Result
2:0
02/03/2025 at 07:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- GERMANY: 2. Bundesliga - Round 24
- Referee: Kampka R. (Ger)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 6, TOD |
 Austria | Sky Go Austria |
 Bulgaria | Diema Sport 3, Play Diema Xtra |
 Czech-republic | Nova Sport 3 |
 Denmark | Viaplay |
 Finland | Veikkaus TV, Viaplay |
 Germany | Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2, WOW |
 Greece | Nova Sports 3 |
 Hungary | Net4+ |
 Iceland | Viaplay |
 Israel | Sport 2 |
 Mexico | Sky Sport |
 Netherlands | Viaplay |
 Norway | Viaplay |
 Poland | Viaplay |
 Portugal | DAZN 2 |
 Romania | Digi Online, Digi Sport 4 |
 Russia | MATCH! Futbol 3, Match TV, Sportbox.ru |
 Serbia | Nova Sport |
 Slovakia | Sport TV2, Voyo |
 Sweden | Viaplay |
 Switzerland | Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2 |
 Turkey | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1 MAX, Tivibu Spor 2 |
 Usa | ESPN+ |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.39 | 1.41 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 40% | 60% |
| Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 15 | 15 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Shots off Goal |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 10 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 13 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 11 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 22 | 23 |
| Touches in the Opposition Box |
|---|
| 42 | 23 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (259/326) | 87% (434/499) |
| Passes in the final third |
|---|
| 70% (81/115) | 70% (71/102) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 39% (9/23) | 33% (8/24) |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 67% (8/12) | 70% (14/20) |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 22 | 24 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 8 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 15', 1 - 0, Bilbija F. ⚽, Terho C. (A),
- 36', Brackelmann C. ↓, Castaneda S. ↑,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Bilbija F. 🟨,
- 62', Sahiti E. ↓, Balde F. ↑,
- 63', Karabec A. 🟨,
- 64', Terho C. 🟨,
- 71', Terho C. ↓, Grimaldi A. ↑,
- 71', Bilbija F. ↓, Michel S. ↑,
- 74', Meffert J. ↓, Richter M. ↑,
- 74', Karabec A. ↓, Konigsdorffer R. ↑,
- 76', Scheller T. ↓, Hansen M. ↑,
- 76', Mehlem M. ↓, Curda L. ↑,
- 84', 2 - 0, Grimaldi A. ⚽, Ansah I. (A),
- 89', Reis L. ↓, Stange O. ↑,
Chances of winning
Paderborn
40.5% | Draw
26.7% | Hamburger SV
32.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Paderborn has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)Hamburger SV has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Paderborn than the current prediction. (-1.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hamburger SV than the current prediction. (+1.3%)
Paderborn - Hamburger SV Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.34 ↓
(2.44) |
3.56 ↑
(3.5) |
2.89 ↑
(2.67) |
5.5%
(7.1%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Paderborn - Hamburger SV?
Users Predictions:
22 users predict this event. Paderborn will win (votes: 9 - 40.9%). Hamburg will win (votes: 9 - 40.9%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 18.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Paderborn: 20.4% – 61.4%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- One of the most exciting matches of the day will feature two top-of-the-table teams (ranked 5 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Bundesliga).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Paderborn won 2.
- Right away both teams are in a satisfying form.
- Paderborn could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.
- There will not play in Paderborn: Platte F.
(Back Injury)
- There will not play in Hamburg: Glatzel R.
(Tendon Injury)
Jatta B.
(Knee Injury)
Katterbach N.
(Knee Injury)
Pherai I.
(Muscle Injury)
Raab M.
(Broken Hand)
Soumahoro A.
(Muscle Injury)
- Last 14 head-to-head matches Paderborn won 5 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 23:25 (average 1.6:1.8).
- Including matches at home between the teams Paderborn won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 11:15 (average 1.6:2.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Paderborn won against Hamburger SV?
Paderborn has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Hamburger SV won against Paderborn?
Hamburger SV has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Paderborn - Hamburger SV were as follows:
28.09.2024
Hamburger SV
-
Paderborn
2:2
10.05.2024
Paderborn
-
Hamburger SV
1:0
09.12.2023
Hamburger SV
-
Paderborn
1:2
05.05.2023
Hamburger SV
-
Paderborn
2:2
30.10.2022
Paderborn
-
Hamburger SV
2:3
Latest results of Paderborn
Latest results of Hamburger SV
German 2 Bundesliga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Darmstadt | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 13:5 | 8 | 16 |
| 2 | Elversberg | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 12:6 | 6 | 16 |
| 3 | Schalke | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 8:4 | 4 | 15 |
| 4 | Paderborn | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 9:4 | 5 | 14 |
| 5 | Karlsruher SC | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 8:6 | 2 | 14 |
| 6 | Hannover | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 10:7 | 3 | 13 |
| 7 | Kaiserslautern | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 12:7 | 5 | 12 |
| 8 | Arminia Bielefeld | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 12:7 | 5 | 10 |
| 9 | Dusseldorf | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 6:12 | -6 | 10 |
| 10 | Holstein Kiel | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 8:7 | 1 | 9 |
| 11 | Greuther Furth | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 13:16 | -3 | 9 |
| 12 | Preussen Munster | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 9:12 | -3 | 7 |
| 13 | Braunschweig | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7:11 | -4 | 7 |
| 14 | Hertha Berlin | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4:6 | -2 | 5 |
| 15 | SG Dynamo Dresden | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 9:13 | -4 | 5 |
| 16 | Nurnberg | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4:7 | -3 | 4 |
| 17 | Bochum | 7 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 6:12 | -6 | 3 |
| 18 | Magdeburg | 7 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 7:15 | -8 | 3 |
Promotion ~ Bundesliga
Promotion ~ Bundesliga (Promotion: )
2. Bundesliga (Relegation)
Relegation ~ 3. Liga
