Paderborn vs Bochum – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:0
12/09/2025 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • 2. Bundesliga - Round 5
  • Referee: Exner F. (Ger)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
armeniaArmeniaFast Sports
australiaAustraliaAmazon Prime Video, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
austriaAustriaSky Go Austria, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2, Sky Sport Bundesliga 4
brazilBrazilCanal GOAT
bulgariaBulgariaPlay Diema Xtra
canadaCanadaAmazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada
croatiaCroatiaSportKlub 6
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 4, Oneplay
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV, Viaplay
germanyGermanyAmazon Prime Video, Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2, Sky Sport Bundesliga 3, Sky Sport Bundesliga 4, WOW
greeceGreeceNova Sports Prime
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN Sports 1, Now Player
icelandIcelandViaplay
laosLaosbeIN Connect
malaysiaMalaysiabeIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, Sooka
maltaMaltaGO TV, TSN Malta 3
netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
new-zealandNew-zealandbeIN Connect
norwayNorwayViaplay, V Sport 2
peruPeruDisney+
philippinesPhilippinesbeIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
portugalPortugalDAZN 1, DAZN / App
romaniaRomaniaOrange TV Go, Prima Sport 2, Prima TV
serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 5, SportKlub 6
singaporeSingaporebeIN Sports 3
slovakiaSlovakiaVoyo
sloveniaSloveniaSport TV3
swedenSwedenViaplay
switzerlandSwitzerlandSky Sport Bundesliga 2, Sky Sport Bundesliga 4
thailandThailandbeIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
turkeyTurkeyTivibu Spor 3
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
worldWorldOnefootball

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.540.95
Ball Possession
63%37%
Total shots
2015
Shots on target
54
Big Chances
60
Corner Kicks
37
Passes
83% (463/555)71% (225/316)
Yellow Cards
14
Expected Goals (xG)
2.540.95
xG on target (xGOT)
1.650.78
Total shots
2015
Shots on target
54
Shots off target
94
Blocked Shots
67
Shots inside the Box
1312
Shots outside the Box
73
Hit the Woodwork
20
Big Chances
60
Corner Kicks
37
Touches in opposition box
4122
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
21
Free Kicks
107
Passes
83% (463/555)71% (225/316)
Long passes
52% (37/71)38% (25/66)
Passes in final third
61% (80/131)52% (43/83)
Crosses
29% (6/21)11% (2/18)
Expected assists (xA)
0.960.51
Throw-ins
1913
Fouls
711
Tackles
71% (12/17)67% (12/18)
Duels won
5654
Clearances
1840
Interceptions
88
Errors leading to shot
21
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
44
xGOT faced
0.781.65
Goals prevented
0.780.65

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 20', Hofmann P. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Vogt K. , Masovic E. ,
  • 53', Lenz C. 🟨,
  • 58', Rosch R. 🟨,
  • 68', Horn T. 🟨,
  • 69', Baur M. , Klaas S. ,
  • 69', Bilbija F. , Copado L. ,
  • 69', Batzner N. , Michel S. ,
  • 75', Hofmann P. , Sissoko I. ,
  • 75', Watjen K. , Obafemi M. ,
  • 82', Morgalla L. , Hulsenbusch D. ,
  • 85', Curda L. , Muller R. ,
  • 85', Tigges S. , Marino S. ,
  • 86', Rosch R. , Passlack F. ,
  • 89', Muller R. 🟨,
  • 90', 1 - 0, Copado L. ,

Chances of winning


Paderborn
51.2%
Draw
25.1%
Bochum
23.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
48.6% 24.5% 26.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.9% 24.9% 27.3%

Paderborn - Bochum Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
1.85
(1.97)
3.77
(3.89)
3.98
(3.55)
5.5%
(4.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Paderborn - Bochum?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • DNB - Paderborn (1.33) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 1, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Users Predictions: Paderborn will win (21 of 26 users predict this - 80.77%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 65.62%95.92%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Paderborn will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Paderborn (votes: 4 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Paderborn won 3.
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Bochum may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Paderborn could have a small edge in this match.
    • There will not play in Paderborn: Bauerle A. (Muscle Injury) Hoffmeier M. (Knee Injury) Kinsombi D. (Hamstring Injury) Scheller T. (Red Card) Vega Zambrano J. (Muscle Injury)
    • There will not play in Bochum: Kleine-Bekel C. (Illness) Koscierski K. (Shoulder Injury) Kwarteng M. (Ankle Injury) Miyoshi K. (Muscle Injury) Sissoko I. (Collarbone injury) Strompf P. (Muscle Injury) Wittek M. (Illness)
    • There are questionable in Paderborn: Muller R. (Muscle Injury)
    • In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Paderborn won 7 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 24:22. (average 1.6:1.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Paderborn won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 18:5. (average 2:0.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Paderborn - Bochum were as follows:
    16.12.2022 Paderborn - Bochum 1:1
    Latest results of Paderborn
    Latest results of Bochum
    04.09.2025 Bochum - Duisburg 1:0
    30.08.2025 Bochum - Preußen Münster 1:2
    23.08.2025 Schalke 04 - Bochum 2:1
    10.08.2025 Bochum - Elversberg 2:0
    German 2 Bundesliga Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Schalke18122422:101238
    2Elversberg18104433:181534
    3Darmstadt1897232:201234
    4Paderborn18103528:20833
    5Kaiserslautern1893632:221030
    6Hannover1885531:25629
    7Hertha Berlin1885521:16529
    8Nurnberg1874722:25-325
    9Karlsruher SC1874727:33-625
    10Holstein Kiel1865722:22023
    11Bochum1864826:25122
    12Magdeburg18621024:29-520
    13Preussen Munster1855822:28-620
    14Dusseldorf18621016:27-1120
    15Braunschweig18621020:32-1220
    16Arminia Bielefeld1854927:25219
    17SG Dynamo Dresden18441026:34-816
    18Greuther Furth18431126:46-2015

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