Paganese vs Barletta – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:2
01/03/2026 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Serie D - Group H - Round 26

Match Stats

Red cards
10

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 2)
  • 25', Isufi A. 🟥,
  • 26', 0 - 1, Lattanzio R. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 29', 0 - 2, Laringe F. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)

Chances of winning


Paganese
35.5%
Draw
32.9%
Barletta
31.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
43.6% 30.2% 26.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47% 32.6% 24.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Paganese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Paganese's form might have worsened.
  • Barletta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Barletta's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Paganese than the current prediction. (+11.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Paganese, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Barletta than the current prediction. (-7.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Barletta, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Paganese - Barletta Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.56
    (2.08)
    2.76
    (2.99)
    2.87
    (3.46)
    10.1%
    (10.6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
    Preview Facts
    • One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group H (Play Offs: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Paganese won 3.
    • Paganese is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Barletta is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).
    • Barletta may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Paganese might have a minor edge in this game.
    • In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Paganese won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 12:8. (average 1.2:0.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Paganese won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:1. (average 1.5:0.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Paganese - Barletta were as follows:
    26.10.2025 Barletta - Paganese 1:1
    07.01.2024 Barletta - Paganese 0:1
    10.09.2023 Paganese - Barletta 1:0
    Latest results of Paganese
    22.02.2026 Sarnese - Paganese 1:1
    01.02.2026 Paganese - Francavilla 1:3
    25.01.2026 Acerrana - Paganese 0:1
    18.01.2026 Paganese - Fidelis Andria 1:0
    Latest results of Barletta
    22.02.2026 Barletta - Afragolese 2:0
    15.02.2026 Ferrandina - Barletta 0:2
    08.02.2026 Pompei - Barletta 0:2
    01.02.2026 Barletta - Manfredonia 4:0
    25.01.2026 Francavilla - Barletta 0:1
    Italian Serie D - Group H Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Barletta26149338:132551
    2Martina Calcio26156535:201551
    3Paganese26155625:17850
    4Citta di Fasano26137635:28746
    5Afragolese26126839:31842
    6A.C.D. Nardo261011533:24941
    7Gravina26116933:33039
    8Virtus Francavilla26910736:261037
    9SS Nola 192526107938:37137
    10Fidelis Andria26971027:23434
    11Heraclea26951222:26-432
    12Manfredonia26881025:30-532
    13Francavilla26871125:29-431
    14Real Normanna26612818:19-130
    15Sarnese266101037:40-328
    16Ferrandina26661416:29-1324
    17Pompei26461612:29-1718
    18Acerrana26341915:55-4013

          Promotion
          Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group H (Play Offs: )
          Serie D ~ Group H (Play Out: )
          Relegation