Ilvamaddalena vs Paganese – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Italian Serie D - Group G Ilvamaddalena - Paganese
Result
2:0
27/04/2025 at 08:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Serie D - Group G - Round 33

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 23', 1 - 0, Izzillo N. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 67', 2 - 0, Okitokandjo S. ,

Chances of winning


Ilvamaddalena
29.2%
Draw
29.2%
Paganese
41.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
29.2% 29.2% 41.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.8% 28.8% 42.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • The chances for Ilvamaddalena have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.
  • Paganese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ilvamaddalena than the current prediction. (-0.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Paganese than the current prediction. (+0.7%)
  • Ilvamaddalena - Paganese Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.1
    (3.06)
    3.1
    (3.06)
    2.18
    (2.14)
    10.4%
    (12.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • Preview Facts
    • An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 14 in the zone Serie D ~ Group G (Play Out: ) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group G (Play Offs: )).
    • Recent matches Ilvamaddalena is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Paganese is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Paganese will have a small advantage in this match.
    • Last 3 head-to-head matches Ilvamaddalena won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1:7 (average 0.3:2.3).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Ilvamaddalena won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:4
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Ilvamaddalena - Paganese were as follows:
    15.12.2024 Paganese - Ilvamaddalena 2:0
    26.02.2023 Ilvamaddalena - Paganese 0:4
    23.10.2022 Paganese - Ilvamaddalena 1:1
    Latest results of Ilvamaddalena
    Latest results of Paganese
    17.04.2025 Paganese - Atletico Uri 1:0
    13.04.2025 Sarnese - Paganese 1:0
    30.03.2025 Terracina - Paganese 0:1
    23.03.2025 Paganese - Cynthialbalonga 4:0
    Draw
    Winners Play Offs

    Semi-finals
    1LivornoBra4 : 1, 2 : 1
    2SiracusaOspitaletto2 : 0, 3 : 2

    Final
    1LivornoSiracusa2 : 1