Result
2:1
23/03/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- ITALY: Serie C - Group A - Round 33
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Italy | NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 251 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 42% | 58% |
| Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 5 | 10 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Shots off Goal |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 8 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 5', 1 - 0, Asencio R. ⚽,
- 24', Asencio R. ↓, Ganz S. ↑,
- 29', Gerardini F. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Villa L. ↓, Favale G. ↑,
- 51', 2 - 0, Bertoncini D. ⚽,
- 53', Perrotta M. ↓, Liguori M. ↑,
- 55', Favale G. 🟨,
- 58', Kirwan N. ↓, Russini S. ↑,
- 59', Buonaiuto C. ↓, Capelli A. ↑,
- 65', Agyemang G. 🟨,
- 68', Gerardini F. ↓, Gagliardi L. ↑,
- 70', 2 - 1, Spagnoli A. ⚽,
- 72', Liguori M. (Pen),
- 82', Varas K. ↓, Cretella C. ↑,
- 90', 🟨,
Chances of winning
Novara
21.1% | Draw
29.8% | Padova
49.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Novara has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)Padova has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Novara than the current prediction. (+0.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Padova than the current prediction. (+3.8%)
Novara - Padova Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.34 ↑
(4) |
3.08 ↓
(3.4) |
1.87 ↑
(1.73) |
9%
(12.2%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Novara - Padova?
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Padova will win (votes: 2 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 11 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Novara won 1.
- Novara is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Recent matches Padova is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
- In this match Padova is a favorite.
- There will not play in Novara: Calcagni R.
(Red Card)
Ghiringhelli L.
(Injury)
- Last 9 head-to-head matches Novara won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 11:16 (average 1.2:1.8).
- Including matches at home between the teams Novara won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 5:7 (average 1.3:1.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Novara won against Padova?
Novara has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Padova won against Novara?
Padova has won 4 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Novara - Padova were as follows:
11.11.2024
Padova
-
Novara
2:1
28.01.2024
Novara
-
Padova
0:3
20.09.2023
Padova
-
Novara
2:0
26.02.2023
Novara
-
Padova
1:3
23.10.2022
Padova
-
Novara
1:2
Italian Serie C Group A Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | L.R. Vicenza | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5:0 | 5 | 3 |
| 2 | Pro Vercelli | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:2 | 1 | 3 |
| 3 | Trento | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 2 | 3 |
| 4 | Lecco | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 3 |
| 5 | Arzignano | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 3 |
| 6 | Renate | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
| 7 | Alcione Milano | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
| 8 | AlbinoLeffe | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2:2 | 0 | 1 |
| 9 | Dolomiti Bellunesi | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2:2 | 0 | 1 |
| 10 | Cittadella | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 11 | Virtus Verona | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 12 | Pro Patria | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 0 |
| 13 | Ospitaletto | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 0 |
| 14 | Brescia | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 0 |
| 15 | Novara | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 | Inter U23 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 | Pergolettese | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
| 18 | Giana Erminio | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:2 | -2 | 0 |
| 19 | Lumezzane | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:5 | -5 | 0 |
| 20 | Triestina | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | -7 |
Promotion ~ Serie B
Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (Quarter~finals)
Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/8~finals)
Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/16~finals)
Serie C ~ Play Out
Relegation
