Result
1:2
28/02/2026 at 10:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Tercera RFEF - Group 8 - Round 24
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 38', 1 - 0, Galvan M. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 50', 1 - 1, ⚽,
- 63', 1 - 2, ⚽,
Chances of winning
Santa Marta Tormes
18.9% | Draw
38.9% | Palencia CA
42.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Santa Marta Tormes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-29.4%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Santa Marta Tormes's form might have worsened.Palencia CA has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+20.6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Palencia CA's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Santa Marta Tormes than the current prediction. (+30.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Santa Marta Tormes, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Palencia CA than the current prediction. (-21%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Palencia CA, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Santa Marta Tormes - Palencia CA Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
7.68 ↑
(1.89) |
3.73 ↑
(3.01) |
3.45 ↓
(4.23) |
-31.2%
(9.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
Preview Facts
- The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 8 (Play Offs: ) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 8 (Play Offs: )).
- Recent performances by Santa Marta Tormes have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Palencia CA has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- In this match, Santa Marta Tormes is considered a favorite.
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Santa Marta Tormes won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:10. (average 1.6:2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Santa Marta Tormes won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:4. (average 2:2).
How many head-to-head matches has Santa Marta Tormes won against Palencia CA?
Santa Marta Tormes has won 0 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Palencia CA won against Santa Marta Tormes?
Palencia CA has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Santa Marta Tormes - Palencia CA were as follows:
19.10.2025
Palencia CA
-
Santa Marta Tormes
2:1
15.02.2025
Palencia CA
-
Santa Marta Tormes
2:1
06.10.2024
Santa Marta Tormes
-
Palencia CA
3:3
23.03.2024
Santa Marta Tormes
-
Palencia CA
1:1
05.11.2023
Palencia CA
-
Santa Marta Tormes
2:2
Latest results of Santa Marta Tormes
Latest results of Palencia CA
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 8 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Atl. Tordesillas | 30 | 22 | 6 | 2 | 56:18 | 38 | 72 |
| 2 | Guijuelo | 30 | 19 | 6 | 5 | 46:23 | 23 | 63 |
| 3 | Palencia CA | 30 | 18 | 5 | 7 | 43:21 | 22 | 59 |
| 4 | Palencia CF | 30 | 18 | 4 | 8 | 50:32 | 18 | 58 |
| 5 | Santa Marta Tormes | 30 | 17 | 5 | 8 | 47:26 | 21 | 56 |
| 6 | Mansilles | 29 | 12 | 11 | 6 | 26:24 | 2 | 47 |
| 7 | Almazan | 29 | 11 | 11 | 7 | 46:33 | 13 | 44 |
| 8 | La Virgen | 30 | 12 | 8 | 10 | 27:29 | -2 | 44 |
| 9 | Mirandes B | 30 | 12 | 7 | 11 | 35:26 | 9 | 43 |
| 10 | Villaralbo | 30 | 9 | 8 | 13 | 23:31 | -8 | 35 |
| 11 | Leonesa B | 30 | 10 | 5 | 15 | 32:40 | -8 | 35 |
| 12 | Colegios Diocesanos | 30 | 9 | 6 | 15 | 28:48 | -20 | 33 |
| 13 | Arandina | 30 | 8 | 8 | 14 | 26:39 | -13 | 32 |
| 14 | Bembibre | 30 | 7 | 8 | 15 | 28:42 | -14 | 29 |
| 15 | CD Mojados | 30 | 5 | 9 | 16 | 24:49 | -25 | 24 |
| 16 | Numancia B | 30 | 6 | 5 | 19 | 25:49 | -24 | 23 |
| 17 | Becerril | 30 | 5 | 7 | 18 | 35:54 | -19 | 22 |
| 18 | Unionistas B | 30 | 3 | 13 | 14 | 29:42 | -13 | 22 |
Promotion
Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 8 (Play Offs: )
Relegation
