Paganese vs Santa Maria Cilento – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Italian Serie D - Group H Paganese - Santa Maria Cilento
Result
4:0
28/04/2024 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ITALY: Serie D - Group H - Round 33

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 5', 1 - 0, Coratella C. ,
  • 23', 2 - 0, Coratella C. ,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 69', 3 - 0, Coratella C. ,
  • 90+2', 4 - 0, ,

Chances of winning


Paganese
44.1%
Draw
27.1%
Santa Maria Cilento
28.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
44.1% 28% 28%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.6% 23.9% 32.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • The chances for Paganese have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.
  • Santa Maria Cilento has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Paganese than the current prediction. (-6.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Paganese that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Santa Maria Cilento than the current prediction. (+4%)
  • Paganese - Santa Maria Cilento Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.04
    (2.07)
    3.32
    (3.26)
    3.12
    (3.26)
    11.2%
    (9.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    Preview Facts
    • In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 8 and 18 in the zone Relegation).
    • Paganese is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Santa Maria Cilento has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • Paganese will have a mini benefit in this match.
    • Recently, the teams did not play each other.
    Latest results of Paganese
    07.04.2024 Martina Calcio - Paganese 3:1
    24.03.2024 Casarano - Paganese 2:0
    17.03.2024 Paganese - Palmese 1914 3:0
    10.03.2024 Fidelis Andria - Paganese 3:1
    Latest results of Santa Maria Cilento
    Italian Serie D - Group H Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Citta di Fasano862014:5920
    2Martina Calcio852111:4717
    3Paganese851210:6416
    4Heraclea851210:6416
    5Fidelis Andria842213:7614
    6Afragolese841313:14-113
    7Barletta833211:8312
    8SS Nola 1925832314:13111
    9Virtus Francavilla824212:10210
    10Manfredonia831412:14-210
    11Francavilla82336:7-19
    12Gravina823310:12-29
    13Sarnese822410:13-38
    14A.C.D. Nardo82247:11-48
    15Real Normanna81434:6-27
    16Ferrandina82156:11-57
    17Pompei81341:7-66
    18Acerrana80355:15-103

          Promotion
          Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group H (Play Offs: )
          Serie D ~ Group H (Play Out: )
          Relegation