Result
2:2
05/10/2025 at 10:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- NB I. - Round 9
- Where to Watch on TV:
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 Hungary | M4 Sport |
Match Stats
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| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.99 | 1.24 |
| Ball Possession |
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| 62% | 38% |
| Total shots |
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| 17 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
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| 3 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
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| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (409/491) | 67% (199/297) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.99 | 1.24 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
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| 1.04 | 0.95 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
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| 3 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
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| 11 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
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| 3 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
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| 15 | 7 |
| Shots outside the Box |
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| 2 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
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| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
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| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
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| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
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| 9 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
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| 23 | 14 |
| Accurate through passes |
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| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
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| 3 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
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| 20 | 12 |
| Passes |
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| 83% (409/491) | 67% (199/297) |
| Long passes |
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| 59% (45/76) | 43% (33/77) |
| Passes in final third |
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| 75% (110/147) | 60% (65/109) |
| Crosses |
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| 33% (11/33) | 20% (4/20) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
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| 1.71 | 0.35 |
| Throw-ins |
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| 30 | 15 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 20 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 80% (8/10) | 62% (13/21) |
| Duels won |
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| 56 | 54 |
| Clearances |
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| 19 | 27 |
| Interceptions |
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| 16 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
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| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
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| 1 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
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| 0.95 | 1.04 |
| Goals prevented |
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| -1.05 | -0.96 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 19', Szalai G. 🟨,
- 19', Kinyik A. 🟨,
- 21', 0 - 1, Peto M. ⚽,
- 31', 1 - 1, Varga B. ⚽, Nagy B. (A),
- 40', Haraszti Z. 🟨,
- 43', Balogh B. 🟨,
- 43', Szabo J. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Joseph L. ↓, Dele ↑,
- 47', Otvos B. 🟨,
- 54', Dele 🟨,
- 54', Levi J. ↓, Abu Fani M. ↑,
- 65', Haraszti Z. ↓, Bode D. ↑,
- 65', Peto M. ↓, Horvath K. ↑,
- 68', Kanichowsky G. ↓, Toth A. ↑,
- 69', Varga B. ↓, Pesic A. ↑,
- 80', Toth B. ↓, Osvath A. ↑,
- 83', Otvos B. ↓, Gruber Z. ↑,
- 87', 2 - 1, Pesic A. ⚽, Abu Fani M. (A),
- 89', Hinora K. ↓, Hahn J. ↑,
- 90+2', Toth A. 🟨,
- 90+3', Abu Fani M. 🟨,
- 90+3', 2 - 2, Windecker J. (Pen),
Chances of winning
Ferencvárosi
56.5% | Draw
25.3% | Paksi SE
18.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ferencvárosi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ferencvárosi's form might have worsened.Paksi SE has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ferencvárosi than the current prediction. (+13.7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ferencvárosi, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Paksi SE than the current prediction. (-3.8%)
Ferencvárosi - Paksi SE Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.83 ↑
(1.38) |
3.92 ↓
(5.22) |
5.74 ↓
(6.13) |
-2.3%
(7.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
What is the prediction for Ferencvárosi - Paksi SE?
Users Predictions:
11 users predict this event. Ferencvárosi will win (votes: 8 - 72.7%). Paks will win (votes: 3 - 27.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Ferencvárosi: 46.4% – 99%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ferencvárosi won 1.
- Right now, both teams are showing solid form.
- Paks may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Ferencvárosi is considered a favorite.
- We predict that Ferencvárosi will win today's game, with odds of 1.59.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Ferencvárosi won 12 matches, drew 1 match, lost 7 matches, and goals 49:31. (average 2.5:1.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Ferencvárosi won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 28:12. (average 2.8:1.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Ferencvárosi won against Paksi SE?
Ferencvárosi has won 5 of their last 11 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Paksi SE won against Ferencvárosi?
Paksi SE has won 6 of their last 11 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Ferencvárosi - Paksi SE were as follows:
14.05.2025
Ferencvárosi
-
Paksi SE
1:2
10.05.2025
Paksi SE
-
Ferencvárosi
2:3
16.02.2025
Ferencvárosi
-
Paksi SE
0:2
06.10.2024
Paksi SE
-
Ferencvárosi
3:1
15.05.2024
Paksi SE
-
Ferencvárosi
2:0
Latest results of Ferencvárosi
Latest results of Paksi SE
Hungarian NB I Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Paks | 10 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 25:15 | 10 | 20 |
| 2 | MTK Budapest | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 23:17 | 6 | 16 |
| 3 | Kisvarda | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 9:13 | -4 | 16 |
| 4 | Ferencvaros | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 19:9 | 10 | 16 |
| 5 | Gyor | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 19:11 | 8 | 16 |
| 6 | Debrecen | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 13:12 | 1 | 16 |
| 7 | Puskas Academy | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 13:15 | -2 | 14 |
| 8 | Ujpest | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 13:13 | 0 | 10 |
| 9 | Nyiregyhaza | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 14:23 | -9 | 9 |
| 10 | DVTK | 10 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 13:20 | -7 | 8 |
| 11 | Kazincbarcikai | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 9:19 | -10 | 7 |
| 12 | Zalaegerszegi | 10 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 16:19 | -3 | 7 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ NB II.
