Astralis vs paiN Gaming – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:0
28/01/2026 at 07:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • COUNTER-STRIKE: IEM Krakow - Qualification - Winners stage - Semi-finals

Chances of winning


Astralis
46.3%
paiN Gaming
53.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
46.7% 53.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.6% 49.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Astralis has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)
  • paiN Gaming has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Astralis than the current prediction. (+4.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for paiN Gaming than the current prediction. (-4.3%)
  • Astralis - paiN Gaming Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.04
    (2.03)

    1.76
    (1.78)
    6%
    (5.4%)
    Preview Facts
    • Astralis has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • paiN is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • paiN may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Astralis has had a series of away games.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • We predict that Astralis will win today's game, with odds of 2.03.
    • In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Astralis won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:4. (average 1.3:1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Astralis won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 1:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Astralis - paiN Gaming were as follows:
    15.09.2025 Astralis - paiN Gaming 0:2
    11.05.2025 Astralis - paiN Gaming 2:0
    14.02.2025 paiN Gaming - Astralis 2:1
    31.01.2025 paiN Gaming - Astralis 0:2
    Latest results of Astralis
    18.01.2026 PARIVISION - Astralis 2:0
    13.01.2026 Fnatic - Astralis 1:2
    02.12.2025 Team Liquid - Astralis 2:0
    01.12.2025 Aurora - Astralis 1:2
    30.11.2025 FlyQuest - Astralis 0:2
    Latest results of paiN Gaming
    17.01.2026 paiN Gaming - Heroic 0:2
    16.01.2026 BetBoom Team - paiN Gaming 0:2
    06.12.2025 B8 - paiN Gaming 2:0
    05.12.2025 paiN Gaming - NaVi 0:1
    04.12.2025 paiN Gaming - G2 Esports 0:1
    Draw
    Final tournament

    Quarter-finals
    1Team SpiritBye
    2FURIAAurora2 : 0
    3Team VitalityBye
    4G2 EsportsMOUZ0 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Team SpiritFURIA1 : 2
    2Team VitalityMOUZ2 : 0

    Final
    1FURIATeam Vitality1 : 3

    3rd place
    2Team SpiritMOUZ2 : 0