Result
0:1
01/02/2026 at 09:15 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- NB I. - Round 20
- Where to Watch on TV:
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 Hungary | M4 Sport |
Match Stats
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| Expected goals (xG) |
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| 1.13 | 0.92 |
| Ball possession |
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| 51% | 49% |
| Total shots |
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| 12 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
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| 4 | 5 |
| Big chances |
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| 1 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
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| 5 | 2 |
| Passes |
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| 61% (205/336) | 63% (209/332) |
| Yellow cards |
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| 2 | 4 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
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| 1.13 | 0.92 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
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| 0.38 | 0.77 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
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| 4 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
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| 6 | 3 |
| Blocked shots |
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| 2 | 1 |
| Shots inside the box |
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| 8 | 6 |
| Shots outside the box |
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| 4 | 3 |
| Hit the woodwork |
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| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
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| 1 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
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| 5 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
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| 26 | 22 |
| Accurate through passes |
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| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
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| 2 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
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| 20 | 24 |
| Passes |
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| 61% (205/336) | 63% (209/332) |
| Long passes |
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| 29% (22/75) | 27% (23/86) |
| Passes in final third |
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| 51% (72/141) | 53% (51/97) |
| Crosses |
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| 19% (6/31) | 27% (4/15) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
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| 1.19 | 0.84 |
| Throw ins |
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| 27 | 23 |
| Fouls |
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| 24 | 20 |
| Tackles |
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| 80% (16/20) | 82% (14/17) |
| Duels won |
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| 56 | 72 |
| Clearances |
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| 24 | 47 |
| Interceptions |
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| 5 | 14 |
| Errors leading to shot |
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| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
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| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
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| 5 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
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| 0.77 | 0.38 |
| Goals prevented |
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| -0.23 | 0.38 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 37', Zeke M. 🟨,
- 38', Kovacevic F. 🟨,
- 41', Nagy B. 🟨,
- 44', Osvath A. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 61', Otvos B. 🟨,
- 62', Szendrei A. ↓, Adam M. ↑,
- 67', Abu Fani M. ↓, Acolatse E. ↑,
- 71', 0 - 1, Gruber Z. ⚽, Acolatse E. (A),
- 76', Zeke M. ↓, Silye E. ↑,
- 76', Windecker J. ↓, Gyurkits G. ↑,
- 80', Kanichowsky G. ↓, Romao J. ↑,
- 80', Gruber Z. ↓, Madarasz A. ↑,
- 80', Kovacevic F. ↓, Joseph L. ↑,
- 82', Toth B. ↓, Hahn J. ↑,
- 82', Horvath K. ↓, Mate C. ↑,
- 90+1', Grof D. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Paksi SE
34.1% | Draw
25.3% | Ferencvárosi
40.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Paksi SE has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Paksi SE's performance.Ferencvárosi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Ferencvárosi might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Paksi SE than the current prediction. (-4.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ferencvárosi than the current prediction. (+5.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ferencvárosi could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Paksi SE - Ferencvárosi Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.71 ↓
(3.24) |
3.66 ↓
(3.84) |
2.29 ↑
(1.99) |
7.9%
(7.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Paksi SE - Ferencvárosi?
Users Predictions:
14 users predict this event. Paks will win (votes: 6 - 42.9%). Ferencvárosi will win (votes: 5 - 35.7%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 21.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Paks: 17% – 68.8%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Paks (votes: 2 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH +0.25 - Paks (1.78) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 1.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .
- BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .
- AH -0.5 - Paks (2.73) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
- DC - Paks (1.61) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
- O/U 3 - under (votes: 2 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 7 high ROI users predict this event. Paks (votes: 7 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: ) and 4).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Paks won 3.
- Paks is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Ferencvárosi's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Ferencvárosi may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- We predict that Paks will win today's game, with odds of 2.78.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Paks won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 33:47. (average 1.7:2.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Paks won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 19:21. (average 1.9:2.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Paksi SE won against Ferencvárosi?
Paksi SE has won 6 of their last 12 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Ferencvárosi won against Paksi SE?
Ferencvárosi has won 5 of their last 12 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Paksi SE - Ferencvárosi were as follows:
05.10.2025
Ferencvárosi
-
Paksi SE
2:2
14.05.2025
Ferencvárosi
-
Paksi SE
1:2
10.05.2025
Paksi SE
-
Ferencvárosi
2:3
16.02.2025
Ferencvárosi
-
Paksi SE
0:2
06.10.2024
Paksi SE
-
Ferencvárosi
3:1
Latest results of Paksi SE
Latest results of Ferencvárosi
Hungarian NB I Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Gyor | 24 | 14 | 7 | 3 | 49:25 | 24 | 49 |
| 2 | Ferencvaros | 24 | 14 | 4 | 6 | 46:26 | 20 | 46 |
| 3 | Debrecen | 24 | 11 | 7 | 6 | 36:30 | 6 | 40 |
| 4 | Paks | 24 | 10 | 6 | 8 | 46:37 | 9 | 36 |
| 5 | Puskas Academy | 24 | 10 | 5 | 9 | 31:30 | 1 | 35 |
| 6 | Kisvarda | 24 | 10 | 5 | 9 | 30:37 | -7 | 35 |
| 7 | Zalaegerszegi | 24 | 9 | 8 | 7 | 36:30 | 6 | 35 |
| 8 | Ujpest | 24 | 8 | 5 | 11 | 33:41 | -8 | 29 |
| 9 | Nyiregyhaza | 24 | 7 | 7 | 10 | 33:40 | -7 | 28 |
| 10 | MTK Budapest | 24 | 7 | 5 | 12 | 44:53 | -9 | 26 |
| 11 | DVTK | 24 | 5 | 9 | 10 | 32:39 | -7 | 24 |
| 12 | Kazincbarcika | 24 | 4 | 2 | 18 | 21:49 | -28 | 14 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ NB II.
