Paganese vs Cavese – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:1 penalties
29/11/2023 at 08:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • ITALY: COPPA ITALIA SERIE D - 1/16-FINALS

Chances of winning


Paganese
29%
Draw
27.4%
Cavese
43.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
23.9% 27.3% 48.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.1% 26.4% 50.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Paganese has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Paganese's performance.
  • Cavese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Cavese might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Paganese than the current prediction. (-5.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Paganese that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cavese than the current prediction. (+6.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Cavese could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Paganese - Cavese Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.13
    (3.8)
    3.32
    (3.32)
    2.08
    (1.86)
    10.1%
    (10.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    Preview Facts
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Paganese won 0.
    • Paganese is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Cavese is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • Cavese could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • Recently Cavese have a series of home games.
    • In this match Cavese is a favorite.
    • Last 7 head-to-head matches Paganese won 0 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 2-9.
    • Including matches at home between the teams Paganese won 0 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-2.
    Latest results of Paganese
    26.11.2023 Paganese - Martina Calcio 0:1
    19.11.2023 Gravina - Paganese 2:3
    12.11.2023 Paganese - Casarano 0:1
    01.11.2023 Paganese - Fidelis Andria 2:2
    Latest results of Cavese
    19.11.2023 Budoni - Cavese 1:2
    15.11.2023 Cavese - Rotonda Abandoned
    01.11.2023 Cavese - Nocerina 2:1
    Draw
    2025/26

    1/32-finals
    1AstiChisola2 : 0
    2LigornaNovaRomentin1 : 2
    3VadoSestri Levante3 : 0
    4TauPistoiese1 : 3
    5PiacenzaSCD Progresso2 : 1
    6PaviaSant'Angelo2 : 0
    7PratoMontevarchi2 : 1
    8CorreggeseImolese2 : 1
    9SondrioBreno1 : 0
    10Folgore CarateseClub Milano2 : 3
    11AC Milan U23Varesina2 : 3
    12BrusaportoCiserano-Bergamo0 : 1
    13ChievoRovato Vertovese0 : 1
    14EsteVigasio3 : 2
    15Cjarlins MuzaneBrian Lignano1 : 2
    16LuparenseMestre0 : 1
    17FossombroneAncona0 : 1
    18FolignoAtletico Ascoli0 : 2
    19OrvietanaSiena2 : 0
    20Follonica GavorranoValmontone0 : 1
    21Notaresco CalcioTermoli2 : 0
    22AlbalongaL Aquila2 : 1
    23GrossetoUnipomezia0 : 1
    24Trastevere CalcioBudoni2 : 0
    25Martina CalcioSarnese3 : 1
    26FerrandinaFrancavilla2 : 3
    27SavoiaPaganese2 : 1
    28Citta di FasanoGravina3 : 0
    29NocerinaGelbison4 : 2
    30SambiaseReggina0 : 1
    31CastrumfavaraIgea Virtus3 : 1
    32EnnaSancataldese0 : 2

    1/16-finals
    1AstiNovaRomentin3 : 2
    2VadoPistoiese0 : 3
    3PiacenzaPavia2 : 1
    4PratoCorreggese1 : 4
    5SondrioClub Milano0 : 3
    6VaresinaCiserano-Bergamo4 : 1
    7Rovato VertoveseEste1 : 3
    8Brian LignanoMestre0 : 1
    9AnconaAtletico Ascoli1 : 0
    10OrvietanaValmontone0 : 1
    11Notaresco CalcioAlbalonga2 : 1
    12UnipomeziaTrastevere Calcio3 : 1
    13Martina CalcioFrancavilla1 : 2
    14SavoiaCitta di Fasano3 : 4
    15NocerinaReggina3 : 2
    16CastrumfavaraSancataldese3 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1AstiPistoiese1 : 3
    2PiacenzaCorreggese0 : 1
    3Club MilanoVaresina1 : 0
    4EsteMestre1 : 2
    5AnconaValmontone2 : 1
    6Notaresco CalcioUnipomezia0 : 1
    7FrancavillaCitta di Fasano3 : 2
    8NocerinaCastrumfavara2 : 0

    Quarter-finals
    1PistoieseCorreggese2 : 0
    2Club MilanoMestre1 : 0
    3AnconaUnipomezia2 : 1
    4FrancavillaNocerina1 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1PistoieseClub Milano1 : 0, 2 : 1
    2AnconaFrancavilla1 : 0, 1 : 1

    Final
    1PistoieseAncona2 : 0