Result
3:1
07/05/2023 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- ITALY: SERIE D - GROUP G - ROUND 34
Chances of winning
Tivoli Calcio 18.9% | Draw 26.7% | Paganese 54.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Tivoli Calcio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Tivoli Calcio's form might have worsened.Paganese has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Paganese's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tivoli Calcio than the current prediction. (+4.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Paganese than the current prediction. (-3.8%)
Tivoli Calcio - Paganese Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
4.87 ↑ (3.58) |
3.45 ↑ (3.34) |
1.69 ↓ (1.78) |
8.8% (14.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Tivoli Calcio - Paganese?
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Tivoli will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Paganese will win (votes: 3 - 60%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is .
Preview Facts
- Outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 14 in the zone Serie D ~ Group G (Play Out: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion).
- Recent matches Tivoli is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
- Paganese in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
- Paganese will have a small advantage in this match.
- Last 1 head-to-head matches Tivoli won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.
How many head-to-head matches has Tivoli Calcio won against Paganese?
Tivoli Calcio has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Paganese won against Tivoli Calcio?
Paganese has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Tivoli Calcio - Paganese were as follows:
21.12.2022
Paganese
-
Tivoli Calcio
2:0
Latest results of Tivoli Calcio
Latest results of Paganese
Italian Serie D - Group G Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Scafatese | 8 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 18:4 | 14 | 20 |
| 2 | Trastevere Calcio | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 15:7 | 8 | 18 |
| 3 | Albalonga | 8 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 13:8 | 5 | 16 |
| 4 | Latte Dolce | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 11:7 | 4 | 13 |
| 5 | Monastir | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 11:10 | 1 | 13 |
| 6 | Sarrabus Ogliastra | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 14:15 | -1 | 13 |
| 7 | Flaminia | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 14:9 | 5 | 12 |
| 8 | Budoni | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 11:8 | 3 | 12 |
| 9 | Nocerina | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 10:9 | 1 | 12 |
| 10 | Valmontone | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 10:10 | 0 | 12 |
| 11 | Olbia | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 12:13 | -1 | 12 |
| 12 | Anzio Calcio 1924 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 8:13 | -5 | 9 |
| 13 | Palmese 1914 | 8 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 9:11 | -2 | 8 |
| 14 | Ischia | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 8:15 | -7 | 8 |
| 15 | Real Monterotondo | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 6:13 | -7 | 6 |
| 16 | Atl. Lodigiani | 8 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 7:11 | -4 | 4 |
| 17 | Cassino | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 6:13 | -7 | 4 |
| 18 | Montespaccato | 8 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 7:14 | -7 | 3 |
Promotion
Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group G (Play Offs: )
Serie D ~ Group G (Play Out: )
Relegation