Ferencvárosi vs Paksi SE – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Hungarian NB I Ferencvárosi - Paksi SE
Result
2:2
05/10/2025 at 10:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • NB I. - Round 9
  • Where to Watch on TV:
hungaryHungaryM4 Sport

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.991.24
Ball Possession
62%38%
Total shots
1710
Shots on target
33
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
93
Passes
83% (409/491)67% (199/297)
Yellow Cards
54
Expected Goals (xG)
1.991.24
xG on target (xGOT)
1.040.95
Total shots
1710
Shots on target
33
Shots off target
113
Blocked Shots
34
Shots inside the Box
157
Shots outside the Box
23
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
93
Touches in opposition box
2314
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
31
Free Kicks
2012
Passes
83% (409/491)67% (199/297)
Long passes
59% (45/76)43% (33/77)
Passes in final third
75% (110/147)60% (65/109)
Crosses
33% (11/33)20% (4/20)
Expected assists (xA)
1.710.35
Throw-ins
3015
Fouls
1220
Tackles
80% (8/10)62% (13/21)
Duels won
5654
Clearances
1927
Interceptions
169
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
12
xGOT faced
0.951.04
Goals prevented
-1.05-0.96

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 19', Szalai G. 🟨,
  • 19', Kinyik A. 🟨,
  • 21', 0 - 1, Peto M. ,
  • 31', 1 - 1, Varga B. , Nagy B. (A),
  • 40', Haraszti Z. 🟨,
  • 43', Balogh B. 🟨,
  • 43', Szabo J. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Joseph L. , Dele ,
  • 47', Otvos B. 🟨,
  • 54', Dele 🟨,
  • 54', Levi J. , Abu Fani M. ,
  • 65', Haraszti Z. , Bode D. ,
  • 65', Peto M. , Horvath K. ,
  • 68', Kanichowsky G. , Toth A. ,
  • 69', Varga B. , Pesic A. ,
  • 80', Toth B. , Osvath A. ,
  • 83', Otvos B. , Gruber Z. ,
  • 87', 2 - 1, Pesic A. , Abu Fani M. (A),
  • 89', Hinora K. , Hahn J. ,
  • 90+2', Toth A. 🟨,
  • 90+3', Abu Fani M. 🟨,
  • 90+3', 2 - 2, Windecker J. (Pen),

Highlights

Chances of winning


Ferencvárosi
56.5%
Draw
25.3%
Paksi SE
18.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
67.1% 17.7% 15.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70.2% 16.9% 14.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Ferencvárosi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ferencvárosi's form might have worsened.
  • Paksi SE has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ferencvárosi than the current prediction. (+13.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ferencvárosi, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Paksi SE than the current prediction. (-3.8%)
  • Ferencvárosi - Paksi SE Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.83
    (1.38)
    3.92
    (5.22)
    5.74
    (6.13)
    -2.3%
    (7.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
    What is the prediction for Ferencvárosi - Paksi SE?
  • Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Ferencvárosi will win (votes: 8 - 72.7%). Paks will win (votes: 3 - 27.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Ferencvárosi: 46.4%99%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ferencvárosi won 1.
    • Right now, both teams are showing solid form.
    • Paks may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Ferencvárosi is considered a favorite.
    • We predict that Ferencvárosi will win today's game, with odds of 1.59.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Ferencvárosi won 12 matches, drew 1 match, lost 7 matches, and goals 49:31. (average 2.5:1.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Ferencvárosi won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 28:12. (average 2.8:1.2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Ferencvárosi - Paksi SE were as follows:
    14.05.2025 Ferencvárosi - Paksi SE 1:2
    10.05.2025 Paksi SE - Ferencvárosi 2:3
    16.02.2025 Ferencvárosi - Paksi SE 0:2
    06.10.2024 Paksi SE - Ferencvárosi 3:1
    15.05.2024 Paksi SE - Ferencvárosi 2:0
    Latest results of Ferencvárosi
    Latest results of Paksi SE
    Hungarian NB I Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Paks1055025:151020
    2MTK Budapest1051423:17616
    3Kisvarda95139:13-416
    4Ferencvaros944119:91016
    5Gyor944119:11816
    6Debrecen1044213:12116
    7Puskas Academy1042413:15-214
    8Ujpest1024413:13010
    9Nyiregyhaza1023514:23-99
    10DVTK1015413:20-78
    11Kazincbarcikai92169:19-107
    12Zalaegerszegi1014516:19-37

          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ NB II.