Paderborn vs Magdeburg – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

12/04/2026 at 07:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Home Deluxe Arena (Paderborn).

2. Bundesliga - Round 29
Referee: Gansloweit T. (Ger)
Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+, ESPN
Armenia	Fast Sports
Australia	beIN Connect, ESPN
Austria	Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga 4
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 6
Canada	DAZN Canada
Chile	Disney+
Colombia	Disney+, ESPN
Croatia	SportKlub 9
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 6, Oneplay
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Veikkaus TV, Viaplay
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 5, Free
Germany	Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga 4, WOW
Greece	Nova Sports 4
Hong-kong	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Iceland	Viaplay
Laos	beIN Connect
Malaysia	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Mexico	Sky Sport
Netherlands	Viaplay
New-zealand	beIN Connect
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
Norway	TV2 Play, Viaplay
Peru	Disney+, ESPN
Philippines	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Poland	Eleven Sports 2
Portugal	DAZN / App
Saudi-arabia	MBC Shahid
Serbia	Arena Sport 3
Singapore	beIN SPORTS MAX
Slovakia	Nova Sport 6, Voyo
Sweden	Viaplay
Switzerland	Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga 4
Thailand	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Turkey	Tivibu Spor 3
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+
Venezuela	Disney+, ESPN
World	Onefootball

Match Stats


Expected goals (xG)
1.75	0.88
Ball possession
42%	58%
Total shots
10	16
Shots on target
5	9
Big chances
1	1
Corner kicks
4	7
Passes
79% (292/371)	87% (444/512)
Yellow cards
2	1
Expected goals (xG)
1.75	0.88
xG on target (xGOT)
2.78	1.78
Total shots
10	16
Shots on target
5	9
Shots off target
3	5
Blocked shots
2	2
Shots inside the box
7	9
Shots outside the box
3	7
Hit the woodwork
0	1
Headed goals
1	0
Big chances
1	1
Corner kicks
4	7
Touches in opposition box
21	34
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
0	1
Free kicks
11	15
Passes
79% (292/371)	87% (444/512)
Long passes
42% (19/45)	63% (46/73)
Passes in final third
61% (58/95)	72% (115/159)
Crosses
36% (5/14)	15% (3/20)
Expected assists (xA)
1.60	0.90
Throw ins
16	16
Fouls
15	11
Tackles
59% (13/22)	52% (11/21)
Duels won
45	53
Clearances
25	14
Interceptions
5	7
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
1	0
Goalkeeper saves
6	1
xGOT faced
1.78	2.78
Goals prevented
-1.22	-1.22

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (3 - 2)
4', Obermair R. 🟨,
9', Hansen M. 🟨,
11', Zukowski M. 🟨,
19', 1 - 0, Bilbija F. ⚽, Curda L. (A),
25', 1 - 1, Musonda L. ⚽, Zukowski M. (A),
29', 2 - 1, Bilbija F. ⚽, Brackelmann C. (A),
37', 2 - 2, Zukowski M. ⚽,
45+2', 3 - 2, Bilbija F. ⚽, Obermair R. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Hansen M. ↓, Klaas S. ↑,
46', Tachie R. ↓, Hercher P. ↑,
59', 3 - 3, Ulrich L. ⚽,
71', Muller R. ↓, Tigges S. ↑,
72', Obermair R. ↓, Sticker J. ↑,
78', 4 - 3, Bilbija F. ⚽, Klaas S. (A),
79', Atik B. ↓, Nollenberger A. ↑,
79', Gnaka S. ↓, Stalmach D. ↑,
84', Bockhorn H. ↓, Ghrieb R. ↑,
84', Marino S. ↓, Okpala K. ↑,
84', Muller T. ↓, Holmstrom A. ↑,
90+2', Bilbija F. ↓, Michel S. ↑,

Chances of winning

Paderborn
50.1%

Draw
23.9%

Magdeburg
26%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.9%

23.2%

24.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.6%

22.9%

24.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Paderborn has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

Magdeburg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Paderborn than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Magdeburg than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

Paderborn - Magdeburg Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.88 ↑ (1.82)	3.94 ↓ (4.08)	3.63 ↓ (3.79)	6.2% (5.8%)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

What is the prediction for Paderborn - Magdeburg?

Users Predictions: Paderborn will win (11 of 11 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Paderborn will win (2 of 2 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.

Preview Facts

This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Bundesliga and 15).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Paderborn won 2.
Paderborn is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
In recent matches, Magdeburg has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Paderborn may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Paderborn could have a small edge in this match.
In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Paderborn won 3 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 13:14. (average 1:1.1).
Including home matches between the teams, Paderborn won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 9:7. (average 1.5:1.2).

How many head-to-head matches has Paderborn won against Magdeburg?

Paderborn has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Magdeburg won against Paderborn?

Magdeburg has won 0 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Paderborn - Magdeburg were as follows:

09.11.2025 Magdeburg - Paderborn 0:1

10.05.2025 Paderborn - Magdeburg 2:1

14.12.2024 Magdeburg - Paderborn 1:1

03.03.2024 Paderborn - Magdeburg 0:0

22.09.2023 Magdeburg - Paderborn 1:1

Latest results of Paderborn

05.04.2026 Greuther Fürth - Paderborn 0:2 ✺

21.03.2026 Paderborn - Dynamo Dresden 2:1 ✺

14.03.2026 Arminia Bielefeld - Paderborn 2:2 ✺

07.03.2026 Paderborn - Eintracht Braunschweig 1:1 ✺

28.02.2026 Kaiserslautern - Paderborn 1:2 ✺

Latest results of Magdeburg

04.04.2026 Magdeburg - Bochum 4:1 ✺

22.03.2026 Preußen Münster - Magdeburg 1:3 ✺

13.03.2026 Magdeburg - Darmstadt 1:1 ✺

06.03.2026 Elversberg - Magdeburg 1:0 ✺

01.03.2026 Magdeburg - Karlsruher 1:3 ✺

German 2 Bundesliga Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Schalke ✔	32	20	7	5	49:28	21	67
2	Elversberg	32	17	8	7	60:36	24	59
3	Hannover	32	16	10	6	56:40	16	58
4	Paderborn	32	17	7	8	55:43	12	58
5	Darmstadt	32	13	12	7	56:42	14	51
6	Hertha Berlin	32	13	9	10	44:37	7	48
7	Kaiserslautern	32	14	4	14	49:47	2	46
8	Karlsruher SC	32	12	7	13	50:60	-10	43
9	Nurnberg	32	11	9	12	41:42	-1	42
10	Holstein Kiel	32	11	8	13	42:43	-1	41
11	Bochum	32	10	10	12	46:45	1	40
12	SG Dynamo Dresden	32	10	8	14	51:50	1	38
13	Arminia Bielefeld	32	9	9	14	47:48	-1	36
14	Magdeburg	32	11	3	18	49:56	-7	36
15	Braunschweig	32	9	7	16	34:52	-18	34
16	Dusseldorf	32	10	4	18	30:49	-19	34
17	Greuther Furth	32	9	7	16	45:66	-21	34
18	Preussen Munster	32	6	11	15	37:57	-20	29

      Promotion ~ Bundesliga
      Promotion ~ Bundesliga (Promotion: )
      2. Bundesliga (Relegation)
      Relegation ~ 3. Liga

Clinched Spots for Teams

Schalke is Qualified for Bundesliga