Result
1:0
20/11/2025 at 08:15 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Super League - Round 29
- Referee: Tantashev I. (Uzb)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 61% | 39% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 45+4', 1 - 0, Sergeev I. ⚽,
- 45+6', Ceran D. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Eshmurodov U. ↓, Davronov A. ↑,
- 46', Mukhammadiev S. ↓, Abdirakhmatov Z. ↑,
- 57', Bozorov O. ↓, Colovic S. ↑,
- 57', Sidikov J. ↓, Nasrullaev S. ↑,
- 59', Resan B. ↓, Turgunboev A. ↑,
- 63', Abdirakhmatov Z. 🟨,
- 64', Erkinov K. 🟨,
- 79', Sergeev I. ↓, Alizhonov K. ↑,
- 83', Khamraliev M. 🟨,
- 83', Norchaev K. ↓, Golban I. ↑,
- 86', Flamarion ↓, Abdikholikov B. ↑,
- 90+1', Colovic S. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Pakhtakor
49% | Draw
26.3% | Nasaf Qarshi
24.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Pakhtakor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)Nasaf Qarshi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pakhtakor than the current prediction. (+1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nasaf Qarshi than the current prediction. (-1.3%)
Pakhtakor - Nasaf Qarshi Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.88 ↓
(1.91) |
3.49 ↑
(3.44) |
3.72 ↓
(3.91) |
8.8%
(7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Pakhtakor - Nasaf Qarshi?
Users Predictions:
12 users predict this event. Pakhtakor will win (votes: 9 - 75%). Nasaf will win (votes: 1 - 8.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 16.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Pakhtakor: 50.5% – 99.5%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 6 high ROI users predict this event. Pakhtakor (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 3 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Pakhtakor won 0.
- Pakhtakor has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Nasaf has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- In this match, Pakhtakor is a strong favorite.
- We predict that Pakhtakor will win today's game, with odds of 1.82.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Pakhtakor won 9 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 26:20. (average 1.3:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Pakhtakor won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 19:11. (average 1.5:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Pakhtakor won against Nasaf Qarshi?
Pakhtakor has won 0 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Nasaf Qarshi won against Pakhtakor?
Nasaf Qarshi has won 4 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Pakhtakor - Nasaf Qarshi were as follows:
27.06.2025
Nasaf Qarshi
-
Pakhtakor
2:2
10.08.2024
Nasaf Qarshi
-
Pakhtakor
1:0
29.05.2024
Pakhtakor
-
Nasaf Qarshi
1:2
08.03.2024
Pakhtakor
-
Nasaf Qarshi
0:0
03.11.2023
Pakhtakor
-
Nasaf Qarshi
1:1
Latest results of Pakhtakor
Latest results of Nasaf Qarshi
Uzbek League Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Andijan | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4:0 | 4 | 3 |
| 2 | Neftchi Fargona | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:0 | 3 | 3 |
| 3 | Lok. Tashkent | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | 2 | 3 |
| 4 | Pakhtakor | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 2 | 3 |
| 5 | Navbahor Namangan | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 3 |
| 6 | Bunyodkor | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
| 7 | Buxoro | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
| 8 | Nasaf Qarshi | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
| 9 | Din. Samarkand | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 0 |
| 10 | OKMK | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
| 11 | Xorazm Urganch | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
| 12 | Kokand 1912 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
| 13 | Termez Surkhon | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:3 | -2 | 0 |
| 14 | Qizilqum | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:2 | -2 | 0 |
| 15 | Mashal Muborak | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:3 | -3 | 0 |
| 16 | Sogdiana | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:4 | -4 | 0 |
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
Pro Liga (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Pro Liga
