Paderborn vs Bochum – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football German 2 Bundesliga Paderborn - Bochum
Result
1:0
12/09/2025 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • 2. Bundesliga - Round 5
  • Referee: Exner F. (Ger)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
armeniaArmeniaFast Sports
australiaAustraliaAmazon Prime Video, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
austriaAustriaSky Go Austria, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2, Sky Sport Bundesliga 4
brazilBrazilCanal GOAT
bulgariaBulgariaPlay Diema Xtra
canadaCanadaAmazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada
croatiaCroatiaSportKlub 6
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 4, Oneplay
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV, Viaplay
germanyGermanyAmazon Prime Video, Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2, Sky Sport Bundesliga 3, Sky Sport Bundesliga 4, WOW
greeceGreeceNova Sports Prime
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN Sports 1, Now Player
icelandIcelandViaplay
laosLaosbeIN Connect
malaysiaMalaysiabeIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, Sooka
maltaMaltaGO TV, TSN Malta 3
netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
new-zealandNew-zealandbeIN Connect
norwayNorwayViaplay, V Sport 2
peruPeruDisney+
philippinesPhilippinesbeIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
portugalPortugalDAZN 1, DAZN / App
romaniaRomaniaOrange TV Go, Prima Sport 2, Prima TV
serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 5, SportKlub 6
singaporeSingaporebeIN Sports 3
slovakiaSlovakiaVoyo
sloveniaSloveniaSport TV3
swedenSwedenViaplay
switzerlandSwitzerlandSky Sport Bundesliga 2, Sky Sport Bundesliga 4
thailandThailandbeIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
turkeyTurkeyTivibu Spor 3
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
worldWorldOnefootball

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.540.95
Ball Possession
63%37%
Total shots
2015
Shots on target
54
Big Chances
60
Corner Kicks
37
Passes
83% (463/555)71% (225/316)
Yellow Cards
14
Expected Goals (xG)
2.540.95
xG on target (xGOT)
1.650.78
Total shots
2015
Shots on target
54
Shots off target
94
Blocked Shots
67
Shots inside the Box
1312
Shots outside the Box
73
Hit the Woodwork
20
Big Chances
60
Corner Kicks
37
Touches in opposition box
4122
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
21
Free Kicks
107
Passes
83% (463/555)71% (225/316)
Long passes
52% (37/71)38% (25/66)
Passes in final third
61% (80/131)52% (43/83)
Crosses
29% (6/21)11% (2/18)
Expected assists (xA)
0.960.51
Throw-ins
1913
Fouls
711
Tackles
71% (12/17)67% (12/18)
Duels won
5654
Clearances
1840
Interceptions
88
Errors leading to shot
21
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
44
xGOT faced
0.781.65
Goals prevented
0.780.65

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 20', Hofmann P. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Vogt K. , Masovic E. ,
  • 53', Lenz C. 🟨,
  • 58', Rosch R. 🟨,
  • 68', Horn T. 🟨,
  • 69', Baur M. , Klaas S. ,
  • 69', Bilbija F. , Copado L. ,
  • 69', Batzner N. , Michel S. ,
  • 75', Hofmann P. , Sissoko I. ,
  • 75', Watjen K. , Obafemi M. ,
  • 82', Morgalla L. , Hulsenbusch D. ,
  • 85', Curda L. , Muller R. ,
  • 85', Tigges S. , Marino S. ,
  • 86', Rosch R. , Passlack F. ,
  • 89', Muller R. 🟨,
  • 90', 1 - 0, Copado L. ,

Chances of winning


Paderborn
51.2%
Draw
25.1%
Bochum
23.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
48.6% 24.5% 26.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.9% 24.9% 27.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Paderborn has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)
  • Bochum has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Paderborn than the current prediction. (-3.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bochum than the current prediction. (+3.6%)
  • Paderborn - Bochum Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.85
    (1.97)
    3.77
    (3.89)
    3.98
    (3.55)
    5.5%
    (4.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
  • What is the prediction for Paderborn - Bochum?
  • Users Predictions: Paderborn will win (21 of 26 users predict this - 80.77%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 65.62%95.92%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Paderborn will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Paderborn won 3.
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Bochum may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Paderborn could have a small edge in this match.
    • There will not play in Paderborn: Bauerle A. (Muscle Injury) Hoffmeier M. (Knee Injury) Kinsombi D. (Hamstring Injury) Scheller T. (Red Card) Vega Zambrano J. (Muscle Injury)
    • There will not play in Bochum: Kleine-Bekel C. (Illness) Koscierski K. (Shoulder Injury) Kwarteng M. (Ankle Injury) Miyoshi K. (Muscle Injury) Sissoko I. (Collarbone injury) Strompf P. (Muscle Injury) Wittek M. (Illness)
    • There are questionable in Paderborn: Muller R. (Muscle Injury)
    • In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Paderborn won 7 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 24:22. (average 1.6:1.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Paderborn won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 18:5. (average 2:0.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Paderborn - Bochum were as follows:
    16.12.2022 Paderborn - Bochum 1:1
    Latest results of Paderborn
    Latest results of Bochum
    04.09.2025 Bochum - Duisburg 1:0
    30.08.2025 Bochum - Preußen Münster 1:2
    23.08.2025 Schalke 04 - Bochum 2:1
    10.08.2025 Bochum - Elversberg 2:0
    German 2 Bundesliga Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Elversberg861116:61019
    2Schalke860210:5518
    3Darmstadt852114:6817
    4Paderborn852111:5617
    5Hannover852115:10517
    6Kaiserslautern850315:9615
    7Karlsruher SC843111:9215
    8Hertha Berlin83239:7211
    9Arminia Bielefeld831414:12210
    10Holstein Kiel83149:8110
    11Preussen Munster831413:15-210
    12Greuther Furth831415:18-310
    13Dusseldorf83148:15-710
    14Nurnberg82157:12-57
    15Braunschweig82159:16-77
    16SG Dynamo Dresden813412:16-46
    17Bochum81078:15-73
    18Magdeburg81077:19-123

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