Result
2:0
02/03/2025 at 07:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- GERMANY: 2. Bundesliga - Round 24
- Referee: Kampka R. (Ger)
- Where to Watch on TV:
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Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 6, TOD |
Austria | Sky Go Austria |
Bulgaria | Diema Sport 3, Play Diema Xtra |
Czech-republic | Nova Sport 3 |
Denmark | Viaplay |
Finland | Veikkaus TV, Viaplay |
Germany | Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2, WOW |
Greece | Nova Sports 3 |
Hungary | Net4+ |
Iceland | Viaplay |
Israel | Sport 2 |
Mexico | Sky Sport |
Netherlands | Viaplay |
Norway | Viaplay |
Poland | Viaplay |
Portugal | DAZN 2 |
Romania | Digi Online, Digi Sport 4 |
Russia | MATCH! Futbol 3, Match TV, Sportbox.ru |
Serbia | Nova Sport |
Slovakia | Sport TV2, Voyo |
Sweden | Viaplay |
Switzerland | Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2 |
Turkey | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1 MAX, Tivibu Spor 2 |
Usa | ESPN+ |
World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
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Expected Goals (xG) |
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2.39 | 1.41 |
Ball Possession |
---|
40% | 60% |
Goal Attempts |
---|
15 | 15 |
Shots on Goal |
---|
5 | 4 |
Shots off Goal |
---|
6 | 7 |
Blocked Shots |
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4 | 4 |
Big Chances |
---|
4 | 2 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
9 | 3 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
10 | 10 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
5 | 5 |
Hit the Woodwork |
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1 | 1 |
Headed Goals |
---|
1 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
4 | 3 |
Free Kicks |
---|
11 | 13 |
Offsides |
---|
2 | 1 |
Fouls |
---|
13 | 11 |
Throw-ins |
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22 | 23 |
Touches in the Opposition Box |
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42 | 23 |
Passes |
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79% (259/326) | 87% (434/499) |
Passes in the final third |
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70% (81/115) | 70% (71/102) |
Crosses |
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39% (9/23) | 33% (8/24) |
Tackles |
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67% (8/12) | 70% (14/20) |
Clearances Total |
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22 | 24 |
Interceptions |
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8 | 8 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 15', 1 - 0, Bilbija F. ⚽, Terho C. (A),
- 36', Brackelmann C. ↓, Castaneda S. ↑,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Bilbija F. 🟨,
- 62', Sahiti E. ↓, Balde F. ↑,
- 63', Karabec A. 🟨,
- 64', Terho C. 🟨,
- 71', Terho C. ↓, Grimaldi A. ↑,
- 71', Bilbija F. ↓, Michel S. ↑,
- 74', Meffert J. ↓, Richter M. ↑,
- 74', Karabec A. ↓, Konigsdorffer R. ↑,
- 76', Scheller T. ↓, Hansen M. ↑,
- 76', Mehlem M. ↓, Curda L. ↑,
- 84', 2 - 0, Grimaldi A. ⚽, Ansah I. (A),
- 89', Reis L. ↓, Stange O. ↑,
Chances of winning
Paderborn 40.5% | Draw 26.7% | Hamburger SV 32.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Paderborn has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)Hamburger SV has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Paderborn than the current prediction. (-1.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hamburger SV than the current prediction. (+1.3%)
Paderborn - Hamburger SV Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.34 ↓ (2.44) |
3.56 ↑ (3.5) |
2.89 ↑ (2.67) |
5.5% (7.1%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Paderborn - Hamburger SV?
Users Predictions:
22 users predict this event. Paderborn will win (votes: 9 - 40.9%). Hamburg will win (votes: 9 - 40.9%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 18.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Paderborn: 20.4% – 61.4%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- One of the most exciting matches of the day will feature two top-of-the-table teams (ranked 5 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Bundesliga).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Paderborn won 2.
- Right away both teams are in a satisfying form.
- Paderborn could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.
- There will not play in Paderborn: Platte F.
(Back Injury)
- There will not play in Hamburg: Glatzel R.
(Tendon Injury)
Jatta B.
(Knee Injury)
Katterbach N.
(Knee Injury)
Pherai I.
(Muscle Injury)
Raab M.
(Broken Hand)
Soumahoro A.
(Muscle Injury)
- Last 14 head-to-head matches Paderborn won 5 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 23:25 (average 1.6:1.8).
- Including matches at home between the teams Paderborn won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 11:15 (average 1.6:2.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Paderborn won against Hamburger SV?
Paderborn has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Hamburger SV won against Paderborn?
Hamburger SV has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Paderborn - Hamburger SV were as follows:
28.09.2024
Hamburger SV
-
Paderborn
2:2
10.05.2024
Paderborn
-
Hamburger SV
1:0
09.12.2023
Hamburger SV
-
Paderborn
1:2
05.05.2023
Hamburger SV
-
Paderborn
2:2
30.10.2022
Paderborn
-
Hamburger SV
2:3
Latest results of Paderborn
Latest results of Hamburger SV
German 2 Bundesliga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | SG Dynamo Dresden | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
2 | Braunschweig | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
3 | Dusseldorf | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
4 | Magdeburg | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
5 | Holstein Kiel | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
6 | Schalke | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
7 | Hannover | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
8 | Hertha Berlin | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
9 | Karlsruher SC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
10 | Bochum | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
11 | Arminia Bielefeld | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
12 | Nurnberg | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
13 | Greuther Furth | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
14 | Kaiserslautern | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
15 | Paderborn | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
16 | Darmstadt | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
17 | Preussen Munster | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
18 | Elversberg | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Bundesliga
Promotion ~ Bundesliga (Promotion: )
2. Bundesliga (Relegation)
Relegation ~ 3. Liga