Result
1:2
11/01/2026 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Serie D - Group H - Round 19
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 2)
- 12', 0 - 1, ⚽,
- 45+5', 0 - 2, ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 80', 1 - 2, ⚽,
Chances of winning
Heraclea
33.7% | Draw
28.7% | Paganese
37.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Heraclea has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)Paganese has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Heraclea than the current prediction. (+2.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Paganese than the current prediction. (-0.8%)
Heraclea - Paganese Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.69 ↑
(2.48) |
3.15 ↓
(3.35) |
2.41 ↓
(2.42) |
10.4%
(11.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 10 and 1 in the zone Promotion).
- Heraclea is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- In recent matches, Paganese has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Heraclea won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.
How many head-to-head matches has Heraclea won against Paganese?
Heraclea has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Paganese won against Heraclea?
Paganese has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Heraclea - Paganese were as follows:
14.09.2025
Paganese
-
Heraclea
0:1
Latest results of Heraclea
Latest results of Paganese
Italian Serie D - Group H Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Barletta | 26 | 14 | 9 | 3 | 38:13 | 25 | 51 |
| 2 | Martina Calcio | 26 | 15 | 6 | 5 | 35:20 | 15 | 51 |
| 3 | Paganese | 26 | 15 | 5 | 6 | 25:17 | 8 | 50 |
| 4 | Citta di Fasano | 26 | 13 | 7 | 6 | 35:28 | 7 | 46 |
| 5 | Afragolese | 26 | 12 | 6 | 8 | 39:31 | 8 | 42 |
| 6 | A.C.D. Nardo | 26 | 10 | 11 | 5 | 33:24 | 9 | 41 |
| 7 | Gravina | 26 | 11 | 6 | 9 | 33:33 | 0 | 39 |
| 8 | Virtus Francavilla | 26 | 9 | 10 | 7 | 36:26 | 10 | 37 |
| 9 | SS Nola 1925 | 26 | 10 | 7 | 9 | 38:37 | 1 | 37 |
| 10 | Fidelis Andria | 26 | 9 | 7 | 10 | 27:23 | 4 | 34 |
| 11 | Heraclea | 26 | 9 | 5 | 12 | 22:26 | -4 | 32 |
| 12 | Manfredonia | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 25:30 | -5 | 32 |
| 13 | Francavilla | 26 | 8 | 7 | 11 | 25:29 | -4 | 31 |
| 14 | Real Normanna | 26 | 6 | 12 | 8 | 18:19 | -1 | 30 |
| 15 | Sarnese | 26 | 6 | 10 | 10 | 37:40 | -3 | 28 |
| 16 | Ferrandina | 26 | 6 | 6 | 14 | 16:29 | -13 | 24 |
| 17 | Pompei | 26 | 4 | 6 | 16 | 12:29 | -17 | 18 |
| 18 | Acerrana | 26 | 3 | 4 | 19 | 15:55 | -40 | 13 |
Promotion
Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group H (Play Offs: )
Serie D ~ Group H (Play Out: )
Relegation
