Matera vs Paganese – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Italian Serie D - Group H Matera - Paganese
Result
1:0
21/01/2024 at 08:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • ITALY: SERIE D - GROUP H - ROUND 20

Chances of winning


Matera
42.7%
Draw
29.5%
Paganese
27.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
44.9% 30.2% 24.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.4% 31.2% 24.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Matera has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)
  • Paganese has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Matera than the current prediction. (+3.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Paganese than the current prediction. (-3.8%)
  • Matera - Paganese Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.1
    (2.03)
    3.04
    (3.02)
    3.22
    (3.67)
    11.6%
    (9.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • Preview Facts
    • The two neighboring teams will play in the exciting match (ranked 6 and 7).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Matera won 1.
    • Recent matches Matera is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Paganese is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Matera will have a small advantage in this match.
    • Last 10 head-to-head matches Matera won 3 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 11-16.
    • Including matches at home between the teams Matera won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 7-4.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Matera - Paganese were as follows:
    24.09.2023 Paganese - Matera 4:1
    Latest results of Matera
    14.01.2024 Angri - Matera 1:1
    07.01.2024 Matera - Città di Fasano 1:0
    20.12.2023 Matera - Altamura 0:1
    17.12.2023 Martina Calcio - Matera 2:0
    10.12.2023 Matera - Casarano 3:1
    Latest results of Paganese
    14.01.2024 Paganese - Nardo 1:1
    07.01.2024 Barletta - Paganese 0:1
    10.12.2023 Paganese - Angri 2:0
    03.12.2023 Altamura - Paganese 1:1
    Draw
    Winners Play Offs

    Semi-finals
    1LivornoBra4 : 1, 2 : 1
    2SiracusaOspitaletto2 : 0, 3 : 2

    Final
    1LivornoSiracusa2 : 1