Paderborn vs Magdeburg – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football German 2 Bundesliga Paderborn - Magdeburg
Result
2:1
10/05/2025 at 07:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • 2. Bundesliga - Round 33
  • Referee: Petersen M. (Ger)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
asiaAsiaTOD
austriaAustriaSky Go Austria, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2, Sky Sport Bundesliga 4
bulgariaBulgariaNova Sport
croatiaCroatiaSportKlub 4
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 3
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV, Viaplay
germanyGermanySky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2, Sky Sport Bundesliga 4, WOW
hungaryHungaryNet4+
icelandIcelandViaplay
israelIsraelSport 3
netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
norwayNorwayViaplay
polandPolandViaplay
romaniaRomaniaPrima Sport PPV 1
russiaRussiaMATCH! Futbol 3, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
serbiaSerbiaSportKlub 4
slovakiaSlovakiaVoyo
sloveniaSloveniaSport TV1
swedenSwedenViaplay
switzerlandSwitzerlandSky Sport Bundesliga 2, Sky Sport Bundesliga 4
turkeyTurkeybeIN Connect, Tivibu Spor 2
ukraineUkraineKyivstar TV, Setanta Sports+
worldWorldOnefootball

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.181.37
Ball Possession
56%44%
Total shots
219
Shots on target
43
Big Chances
72
Corner Kicks
66
Passes
85% (392/461)82% (299/366)
Yellow Cards
02
Expected Goals (xG)
2.181.37
xG on target (xGOT)
1.541.23
Total shots
219
Shots on target
43
Shots off target
93
Blocked Shots
83
Shots inside the Box
145
Shots outside the Box
74
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
72
Corner Kicks
66
Touches in opposition box
3518
Accurate through passes
11
Offsides
10
Free Kicks
69
Passes
85% (392/461)82% (299/366)
Long passes
48% (29/60)48% (21/44)
Passes in final third
75% (104/139)60% (50/83)
Crosses
24% (6/25)21% (4/19)
Expected assists (xA)
2.320.80
Throw-ins
1713
Fouls
96
Tackles
75% (12/16)73% (11/15)
Duels won
3841
Clearances
2630
Interceptions
515
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
22
xGOT faced
1.231.54
Goals prevented
0.23-0.46

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 15', 0 - 1, Kaars M. (Pen),
  • 41', 1 - 1, Brackelmann C. , Michel S. (A),
  • 45', Mathisen M. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Teixeira B. , Holmstrom A. ,
  • 61', 2 - 1, Gotze F. , Mehlem M. (A),
  • 62', Gnaka S. , El Hankouri M. ,
  • 62', Mathisen M. , Michel F. ,
  • 69', Michel S. , Castaneda S. ,
  • 69', Pfeiffer P. , Muller T. ,
  • 72', Holmstrom A. 🟨,
  • 77', Bilbija F. , Grimaldi A. ,
  • 78', Brackelmann C. , Hoffmeier M. ,
  • 78', Mehlem M. , Klaas S. ,
  • 83', Nollenberger A. , Hercher P. ,
  • 90+2', Ansah I. , Curda L. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Paderborn
51.4%
Draw
23.4%
Magdeburg
25.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
45.1% 25.1% 29.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.2% 25% 29.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Paderborn has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Paderborn's performance.
  • Magdeburg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Paderborn than the current prediction. (-6.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Paderborn that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Magdeburg than the current prediction. (+4.6%)
  • Paderborn - Magdeburg Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.85
    (2.09)
    4.05
    (3.76)
    3.77
    (3.16)
    5.2%
    (6.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
  • What is the prediction for Paderborn - Magdeburg?
  • Users Predictions: 21 users predict this event. Paderborn will win (votes: 16 - 76.2%). Magdeburg will win (votes: 2 - 9.5%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 14.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Paderborn: 58%94.4%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Paderborn (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • BTS - yes (votes: 3 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 4 and 5).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Paderborn won 1.
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • Paderborn may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Paderborn might have a minor edge in this game.
    • There will not play in Paderborn: Terho C. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Magdeburg: Burcu L. (Illness) El Hankouri M. (Groin Injury) Kuhinja E. (Knee Injury)
    • In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Paderborn won 1 match, drew 8 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 10:13. (average 0.9:1.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Paderborn won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:6. (average 1.4:1.2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Paderborn - Magdeburg were as follows:
    14.12.2024 Magdeburg - Paderborn 1:1
    03.03.2024 Paderborn - Magdeburg 0:0
    22.09.2023 Magdeburg - Paderborn 1:1
    11.03.2023 Magdeburg - Paderborn 0:0
    03.09.2022 Paderborn - Magdeburg 1:0
    Latest results of Paderborn
    Latest results of Magdeburg
    German 2 Bundesliga Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Hannover33006:159
    2Karlsruher SC32105:237
    3Arminia Bielefeld22007:166
    4Darmstadt22005:146
    5Schalke32014:316
    6Braunschweig32014:406
    7Elversberg32013:306
    8Preussen Munster31115:504
    9Paderborn31114:404
    10Greuther Furth21015:503
    11Kaiserslautern31022:3-13
    12Bochum31024:6-23
    13Magdeburg31023:5-23
    14Dusseldorf31023:8-53
    15Hertha Berlin20111:2-11
    16SG Dynamo Dresden20023:5-20
    17Holstein Kiel20021:4-30
    18Nurnberg30031:4-30

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