Paganese vs Santa Maria Cilento – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
4:0
28/04/2024 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ITALY: Serie D - Group H - Round 33

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 5', 1 - 0, Coratella C. ,
  • 23', 2 - 0, Coratella C. ,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 69', 3 - 0, Coratella C. ,
  • 90+2', 4 - 0, ,

Chances of winning


Paganese
44.1%
Draw
27.1%
Santa Maria Cilento
28.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
44.1% 28% 28%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.6% 23.9% 32.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • The chances for Paganese have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.
  • Santa Maria Cilento has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Paganese than the current prediction. (-6.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Paganese that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Santa Maria Cilento than the current prediction. (+4%)
  • Paganese - Santa Maria Cilento Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.04
    (2.07)
    3.32
    (3.26)
    3.12
    (3.26)
    11.2%
    (9.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    Preview Facts
    • In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 8 and 18 in the zone Relegation).
    • Paganese is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Santa Maria Cilento has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • Paganese will have a mini benefit in this match.
    • Recently, the teams did not play each other.
    Latest results of Paganese
    07.04.2024 Martina Calcio - Paganese 3:1
    24.03.2024 Casarano - Paganese 2:0
    17.03.2024 Paganese - Palmese 1914 3:0
    10.03.2024 Fidelis Andria - Paganese 3:1
    Latest results of Santa Maria Cilento
    Italian Serie D - Group H Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Barletta311810348:183064
    2Martina Calcio31178644:261859
    3Citta di Fasano31168744:331156
    4Paganese31167831:25655
    5A.C.D. Nardo311213637:261149
    6Afragolese31139945:38748
    7Virtus Francavilla311211842:311147
    8Gravina311371140:38246
    9Fidelis Andria311281132:25744
    10Sarnese319121046:43339
    11Real Normanna319121023:23039
    12Manfredonia311091232:36-439
    13SS Nola 1925311071440:44-437
    14Francavilla31991332:36-436
    15Heraclea31981427:33-635
    16Ferrandina31681719:41-2226
    17Pompei31671817:35-1825
    18Acerrana31352318:66-4814

          Promotion
          Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group H (Play Offs: )
          Serie D ~ Group H (Play Out: )
          Relegation