Tivoli Calcio vs Paganese – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:1
07/05/2023 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ITALY: SERIE D - GROUP G - ROUND 34

Chances of winning


Tivoli Calcio
18.9%
Draw
26.7%
Paganese
54.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
24.5% 26.3% 49.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.8% 25.6% 50.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Tivoli Calcio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Tivoli Calcio's form might have worsened.
  • Paganese has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Paganese's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tivoli Calcio than the current prediction. (+4.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Paganese than the current prediction. (-3.8%)
  • Tivoli Calcio - Paganese Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    4.87
    (3.58)
    3.45
    (3.34)
    1.69
    (1.78)
    8.8%
    (14.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    Preview Facts
    • Outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 14 in the zone Serie D ~ Group G (Play Out: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion).
    • Recent matches Tivoli is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Paganese in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • Paganese will have a small advantage in this match.
    • Last 1 head-to-head matches Tivoli won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Tivoli Calcio - Paganese were as follows:
    21.12.2022 Paganese - Tivoli Calcio 2:0
    Latest results of Tivoli Calcio
    16.04.2023 Nola - Tivoli Calcio 1:3
    02.04.2023 Aprilia - Tivoli Calcio 1:2
    19.03.2023 Tivoli Calcio - Angri 0:1
    Latest results of Paganese
    23.04.2023 Romana - Paganese 1:1
    02.04.2023 Paganese - Cassino 6:1
    19.03.2023 Paganese - Nola 0:0
    Italian Serie D - Group G Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Scafatese26206055:163966
    2Trastevere Calcio26147550:331749
    3Monastir261241039:34540
    4Albalonga26117844:40440
    5Flaminia26109739:281139
    6Nocerina26109733:29439
    7Atl. Lodigiani2699837:33436
    8Sarrabus Ogliastra261061037:43-636
    9Ischia261061032:38-636
    10Latte Dolce261041236:40-434
    11Valmontone261041233:41-834
    12Palmese 191426712732:30233
    13Anzio Calcio 192426881028:35-732
    14Budoni26871125:26-131
    15Olbia265111027:38-1126
    16Montespaccato265101135:42-725
    17Real Monterotondo26651527:41-1423
    18Cassino26461620:42-2218

          Promotion
          Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group G (Play Offs: )
          Serie D ~ Group G (Play Out: )
          Relegation