Alcione vs Padova – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Italian Serie C Group A Alcione - Padova
Result
0:2
19/01/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • ITALY: Serie C - Group A - Round 23
  • Where to Watch on TV:
italyItalyNOW TV, Sky Sport 252

Match Stats

Ball Possession
46%54%
Goal Attempts
616
Shots on Goal
38
Shots off Goal
38
Corner Kicks
27
Goalkeeper Saves
63

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 23', Stabile G. 🟥,
  • 24', 0 - 1, Bortolussi M. ,
  • 28', Fusi P. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Palombi S. , Dimarco C. ,
  • 52', Varas K. 🟨,
  • 56', Varas K. , Russini S. ,
  • 56', Fusi P. , Bianchi N. ,
  • 57', Capelli A. , Kirwan N. ,
  • 62', Faedo C. 🟨,
  • 63', Samele L. , Marconi M. ,
  • 69', Bagatti N. , Pessolani G. ,
  • 72', Bortolussi M. , Spagnoli A. ,
  • 75', Liguori M. 🟨,
  • 85', Invernizzi A. 🟨,
  • 90+1', Villa L. , Favale G. ,
  • 90+2', 0 - 2, Liguori M. ,

Chances of winning


Alcione
13.6%
Draw
24.2%
Padova
62.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
20.3% 28.1% 51.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.6% 27.2% 53.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Alcione has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Alcione's form might have worsened.
  • Padova has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Padova's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alcione than the current prediction. (+6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Alcione, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Padova than the current prediction. (-8.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Padova, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Alcione - Padova Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    6.64
    (4.38)
    3.71
    (3.17)
    1.45
    (1.72)
    11.1%
    (12.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • Preview Facts
    • One of the most exciting matches of the day will feature two top-of-the-table teams (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/32~finals) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B).
    • Recent matches Alcione is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Padova is in a marvelous shape and in addition in the last match got series victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • Alcione could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • In this match Padova is indisputable favorite.
    • Last 1 head-to-head matches Alcione won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:1
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Alcione - Padova were as follows:
    14.09.2024 Padova - Alcione 1:0
    Latest results of Alcione
    11.01.2025 Renate - Alcione 0:1
    04.01.2025 Virtus Verona - Alcione 1:0
    20.12.2024 Alcione - Atalanta U23 0:1
    14.12.2024 Giana Erminio - Alcione 0:2
    08.12.2024 Alcione - AlbinoLeffe 0:2
    Latest results of Padova
    05.01.2025 Padova - Caldiero Terme 1:0
    22.12.2024 Trento - Padova 0:1
    18.12.2024 Union Clodiense - Padova 1:2
    14.12.2024 Padova - Lumezzane 2:0
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/32-finals
    1CrotoneBye
    2BeneventoJuventus U231 : 5
    4ByeFeralpiSalo
    8ByeL.R. Vicenza
    9RenateArzignano0 : 0
    10Giana ErminioVirtus Verona1 : 0
    12ByeMonopoli
    16ByeTernana
    17AlbinoLeffeBye
    18TrentoAtalanta U231 : 2
    20ByeTorres
    24ByeAudace Cerignola
    25ArezzoGubbio3 : 1
    26Vis PesaroPontedera1 : 1
    28ByeRimini
    29CataniaGiugliano3 : 2
    30PotenzaPicerno2 : 0
    31PescaraBye
    32PinetoPianese0 : 1

    1/16-finals
    1CrotoneJuventus U230 : 0
    2ByeFeralpiSalo
    4ByeL.R. Vicenza
    5RenateGiana Erminio1 : 2
    6ByeMonopoli
    8ByeTernana
    9AlbinoLeffeAtalanta U231 : 3
    10ByeTorres
    12ByeAudace Cerignola
    13ArezzoVis Pesaro0 : 1
    14ByeRimini
    15CataniaPotenza1 : 0
    16PescaraPianese2 : 1

    1/8-finals
    1CrotoneFeralpiSalo1 : 2, 3 : 1
    2ByeL.R. Vicenza
    3Giana ErminioMonopoli3 : 1, 3 : 1
    4ByeTernana
    5Atalanta U23Torres1 : 2, 7 : 1
    6ByeAudace Cerignola
    7Vis PesaroRimini4 : 3, 1 : 1
    8CataniaPescara2 : 1, 0 : 1

    Quarter-finals
    1CrotoneL.R. Vicenza0 : 1, 1 : 2
    2Giana ErminioTernana0 : 2, 1 : 0
    3Atalanta U23Audace Cerignola2 : 2, 0 : 0
    4Vis PesaroPescara0 : 2, 2 : 4

    Semi-finals
    1L.R. VicenzaTernana1 : 3, 0 : 0
    2Audace CerignolaPescara1 : 1, 1 : 4

    Final
    1TernanaPescara1 : 1, 0 : 1