Padova vs Pro Patria – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Italian Serie C Group A Padova - Pro Patria
Result
3:1
09/02/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • ITALY: Serie C - Group A - Round 26
  • Where to Watch on TV:
italyItalyNOW TV, Sky Sport 251

Match Stats

Ball Possession
60%40%
Goal Attempts
167
Shots on Goal
103
Shots off Goal
64
Corner Kicks
42
Goalkeeper Saves
27
Yellow Cards
31

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 19', Perrotta M. , Pirrello R. ,
  • 39', Capelli A. 🟨,
  • 43', Ferri D. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (3 - 1)
  • 46', Granata A. , Spagnoli A. ,
  • 49', Bianchi N. 🟨,
  • 50', 1 - 0, Spagnoli A. ,
  • 59', Ferri D. , Nicco G. ,
  • 59', Barlocco L. , Piran L. ,
  • 59', Rocco D. , Curatolo D. ,
  • 66', Bianchi N. , Cretella C. ,
  • 70', 2 - 0, Bortolussi M. ,
  • 74', 3 - 0, Varas K. ,
  • 76', Capelli A. , Valente N. ,
  • 76', Bortolussi M. , Russini S. ,
  • 78', Mehic A. , Palazzi A. ,
  • 79', Mallamo A. , Citterio G. ,
  • 81', 3 - 1, Citterio G. ,
  • 90+1', Varas K. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Padova
67.9%
Draw
23%
Pro Patria
9.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
69.4% 20.4% 10.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

73.9% 19.2% 9.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Padova has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)
  • Pro Patria has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Padova than the current prediction. (+6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Padova, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pro Patria than the current prediction. (+0.5%)
  • Padova - Pro Patria Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.36
    (1.31)
    4.03
    (4.46)
    10.14
    (8.89)
    8%
    (9.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • Preview Facts
    • This match will be played by one of a leader and an outsider (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B and 19 in the zone Serie C ~ Play Out).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Padova won 3.
    • Recent matches Padova is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Pro Patria has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • In this match Padova is certain favorite.
    • Last 9 head-to-head matches Padova won 6 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 17:5 (average 1.9:0.6).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Padova won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 9:3 (average 2.3:0.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Padova - Pro Patria were as follows:
    28.09.2024 Pro Patria - Padova 1:1
    13.02.2024 Pro Patria - Padova 0:2
    07.10.2023 Padova - Pro Patria 1:1
    21.01.2023 Pro Patria - Padova 0:3
    17.09.2022 Padova - Pro Patria 3:0
    Latest results of Padova
    01.02.2025 Virtus Verona - Padova 1:0
    25.01.2025 Padova - Pro Vercelli 1:1
    19.01.2025 Alcione - Padova 0:2
    05.01.2025 Padova - Caldiero Terme 1:0
    Latest results of Pro Patria
    01.02.2025 Pro Patria - AlbinoLeffe 1:2
    25.01.2025 Novara - Pro Patria 2:1
    12.01.2025 FeralpiSalò - Pro Patria 1:0
    06.01.2025 Pro Patria - Giana Erminio 1:2
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/32-finals
    1CrotoneBye
    2BeneventoJuventus U231 : 5
    4ByeFeralpiSalo
    8ByeL.R. Vicenza
    9RenateArzignano0 : 0
    10Giana ErminioVirtus Verona1 : 0
    12ByeMonopoli
    16ByeTernana
    17AlbinoLeffeBye
    18TrentoAtalanta U231 : 2
    20ByeTorres
    24ByeAudace Cerignola
    25ArezzoGubbio3 : 1
    26Vis PesaroPontedera1 : 1
    28ByeRimini
    29CataniaGiugliano3 : 2
    30PotenzaPicerno2 : 0
    31PescaraBye
    32PinetoPianese0 : 1

    1/16-finals
    1CrotoneJuventus U230 : 0
    2ByeFeralpiSalo
    4ByeL.R. Vicenza
    5RenateGiana Erminio1 : 2
    6ByeMonopoli
    8ByeTernana
    9AlbinoLeffeAtalanta U231 : 3
    10ByeTorres
    12ByeAudace Cerignola
    13ArezzoVis Pesaro0 : 1
    14ByeRimini
    15CataniaPotenza1 : 0
    16PescaraPianese2 : 1

    1/8-finals
    1CrotoneFeralpiSalo1 : 2, 3 : 1
    2ByeL.R. Vicenza
    3Giana ErminioMonopoli3 : 1, 3 : 1
    4ByeTernana
    5Atalanta U23Torres1 : 2, 7 : 1
    6ByeAudace Cerignola
    7Vis PesaroRimini4 : 3, 1 : 1
    8CataniaPescara2 : 1, 0 : 1

    Quarter-finals
    1CrotoneL.R. Vicenza0 : 1, 1 : 2
    2Giana ErminioTernana0 : 2, 1 : 0
    3Atalanta U23Audace Cerignola2 : 2, 0 : 0
    4Vis PesaroPescara0 : 2, 2 : 4

    Semi-finals
    1L.R. VicenzaTernana1 : 3, 0 : 0
    2Audace CerignolaPescara1 : 1, 1 : 4

    Final
    1TernanaPescara1 : 1, 0 : 1