Paksi SE vs Debreceni – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Hungarian NB I Paksi SE - Debreceni
Result
1:1
18/10/2025 at 10:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • NB I. - Round 10
  • Where to Watch on TV:
hungaryHungaryM4 Sport

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.760.97
Ball Possession
54%46%
Total shots
219
Shots on target
75
Big Chances
42
Corner Kicks
128
Passes
72% (246/343)64% (202/314)
Yellow Cards
12
Expected Goals (xG)
1.760.97
xG on target (xGOT)
1.501.90
Total shots
219
Shots on target
75
Shots off target
72
Blocked Shots
72
Shots inside the Box
167
Shots outside the Box
52
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
11
Big Chances
42
Corner Kicks
128
Touches in opposition box
3521
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
21
Free Kicks
1819
Passes
72% (246/343)64% (202/314)
Long passes
51% (38/75)31% (24/77)
Passes in final third
67% (110/164)55% (47/85)
Crosses
24% (12/51)13% (2/15)
Expected assists (xA)
1.610.75
Throw-ins
2115
Fouls
1918
Tackles
67% (8/12)43% (6/14)
Duels won
5751
Clearances
2754
Interceptions
1312
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper Saves
45
xGOT faced
1.901.50
Goals prevented
0.900.50

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 32', Horvath K. 🟨,
  • 36', Lenzser B. , Szekszardi M. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 50', 1 - 0, Hahn J. , Silye E. (A),
  • 56', 1 - 1, Guerrero A. ,
  • 67', Szuhodovszki S. , Komaromi G. ,
  • 67', Kocsis D. , Bermejo A. ,
  • 67', Hahn J. , Bode D. ,
  • 67', Horvath K. , Peto M. ,
  • 80', Szecsi M. , Dacosta J. ,
  • 90+1', Dzsudzsak B. , Youga A. ,
  • 90+1', Szucs T. , Cibla F. ,
  • 90+3', Mejias J. 🟨,
  • 90+5', 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Paksi SE
56%
Draw
22.6%
Debreceni
21.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
55.3% 21.9% 22.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.3% 20.8% 21.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Paksi SE has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)
  • Debreceni has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Paksi SE than the current prediction. (+2.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Debreceni than the current prediction. (+0.2%)
  • Paksi SE - Debreceni Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.68
    (1.67)
    4.09
    (4.24)
    4.34
    (4.06)
    7.2%
    (8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
    What is the prediction for Paksi SE - Debreceni?
  • Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Paks will win (votes: 3 - 50%). Debreceni will win (votes: 3 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Paks won 2.
    • Paks is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • In recent matches, Debreceni has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • In this match, Paks is seen as the favorite.
    • We predict that Paks will win today's game, with odds of 1.66.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Paks won 6 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 32:33. (average 1.6:1.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Paks won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 19:16. (average 1.9:1.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Paksi SE - Debreceni were as follows:
    18.05.2025 Debreceni - Paksi SE 0:0
    22.02.2025 Paksi SE - Debreceni 4:3
    19.10.2024 Debreceni - Paksi SE 0:5
    10.03.2024 Paksi SE - Debreceni 1:1
    12.11.2023 Debreceni - Paksi SE 1:0
    Latest results of Paksi SE
    Latest results of Debreceni
    04.10.2025 Debreceni - Győri ETO 1:1
    27.09.2025 Diósgyőri - Debreceni 0:0
    21.09.2025 Kisvárda - Debreceni 0:1
    13.09.2025 VLS Veszprém - Debreceni 0:2
    31.08.2025 Debreceni - Ferencvárosi 0:3
    Hungarian NB I Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Paks1055025:151020
    2MTK Budapest1051423:17616
    3Kisvarda95139:13-416
    4Ferencvaros944119:91016
    5Gyor944119:11816
    6Debrecen1044213:12116
    7Puskas Academy1042413:15-214
    8Ujpest1024413:13010
    9Nyiregyhaza1023514:23-99
    10DVTK1015413:20-78
    11Kazincbarcikai92169:19-107
    12Zalaegerszegi1014516:19-37

          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ NB II.