Result
1:2
11/01/2026 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Serie D - Group H - Round 19
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 2)
- 12', 0 - 1, ⚽,
- 45+5', 0 - 2, ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 80', 1 - 2, ⚽,
Chances of winning
Heraclea
33.7% | Draw
28.7% | Paganese
37.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Heraclea has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)Paganese has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Heraclea than the current prediction. (+2.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Paganese than the current prediction. (-0.8%)
Heraclea - Paganese Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.69 ↑
(2.48) |
3.15 ↓
(3.35) |
2.41 ↓
(2.42) |
10.4%
(11.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 10 and 1 in the zone Promotion).
- Heraclea is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- In recent matches, Paganese has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Heraclea won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.
How many head-to-head matches has Heraclea won against Paganese?
Heraclea has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Paganese won against Heraclea?
Paganese has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Heraclea - Paganese were as follows:
14.09.2025
Paganese
-
Heraclea
0:1
Latest results of Heraclea
Latest results of Paganese
Italian Serie D - Group H Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Barletta ✔ | 33 | 20 | 10 | 3 | 54:19 | 35 | 70 |
| 2 | Martina Calcio ✔ | 33 | 18 | 8 | 7 | 46:28 | 18 | 62 |
| 3 | Citta di Fasano ✔ | 33 | 17 | 8 | 8 | 45:35 | 10 | 59 |
| 4 | Paganese ✔ | 33 | 17 | 7 | 9 | 36:26 | 10 | 58 |
| 5 | A.C.D. Nardo | 33 | 13 | 13 | 7 | 39:27 | 12 | 52 |
| 6 | Gravina | 33 | 15 | 7 | 11 | 47:38 | 9 | 52 |
| 7 | Afragolese | 33 | 13 | 10 | 10 | 45:44 | 1 | 49 |
| 8 | Fidelis Andria | 33 | 13 | 9 | 11 | 34:26 | 8 | 48 |
| 9 | Virtus Francavilla | 33 | 12 | 11 | 10 | 43:38 | 5 | 47 |
| 10 | Real Normanna | 33 | 10 | 13 | 10 | 25:23 | 2 | 43 |
| 11 | Sarnese | 33 | 9 | 13 | 11 | 49:47 | 2 | 40 |
| 12 | Francavilla | 33 | 10 | 10 | 13 | 37:38 | -1 | 40 |
| 13 | Manfredonia | 33 | 10 | 10 | 13 | 32:38 | -6 | 40 |
| 14 | SS Nola 1925 | 33 | 10 | 8 | 15 | 40:49 | -9 | 38 |
| 15 | Heraclea ✔ | 33 | 9 | 8 | 16 | 29:38 | -9 | 35 |
| 16 | Pompei | 33 | 8 | 7 | 18 | 24:37 | -13 | 31 |
| 17 | Ferrandina | 33 | 7 | 9 | 17 | 20:41 | -21 | 30 |
| 18 | Acerrana ✔ | 33 | 3 | 5 | 25 | 19:72 | -53 | 14 |
Promotion
Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group H (Play Offs: )
Serie D ~ Group H (Play Out: )
Relegation
Clinched Spots for Teams
Barletta is Confirmed as championsnQualified for
Martina Calcio is Qualified for Serie D ~ Group H (Play Offs )
Citta di Fasano is Qualified for Serie D ~ Group H (Play Offs )
Paganese is Qualified for Serie D ~ Group H (Play Offs )
Heraclea is Serie D ~ Group H (Play Out )
Acerrana is Relegated to
