Result
1:2
28/02/2026 at 10:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Tercera RFEF - Group 8 - Round 24
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 38', 1 - 0, Galvan M. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 50', 1 - 1, ⚽,
- 63', 1 - 2, ⚽,
Chances of winning
Santa Marta Tormes
18.9% | Draw
38.9% | Palencia CA
42.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Santa Marta Tormes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-29.4%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Santa Marta Tormes's form might have worsened.Palencia CA has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+20.6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Palencia CA's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Santa Marta Tormes than the current prediction. (+30.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Santa Marta Tormes, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Palencia CA than the current prediction. (-21%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Palencia CA, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Santa Marta Tormes - Palencia CA Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
7.68 ↑
(1.89) |
3.73 ↑
(3.01) |
3.45 ↓
(4.23) |
-31.2%
(9.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
Preview Facts
- The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 8 (Play Offs: ) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 8 (Play Offs: )).
- Recent performances by Santa Marta Tormes have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Palencia CA has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- In this match, Santa Marta Tormes is considered a favorite.
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Santa Marta Tormes won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:10. (average 1.6:2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Santa Marta Tormes won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:4. (average 2:2).
How many head-to-head matches has Santa Marta Tormes won against Palencia CA?
Santa Marta Tormes has won 0 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Palencia CA won against Santa Marta Tormes?
Palencia CA has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Santa Marta Tormes - Palencia CA were as follows:
19.10.2025
Palencia CA
-
Santa Marta Tormes
2:1
15.02.2025
Palencia CA
-
Santa Marta Tormes
2:1
06.10.2024
Santa Marta Tormes
-
Palencia CA
3:3
23.03.2024
Santa Marta Tormes
-
Palencia CA
1:1
05.11.2023
Palencia CA
-
Santa Marta Tormes
2:2
Latest results of Santa Marta Tormes
Latest results of Palencia CA
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 8 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Atl. Tordesillas | 27 | 19 | 6 | 2 | 50:15 | 35 | 63 |
| 2 | Palencia CF | 27 | 17 | 4 | 6 | 46:27 | 19 | 55 |
| 3 | Guijuelo | 27 | 16 | 6 | 5 | 39:22 | 17 | 54 |
| 4 | Palencia CA | 27 | 15 | 5 | 7 | 36:18 | 18 | 50 |
| 5 | Santa Marta Tormes | 27 | 15 | 4 | 8 | 38:22 | 16 | 49 |
| 6 | Mansilles | 26 | 11 | 9 | 6 | 22:22 | 0 | 42 |
| 7 | Mirandes B | 27 | 11 | 7 | 9 | 31:21 | 10 | 40 |
| 8 | Almazan | 26 | 9 | 11 | 6 | 37:28 | 9 | 38 |
| 9 | La Virgen | 26 | 10 | 8 | 8 | 22:21 | 1 | 38 |
| 10 | Leonesa B | 27 | 9 | 5 | 13 | 28:34 | -6 | 32 |
| 11 | Villaralbo | 26 | 8 | 7 | 11 | 19:26 | -7 | 31 |
| 12 | Colegios Diocesanos | 26 | 8 | 6 | 12 | 26:35 | -9 | 30 |
| 13 | Arandina | 27 | 7 | 7 | 13 | 21:35 | -14 | 28 |
| 14 | Bembibre | 27 | 7 | 6 | 14 | 24:36 | -12 | 27 |
| 15 | CD Mojados | 27 | 5 | 8 | 14 | 22:45 | -23 | 23 |
| 16 | Becerril | 27 | 5 | 6 | 16 | 33:49 | -16 | 21 |
| 17 | Unionistas B | 27 | 2 | 13 | 12 | 23:38 | -15 | 19 |
| 18 | Numancia B | 26 | 5 | 4 | 17 | 16:39 | -23 | 19 |
Promotion
Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 8 (Play Offs: )
Relegation
