Bochum vs Paderborn – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:0
15/02/2026 at 07:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • 2. Bundesliga - Round 22
  • Referee: Bauer T. (Ger)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+, ESPN
armeniaArmeniaFast Sports
australiaAustraliabeIN Connect, ESPN
austriaAustriaSky Go Austria, Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga 3
canadaCanadaDAZN Canada
colombiaColombiaESPN
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 6, Oneplay
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV, Viaplay
germanyGermanySky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga 3, WOW
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
icelandIcelandViaplay
laosLaosbeIN Connect
malaysiaMalaysiabeIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
maltaMaltaGO TV, TSN Malta 1
mexicoMexicoSky Sport
netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
new-zealandNew-zealandbeIN Connect
north-macedoniaNorth-macedoniaMaxTV GO
norwayNorwayTV2 Play, Viaplay
peruPeruDisney+, ESPN
philippinesPhilippinesbeIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
portugalPortugalDAZN / App
romaniaRomaniaPrima Sport PPV 1
saudi-arabiaSaudi-arabiaMBC Shahid
serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 2
singaporeSingaporebeIN SPORTS MAX
slovakiaSlovakiaNova Sport 6, Voyo
swedenSwedenViaplay
switzerlandSwitzerlandSky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga 3
thailandThailandbeIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, ESPN
worldWorldOnefootball

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
1.920.39
Ball possession
47%53%
Total shots
227
Shots on target
93
Big chances
10
Corner kicks
46
Passes
78% (309/396)79% (366/462)
Yellow cards
23
Expected goals (xG)
1.920.39
xG on target (xGOT)
1.840.53
Total shots
227
Shots on target
93
Shots off target
103
Blocked shots
31
Shots inside the box
186
Shots outside the box
41
Hit the woodwork
00
Big chances
10
Corner kicks
46
Touches in opposition box
4122
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
35
Free kicks
915
Passes
78% (309/396)79% (366/462)
Long passes
48% (28/58)40% (23/58)
Passes in final third
62% (68/110)56% (55/98)
Crosses
30% (6/20)24% (4/17)
Expected assists (xA)
1.310.73
Throw ins
2317
Fouls
159
Tackles
39% (7/18)73% (11/15)
Duels won
5153
Clearances
3036
Interceptions
1010
Errors leading to shot
11
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
310
xGOT faced
0.531.84
Goals prevented
0.531.84

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 19', Miyoshi K. 🟨,
  • 37', Klaas S. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Klaas S. , Brackelmann C. ,
  • 54', Michel S. 🟨,
  • 61', Miyoshi K. , Marshall C. ,
  • 64', Michel S. , Hansen M. ,
  • 64', Sticker J. , Muller R. ,
  • 74', Tigges S. , Okpala K. ,
  • 74', Lenz C. , Sobottka M. ,
  • 74', Morgalla L. , Olsen O. ,
  • 74', Onyeka F. , Watjen K. ,
  • 76', Strompf P. 🟨,
  • 82', Pannewig M. , Masovic E. ,
  • 89', Okpala K. 🟨,
  • 90+2', Baur M. , Marino S. ,

Chances of winning


Bochum
34.7%
Draw
28%
Paderborn
37.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
35.5% 26.5% 38%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.8% 26.3% 37.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Bochum has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)
  • Paderborn has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bochum than the current prediction. (+1.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Paderborn than the current prediction. (+0.3%)
  • Bochum - Paderborn Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.72
    (2.62)
    3.36
    (3.51)
    2.52
    (2.45)
    6.2%
    (7.5%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Bochum - Paderborn?
  • Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Bochum will win (votes: 6 - 54.5%). Paderborn will win (votes: 1 - 9.1%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 36.4%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Bochum: 25.1%83.9%.
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Bochum (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • AH 0 - Bochum (1.97) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • DC - Bochum (1.46) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Bochum (votes: 3 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 9 and 4).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bochum won 1.
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • Paderborn may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • There will not play in Bochum: Bero M. (Ankle Injury) Sissoko I. (Injury)
    • There will not play in Paderborn: Bauerle A. (Inactive) Brackelmann C. (Concussion) Hoffmeier M. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Bochum: Morgalla L. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Paderborn: Bilbija F. (Injury)
    • In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Bochum won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 22:25. (average 1.4:1.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Bochum won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 17:6. (average 2.8:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Bochum - Paderborn were as follows:
    12.09.2025 Paderborn - Bochum 1:0
    16.12.2022 Paderborn - Bochum 1:1
    Latest results of Bochum
    06.02.2026 Preußen Münster - Bochum 1:1
    31.01.2026 Bochum - Schalke 04 2:0
    25.01.2026 Elversberg - Bochum 1:1
    18.01.2026 Bochum - Darmstadt 3:3
    20.12.2025 Bochum - Karlsruher 2:2
    Latest results of Paderborn
    German 2 Bundesliga Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Schalke ✔ 32207549:282167
    2Paderborn31177754:381658
    3Hannover31169653:371657
    4Elversberg31168755:352056
    5Darmstadt311312655:401551
    6Hertha Berlin31139944:36848
    7Kaiserslautern321441449:47246
    8Holstein Kiel321181342:43-141
    9Nurnberg311181240:41-141
    10Bochum3210101246:45140
    11Karlsruher SC311171348:59-1140
    12SG Dynamo Dresden321081451:50138
    13Arminia Bielefeld32991447:48-136
    14Braunschweig32971634:52-1834
    15Dusseldorf321041830:49-1934
    16Magdeburg311031848:56-833
    17Greuther Furth31961644:65-2133
    18Preussen Munster316101534:54-2028

          Promotion ~ Bundesliga
          Promotion ~ Bundesliga (Promotion: )
          2. Bundesliga (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ 3. Liga

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Schalke is Qualified for Bundesliga