Result
0:0
15/02/2026 at 07:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- 2. Bundesliga - Round 22
- Referee: Bauer T. (Ger)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | Disney+, ESPN |
 Armenia | Fast Sports |
 Australia | beIN Connect, ESPN |
 Austria | Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga 3 |
 Canada | DAZN Canada |
 Colombia | ESPN |
 Czech-republic | Nova Sport 6, Oneplay |
 Denmark | Viaplay |
 Finland | Veikkaus TV, Viaplay |
 Germany | Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga 3, WOW |
 Hong-kong | beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX |
 Iceland | Viaplay |
 Laos | beIN Connect |
 Malaysia | beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX |
 Malta | GO TV, TSN Malta 1 |
 Mexico | Sky Sport |
 Netherlands | Viaplay |
 New-zealand | beIN Connect |
 North-macedonia | MaxTV GO |
 Norway | TV2 Play, Viaplay |
 Peru | Disney+, ESPN |
 Philippines | beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX |
 Portugal | DAZN / App |
 Romania | Prima Sport PPV 1 |
 Saudi-arabia | MBC Shahid |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 2 |
 Singapore | beIN SPORTS MAX |
 Slovakia | Nova Sport 6, Voyo |
 Sweden | Viaplay |
 Switzerland | Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga 3 |
 Thailand | beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | ESPN App, ESPN+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+, ESPN |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.92 | 0.39 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 47% | 53% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 22 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (309/396) | 79% (366/462) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.92 | 0.39 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.84 | 0.53 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 22 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 10 | 3 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 18 | 6 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 41 | 22 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 15 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (309/396) | 79% (366/462) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 48% (28/58) | 40% (23/58) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 62% (68/110) | 56% (55/98) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 30% (6/20) | 24% (4/17) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.31 | 0.73 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 23 | 17 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 15 | 9 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 39% (7/18) | 73% (11/15) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 51 | 53 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 30 | 36 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 3 | 10 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.53 | 1.84 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.53 | 1.84 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 19', Miyoshi K. 🟨,
- 37', Klaas S. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Klaas S. ↓, Brackelmann C. ↑,
- 54', Michel S. 🟨,
- 61', Miyoshi K. ↓, Marshall C. ↑,
- 64', Michel S. ↓, Hansen M. ↑,
- 64', Sticker J. ↓, Muller R. ↑,
- 74', Tigges S. ↓, Okpala K. ↑,
- 74', Lenz C. ↓, Sobottka M. ↑,
- 74', Morgalla L. ↓, Olsen O. ↑,
- 74', Onyeka F. ↓, Watjen K. ↑,
- 76', Strompf P. 🟨,
- 82', Pannewig M. ↓, Masovic E. ↑,
- 89', Okpala K. 🟨,
- 90+2', Baur M. ↓, Marino S. ↑,
Chances of winning
Bochum
34.7% | Draw
28% | Paderborn
37.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Bochum has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)Paderborn has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bochum than the current prediction. (+1.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Paderborn than the current prediction. (+0.3%)
Bochum - Paderborn Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.72 ↑
(2.62) |
3.36 ↓
(3.51) |
2.52 ↑
(2.45) |
6.2%
(7.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Bochum - Paderborn?
Users Predictions:
11 users predict this event. Bochum will win (votes: 6 - 54.5%). Paderborn will win (votes: 1 - 9.1%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 36.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Bochum: 25.1% – 83.9%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Bochum (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH 0 - Bochum (1.97) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- DC - Bochum (1.46) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Bochum (votes: 3 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 9 and 4).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bochum won 1.
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- Paderborn may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- There will not play in Bochum: Bero M.
(Ankle Injury)
Sissoko I.
(Injury)
- There will not play in Paderborn: Bauerle A.
(Inactive)
Brackelmann C.
(Concussion)
Hoffmeier M.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Bochum: Morgalla L.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Paderborn: Bilbija F.
(Injury)
- In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Bochum won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 22:25. (average 1.4:1.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Bochum won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 17:6. (average 2.8:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Bochum won against Paderborn?
Bochum has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Paderborn won against Bochum?
Paderborn has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Bochum - Paderborn were as follows:
12.09.2025
Paderborn
-
Bochum
1:0
16.12.2022
Paderborn
-
Bochum
1:1
Latest results of Paderborn
German 2 Bundesliga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Schalke | 27 | 15 | 7 | 5 | 38:24 | 14 | 52 |
| 2 | Elversberg | 27 | 15 | 6 | 6 | 47:29 | 18 | 51 |
| 3 | Paderborn | 27 | 15 | 6 | 6 | 45:31 | 14 | 51 |
| 4 | Darmstadt | 27 | 13 | 11 | 3 | 49:30 | 19 | 50 |
| 5 | Hannover | 27 | 14 | 7 | 6 | 46:34 | 12 | 49 |
| 6 | Hertha Berlin | 27 | 12 | 8 | 7 | 42:33 | 9 | 44 |
| 7 | Kaiserslautern | 27 | 12 | 4 | 11 | 45:41 | 4 | 40 |
| 8 | Karlsruher SC | 27 | 10 | 7 | 10 | 43:51 | -8 | 37 |
| 9 | Nurnberg | 27 | 10 | 6 | 11 | 37:37 | 0 | 36 |
| 10 | Bochum | 27 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 38:36 | 2 | 33 |
| 11 | Dusseldorf | 27 | 9 | 4 | 14 | 26:40 | -14 | 31 |
| 12 | SG Dynamo Dresden | 27 | 7 | 8 | 12 | 45:46 | -1 | 29 |
| 13 | Braunschweig | 27 | 8 | 5 | 14 | 29:44 | -15 | 29 |
| 14 | Greuther Furth | 27 | 8 | 5 | 14 | 40:59 | -19 | 29 |
| 15 | Arminia Bielefeld | 27 | 7 | 7 | 13 | 39:39 | 0 | 28 |
| 16 | Holstein Kiel | 27 | 7 | 7 | 13 | 34:42 | -8 | 28 |
| 17 | Magdeburg | 27 | 8 | 3 | 16 | 39:50 | -11 | 27 |
| 18 | Preussen Munster | 27 | 6 | 8 | 13 | 31:47 | -16 | 26 |
Promotion ~ Bundesliga
Promotion ~ Bundesliga (Promotion: )
2. Bundesliga (Relegation)
Relegation ~ 3. Liga
