela has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Paços de Ferreira - Tondela were as follows:
01.12.2024
Tondela
-
Paços de Ferreira
2:1
05.02.2024
Tondela
-
Paços de Ferreira
1:1
26.08.2023
Paços de Ferreira
-
Tondela
5:1
Latest results of Paços de Ferreira
Latest results of Tondela
Portuguese Liga 2 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Maritimo | 24 | 14 | 5 | 5 | 38:19 | 19 | 47 |
| 2 | Academico Viseu | 24 | 13 | 5 | 6 | 44:26 | 18 | 44 |
| 3 | Sporting CP B | 24 | 12 | 2 | 10 | 37:23 | 14 | 38 |
| 4 | FC Porto B | 24 | 11 | 4 | 9 | 31:31 | 0 | 37 |
| 5 | Torreense | 24 | 11 | 3 | 10 | 28:27 | 1 | 36 |
| 6 | Leiria | 23 | 9 | 8 | 6 | 34:31 | 3 | 35 |
| 7 | Vizela | 24 | 9 | 8 | 7 | 30:28 | 2 | 35 |
| 8 | Lusitania FC | 24 | 9 | 7 | 8 | 33:37 | -4 | 34 |
| 9 | Feirense | 24 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 28:27 | 1 | 32 |
| 10 | Benfica B | 24 | 7 | 10 | 7 | 33:31 | 2 | 31 |
| 11 | Leixoes | 24 | 9 | 4 | 11 | 27:40 | -13 | 31 |
| 12 | Chaves | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 27:24 | 3 | 30 |
| 13 | Felgueiras | 24 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 24:30 | -6 | 29 |
| 14 | Penafiel | 24 | 7 | 7 | 10 | 21:23 | -2 | 28 |
| 15 | SC Farense | 24 | 7 | 6 | 11 | 22:31 | -9 | 27 |
| 16 | Oliveirense | 24 | 6 | 8 | 10 | 26:33 | -7 | 26 |
| 17 | Pacos Ferreira | 23 | 5 | 9 | 9 | 20:32 | -12 | 24 |
| 18 | Portimonense | 24 | 6 | 6 | 12 | 25:35 | -10 | 24 |
Promotion ~ Liga Portugal
Promotion ~ Liga Portugal (Promotion: )
Liga Portugal 2 (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Liga 3
