Tivoli Calcio vs Paganese – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Italian Serie D - Group G Tivoli Calcio - Paganese
Result
3:1
07/05/2023 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ITALY: SERIE D - GROUP G - ROUND 34

Chances of winning


Tivoli Calcio
18.9%
Draw
26.7%
Paganese
54.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
24.5% 26.3% 49.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.8% 25.6% 50.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Tivoli Calcio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Tivoli Calcio's form might have worsened.
  • Paganese has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Paganese's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tivoli Calcio than the current prediction. (+4.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Paganese than the current prediction. (-3.8%)
  • Tivoli Calcio - Paganese Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    4.87
    (3.58)
    3.45
    (3.34)
    1.69
    (1.78)
    8.8%
    (14.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • Preview Facts
    • Outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 14 in the zone Serie D ~ Group G (Play Out: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion).
    • Recent matches Tivoli is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Paganese in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • Paganese will have a small advantage in this match.
    • Last 1 head-to-head matches Tivoli won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Tivoli Calcio - Paganese were as follows:
    21.12.2022 Paganese - Tivoli Calcio 2:0
    Latest results of Tivoli Calcio
    16.04.2023 Nola - Tivoli Calcio 1:3
    02.04.2023 Aprilia - Tivoli Calcio 1:2
    19.03.2023 Tivoli Calcio - Angri 0:1
    Latest results of Paganese
    23.04.2023 Romana - Paganese 1:1
    02.04.2023 Paganese - Cassino 6:1
    19.03.2023 Paganese - Nola 0:0
    Draw
    Winners Play Offs

    Semi-finals
    1LivornoBra4 : 1, 2 : 1
    2SiracusaOspitaletto2 : 0, 3 : 2

    Final
    1LivornoSiracusa2 : 1