Magdeburg vs Paderborn – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football German 2 Bundesliga
Result
0:1
09/11/2025 at 07:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • 2. Bundesliga - Round 12
  • Referee: Prigan F. (Ger)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+, FOX Sports
armeniaArmeniaFast Sports
australiaAustraliaAmazon Prime Video, beIN Connect
austriaAustriaSky Go Austria, Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga 3
canadaCanadaAmazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada
chileChileDisney+
colombiaColombiaDisney+
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 5, Oneplay
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV, Viaplay 2 Urheilu, Viaplay
franceFrancebeIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 5, Free
germanyGermanyAmazon Prime Video, Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga 3, WOW
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN SPORTS MAX
icelandIcelandViaplay
japanJapanDAZN Japan
laosLaosbeIN Connect
malaysiaMalaysiabeIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
new-zealandNew-zealandbeIN Connect
north-macedoniaNorth-macedoniaMaxTV GO
norwayNorwayViaplay
peruPeruDisney+
philippinesPhilippinesbeIN SPORTS MAX
portugalPortugalDAZN / App
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 1, Nova Sport
singaporeSingaporebeIN SPORTS MAX
slovakiaSlovakiaVoyo
sloveniaSloveniaSport TV3
swedenSwedenViaplay
switzerlandSwitzerlandSky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga 3
thailandThailandbeIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
turkeyTurkeyTivibu Spor 3
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
worldWorldOnefootball

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.280.72
Ball Possession
57%43%
Total shots
1712
Shots on target
36
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
35
Passes
84% (441/528)74% (301/408)
Yellow Cards
44
Expected Goals (xG)
1.280.72
xG on target (xGOT)
0.431.10
Total shots
1712
Shots on target
36
Shots off target
74
Blocked Shots
72
Shots inside the Box
128
Shots outside the Box
54
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
35
Touches in opposition box
2924
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
03
Free Kicks
1410
Passes
84% (441/528)74% (301/408)
Long passes
63% (56/89)42% (27/64)
Passes in final third
71% (106/149)65% (77/118)
Crosses
25% (6/24)42% (5/12)
Expected assists (xA)
1.050.60
Throw-ins
1721
Fouls
1014
Tackles
73% (8/11)79% (15/19)
Duels won
4957
Clearances
2927
Interceptions
107
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
54
xGOT faced
1.100.43
Goals prevented
0.100.43

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 9', 0 - 1, Klaas S. ⚽, Bilbija F. (A),
  • 13', Gotze F. 🟨,
  • 20', Bilbija F. ↓, Engelns L. ↑,
  • 40', Musonda L. 🟨,
  • 44', Nollenberger A. 🟨,
  • 45+2', Curda L. 🟨,
  • 45+6', Michel F. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Curda L. ↓, Sticker J. ↑,
  • 46', Marino S. ↓, Batzner N. ↑,
  • 55', Scheller T. 🟨,
  • 62', Holmstrom A. ↓, Breunig M. ↑,
  • 72', Klaas S. ↓, Castaneda S. ↑,
  • 77', Michel F. ↓, Pesch N. ↑,
  • 89', Gnaka S. ↓, Hercher P. ↑,
  • 89', Hyrylainen L. ↓, Diawara K. ↑,
  • 90+2', Ghrieb R. 🟨,
  • 90+3', Batzner N. ↓, Michel S. ↑,
  • 90+5', Castaneda S. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Magdeburg
25.4%		Draw
25%		Paderborn
49.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
31.6% 25% 43.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.8% 25.2% 43.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Magdeburg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Magdeburg's form might have worsened.
  • Paderborn has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Paderborn's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Magdeburg than the current prediction. (+6.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Magdeburg, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Paderborn than the current prediction. (-6.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Paderborn, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
    •

    Magdeburg - Paderborn Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 3.73 ↑
    (2.99)    		 3.81 ↑
    (3.79)    		 1.93 ↓
    (2.18)    		 4.8%
    (5.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
    What is the prediction for Magdeburg - Paderborn?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 0.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • DNB - Paderborn (1.40) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Users Predictions: Paderborn will win (28 of 32 users predict this - 87.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 76.04% – 98.96%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Paderborn will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 8 high ROI users predict this event. Magdeburg (votes: 1 - 12.5%). Paderborn (votes: 7 - 87.5%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ 3. Liga and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Bundesliga).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Magdeburg won 0.
    • Recent performances by Magdeburg have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Paderborn is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Magdeburg may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Paderborn could have a small edge in this match.
    • There will not play in Magdeburg: Atik B. (Yellow Cards) Chahed T. (Muscle Injury) Hugonet J. (Injury) Loric S. (Leg Injury) Zukowski M. (Foot Injury)
    • There will not play in Paderborn: Hoffmeier M. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Magdeburg: Muller T. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Paderborn: Baur M. (Injury) Brackelmann C. (Back Injury)
    • In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Magdeburg won 2 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 14:12. (average 1.2:1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Magdeburg won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:3. (average 1.2:0.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Magdeburg - Paderborn were as follows:
    10.05.2025 Paderborn - Magdeburg 2:1
    14.12.2024 Magdeburg - Paderborn 1:1
    03.03.2024 Paderborn - Magdeburg 0:0
    22.09.2023 Magdeburg - Paderborn 1:1
    11.03.2023 Magdeburg - Paderborn 0:0
    Latest results of Magdeburg
    02.11.2025 Bochum - Magdeburg 2:0 ✺
    29.10.2025 Illertissen - Magdeburg 0:3 ✺
    26.10.2025 Magdeburg - Preußen Münster 2:0 ✺
    19.10.2025 Darmstadt - Magdeburg 0:0 ✺
    05.10.2025 Magdeburg - Elversberg 0:4 ✺
    Latest results of Paderborn
    02.11.2025 Paderborn - Greuther Fürth 2:1 ✺
    29.10.2025 Paderborn - Bayer Leverkusen 2:4 ✺
    25.10.2025 Dynamo Dresden - Paderborn 1:2 ✺
    18.10.2025 Paderborn - Arminia Bielefeld 4:3 ✺
    03.10.2025 Eintracht Braunschweig - Paderborn 1:2 ✺
    German 2 Bundesliga Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Schalke24145534:211347
    2Paderborn24144640:271346
    3Darmstadt24129345:281745
    4Elversberg24136543:261745
    5Hannover24136542:301245
    6Kaiserslautern24114940:35537
    7Hertha Berlin24107734:29537
    8Karlsruher SC2496937:44-733
    9Nurnberg24861031:34-330
    10Bochum2478932:30229
    11Dusseldorf24841223:34-1128
    12Arminia Bielefeld24761136:33327
    13Preussen Munster24681029:36-726
    14SG Dynamo Dresden24671135:41-625
    15Holstein Kiel24671129:35-625
    16Braunschweig24741327:42-1525
    17Magdeburg24721535:47-1223
    18Greuther Furth24651335:55-2023

          Promotion ~ Bundesliga
          Promotion ~ Bundesliga (Promotion: )
          2. Bundesliga (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ 3. Liga

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