Result
2:1
10/05/2025 at 07:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- 2. Bundesliga - Round 33
- Referee: Petersen M. (Ger)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Asia | TOD |
 Austria | Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2, Sky Sport Bundesliga 4 |
 Bulgaria | Nova Sport |
 Croatia | SportKlub 4 |
 Czech-republic | Nova Sport 3 |
 Denmark | Viaplay |
 Finland | Veikkaus TV, Viaplay |
 Germany | Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2, Sky Sport Bundesliga 4, WOW |
 Hungary | Net4+ |
 Iceland | Viaplay |
 Israel | Sport 3 |
 Netherlands | Viaplay |
 Norway | Viaplay |
 Poland | Viaplay |
 Romania | Prima Sport PPV 1 |
 Russia | MATCH! Futbol 3, Match TV, Sportbox.ru |
 Serbia | SportKlub 4 |
 Slovakia | Voyo |
 Slovenia | Sport TV1 |
 Sweden | Viaplay |
 Switzerland | Sky Sport Bundesliga 2, Sky Sport Bundesliga 4 |
 Turkey | beIN Connect, Tivibu Spor 2 |
 Ukraine | Kyivstar TV, Setanta Sports+ |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.18 | 1.37 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 56% | 44% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 21 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (392/461) | 82% (299/366) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.18 | 1.37 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.54 | 1.23 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 21 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 14 | 5 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 35 | 18 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (392/461) | 82% (299/366) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 48% (29/60) | 48% (21/44) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 75% (104/139) | 60% (50/83) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 24% (6/25) | 21% (4/19) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 2.32 | 0.80 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 17 | 13 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 6 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 75% (12/16) | 73% (11/15) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 38 | 41 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 26 | 30 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 15 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.23 | 1.54 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.23 | -0.46 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 15', 0 - 1, Kaars M. (Pen),
- 41', 1 - 1, Brackelmann C. ⚽, Michel S. (A),
- 45', Mathisen M. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Teixeira B. ↓, Holmstrom A. ↑,
- 61', 2 - 1, Gotze F. ⚽, Mehlem M. (A),
- 62', Gnaka S. ↓, El Hankouri M. ↑,
- 62', Mathisen M. ↓, Michel F. ↑,
- 69', Michel S. ↓, Castaneda S. ↑,
- 69', Pfeiffer P. ↓, Muller T. ↑,
- 72', Holmstrom A. 🟨,
- 77', Bilbija F. ↓, Grimaldi A. ↑,
- 78', Brackelmann C. ↓, Hoffmeier M. ↑,
- 78', Mehlem M. ↓, Klaas S. ↑,
- 83', Nollenberger A. ↓, Hercher P. ↑,
- 90+2', Ansah I. ↓, Curda L. ↑,
Chances of winning
Paderborn
51.4% | Draw
23.4% | Magdeburg
25.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Paderborn has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Paderborn's performance.Magdeburg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Paderborn than the current prediction. (-6.2%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Paderborn that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Magdeburg than the current prediction. (+4.6%)
Paderborn - Magdeburg Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.85 ↓
(2.09) |
4.05 ↑
(3.76) |
3.77 ↑
(3.16) |
5.2%
(6.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
What is the prediction for Paderborn - Magdeburg?
Users Predictions:
21 users predict this event. Paderborn will win (votes: 16 - 76.2%). Magdeburg will win (votes: 2 - 9.5%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 14.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Paderborn: 58% – 94.4%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Paderborn (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- BTS - yes (votes: 3 - 100%).
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 4 and 5).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Paderborn won 1.
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- Paderborn may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Paderborn might have a minor edge in this game.
- There will not play in Paderborn: Terho C.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Magdeburg: Burcu L.
(Illness)
El Hankouri M.
(Groin Injury)
Kuhinja E.
(Knee Injury)
- In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Paderborn won 1 match, drew 8 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 10:13. (average 0.9:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Paderborn won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:6. (average 1.4:1.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Paderborn won against Magdeburg?
Paderborn has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Magdeburg won against Paderborn?
Magdeburg has won 0 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Paderborn - Magdeburg were as follows:
14.12.2024
Magdeburg
-
Paderborn
1:1
03.03.2024
Paderborn
-
Magdeburg
0:0
22.09.2023
Magdeburg
-
Paderborn
1:1
11.03.2023
Magdeburg
-
Paderborn
0:0
03.09.2022
Paderborn
-
Magdeburg
1:0
Latest results of Paderborn
Latest results of Magdeburg
German 2 Bundesliga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Schalke | 10 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 14:5 | 9 | 24 |
| 2 | Paderborn | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 17:9 | 8 | 23 |
| 3 | Elversberg | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 22:8 | 14 | 22 |
| 4 | Kaiserslautern | 9 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 18:11 | 7 | 18 |
| 5 | Darmstadt | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 14:7 | 7 | 18 |
| 6 | Karlsruher SC | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 17:13 | 4 | 18 |
| 7 | Hannover | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 15:13 | 2 | 17 |
| 8 | Hertha Berlin | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 12:10 | 2 | 14 |
| 9 | Arminia Bielefeld | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 19:16 | 3 | 13 |
| 10 | Holstein Kiel | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 11:10 | 1 | 12 |
| 11 | Preussen Munster | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 15:17 | -2 | 11 |
| 12 | Braunschweig | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 11:17 | -6 | 10 |
| 13 | Dusseldorf | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 9:18 | -9 | 10 |
| 14 | Greuther Furth | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 16:28 | -12 | 10 |
| 15 | Nurnberg | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 8:13 | -5 | 8 |
| 16 | SG Dynamo Dresden | 10 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 15:20 | -5 | 7 |
| 17 | Bochum | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 12:18 | -6 | 7 |
| 18 | Magdeburg | 9 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 7:19 | -12 | 4 |
Promotion ~ Bundesliga
Promotion ~ Bundesliga (Promotion: )
2. Bundesliga (Relegation)
Relegation ~ 3. Liga
